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Blizzard of 93

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  1. Blizzard of 93
    As you mentioned, the EPO looks to dive negative according to the EPS, which should help with cold air delivery to our region. The other teleconnections also are forecast to be favorable for the 17th to 23rd period. Hopefully the teleconnections will minimize the impacts of the MJO.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, @mitchnick temperatures look to be solidly below normal for the day 10 to 15 period on each of the 12z global ensembles as well.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    Each of the 12z ensembles still look have a workable pattern for day 10 to 15.
  4. Blizzard of 93
  5. Blizzard of 93
    It’s good that we have 1 more model available on WB, but I’m sad it it doesn’t offer snow maps! The 12z Euro AI still has the strong storm on Mid Atlantic coast on the morning of the 19th. Let’s see how this model performs.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Hey now…much of the county is very nice… Every county has its good & bad.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    I’m on board too, especially with these 5 day means on the 3 major ensembles for the period of the 18th to the 23rd.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    Frankly, I’d be surprised if we don’t at least have the chance to track a Winter storm chance for some places near our region with the advertised look on the 3 main ensembles for period of the 18th to the 23rd. These are the 5 day ensemble means for the pattern….very consistent.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GFS still has a lesser snow chance later in its run as well. This period from March 18th on certainly bears watching for a late season chance.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Oh you had better believe that I’m still posting the 0z GFS, Lol! This storm chance shown on this run would fit the pattern that the GEFS extended & Euro Weeklies have been advertising for a couple of weeks now. The run ends cold with maybe another chance behind it this this run.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    The end of the 18z GFS shows the Winter weather potential that the long range models have been advertising for a long while. I like the incoming set up on day 16. Temps leading in would be cold enough if this were to happen this way.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Where the heck is @paweather ? Hopefully he is ok. I know that he would be interested in the chance of Easter snow! The end of the 15 day ensembles have held the better look beginning around St. Patty’s Day & continuing through the end of the month. The Weeklies are trending colder each run as the lead time decreases. This is the type of pattern that has the potential to produce late season Winter weather opportunities. Here are the latest Euro Weeklies for the last 2 weeks of March.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    18z GFS run ends with another storm in the middle of the country that could take aim at us a few days later if the run extended.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    18z GFS is picking up on the mid month pattern change potential.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    The global ensembles all look interesting on Day 14, just in time for St. Patty’s Day. Green beer & tracking something would be entertaining!
  16. Blizzard of 93
    That was epic!
  17. Blizzard of 93
    I see your point & I know that you want it snow as much, if not more, than most of us. We would need to get lucky & time something right during the last 2 weeks of March, but that is the case in just about every year. The end of the Control run incoming temperatures at hour 360 could give a well timed & near perfect track storm a chance, especially for the north & west crew in both of our forums.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    The 12z Control then rides another low up the coast on day 15, but colder air doesn’t move in until after the storm departs.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    The 12z Euro Control on day 14 actually tracks a low to Buffalo that torches everyone up to Maine.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Same in Marysville
  21. Blizzard of 93
    6z GFS has front end snow next Saturday am for most of us.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    My morning post was mostly poking a little fun at the Mid Atlantic forum. Some posters down there have recently complained that they can’t even get much modeled snow to show up. I agree, most in our group have not thrown in the towel yet on Winter chances this month.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, I would not have posted in here if that run showed only snow in PA & no snow in MD. I’m not that kind of poster. It’s not my first day on here…
  24. Blizzard of 93
    I’d still sign for Kuchera this run.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Here is some 12z GFS digital blue for northern MD & western areas of the region next weekend.
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