Blizzard of 93

I’m out to hour 27 on the HRRR & I like seeing the heavy precip in IN & west central OH.

I tried to find his map. @MillvilleWx can you please post your map in our thread as well when you get the chance?

This should be included in your next,”Day in the Life” for our forum.

This could be one heck of week…potentially…

It is a beauty that escalates quickly on the Mid Atlantic coast Next Saturday.

Not a bad spot to be 36 hours before local game time…

18z GFS CTP close up..:

18z as @Superstorm showed us a good improvement for the LSV over 12z

@Voyager will also approve of it!

18z National Blend of models still gets Warning snow to the turnpike.

I’ll approve because he barely included Marysville in the northern extent of his 4-8!

3k is sweet too for the LSV

18z NAM

18z NAMs say game on for the LSV!

Here’s the end of the 18z HRRR at hour 48. Still a little more snow to go after this.

18z HRRR is NOT backing down!

What about the start time zig-zag map…when will that be posted?

Here’s another example of a north trend in December of 2020. For several days the southern half of CTP into northern MD was modeled consistently to be in the bullseye of 12 to 18. Then, a day or two before the storm, the creep north began. Some short term models started to introduce sleet to southern PA & pushed the snow jackpot out of MD/southern PA into central & NE PA. MDT ended up still getting 10 or 11 inches, but sleet mixed in for a few hours. MDT ended up on the southern end of double digit snow. I-80 to I-90 ended up getting amounts of 18-24, when they were supposed to be on the northern edge of the good amounts. My point is, there’s still some time for small changes in the grand scheme of things.

Remember the final event last February when MD to the southern tier of PA was supposed to get 3 to 6. North of Harrisburg was supposed to get only a couple of inches. At the last minute the storm jogged north a bit & jackpoted just north of Harrisburg out to Allentown & the southern Poconos. I ended up with 7 & Allentown got more. Small change, but drastically changed the ground truth.

I forgot the storm already happened…lol

Good news is that the 12z Euro appears to be on board for an event next weekend.

12z Euro still won’t budge…