Blizzard of 93

@MAG5035 What are your thoughts on the winter storm chance that we might have around Thursday?

The 6z GFS & 0z Canadian have some snow for us by Thursday. We are overdue for something to work out. It depends on how the northern & southern streams decide to interact.

With that said, plenty of time in April to look back on winter. There are still 2 months to score snow.

On another note, unfortunately we are kind of due for a clunker snow season in the Harrisburg area. 5 out of the last 6 years have finished above the 30 inch average. We haven’t had a really bad snow total year since 2012-13.

Once again, Here is a chart that CTP produced with the snow totals at Harrisburg since 1980. Lots of bad snow years in there & some good years. There are many ways to arrive at the 30 inch seasonal average.

Lots of time.... We have been through this before... The last 3 years MDT has had double digit snow in March... There are still 3 weeks to go in February... Should I keep going... ?

The 6z NAM & 6z GFS say that you will be in the GFS jackpot zone for the LSV. Our friends in northern & western PA could do very well today with snow. It will come down rates for any chance at a few inches of wet snow.

The 0z GFS just joined the Euro & NAM & says that some folks in the LSV have a chance to score some snow tomorrow. The GFS just said congrats this run to @CarlislePaWx

The 0z NAM still likes the idea of of changeover to snow tomorrow morning in the Susquehanna Valley. Congrats to you if this comes anywhere close to verifying!

The 18z Euro just agreed with the 18z NAM & changes the LSV over to a several hour period of snow tomorrow morning!

I’m surprised that no one posted the 18z NAM, especially @Bubbler86 ! Maybe a few of will luck into some snow for a few hours tomorrow?

Don’t give up yet. Please see my post from earlier this evening. One of these storms will deliver for us. The last 3 years in March MDT has recorded double digit snow totals. We also have 3 weeks of February left to try to score snow.

Also, the 12z EPS had another good run. Most of this snow for the LSV takes place in week 2, but again the message is that there should be more opportunities for snow.

I don’t think that we are done with snow either. There are several opportunities in the pipeline. I think that things will bounce right for a couple of times as well. Speaking of opportunities, did anyone look over the 18z GFS ? There are several chances showing up over the next 2 weeks. I don’t think that all of these will produce, but maybe one or two of them will find us on the right side of the boundary. I like seeing cold Highs to the north in Ontario & Quebec showing up next week through the end of the run. Maybe we can get some front end snow to ice storms that we can do well here in CTP. #itsfarfromover

The next 2 weeks have the chance to become our best 2 weeks of winter to this point (which won’t take too much..lol) With All caveats & grains of salt aside with regard to ensemble snow maps at range, these 15 & 16 day EPS & GEFS snow maps are the best of the season. They show at the very least that this pattern could have some potential. Also, our first event could be arriving in just 5 days. More opportunities should follow the weekend threat. Let’s do this! #comebackwinter2020

The 12z EPS & 18z GFS Target the Southern half of PA with a few inches of snow early Sunday. I think that we are in a good spot for a few inches of snow out of this event.

Please sign me up for the 6z GFS for the weekend snow chance.

This upcoming pattern might be tough for the I-95 crew in the Mid Atlantic & NYC regions. We might score while they struggle.

The 18z EPS is fully onboard with our Sunday snow opportunity. There would be a few more hours of snow if the 18z EPS would go out further than 144 hours.

Haha! I will admit that it did feel great out there today! I will look forward to April weather, once we get to April...

No harm, no foul good sir! I’m looking forward to these last 2 months of winter storm tracking!

Anyway, sorry to derail the thread, but I felt the need to defend JB. In regard to your other point, the pattern should be very active. This winter might be salvageable if we get a few decent events in February. Then, if we score well in March just like we have the last 3 consecutive years, we might have a chance of reaching climo average. #dontgiveup #jimmyV

Let’s agree to disagree on JB. I think that he is great. A lot of major companies pay him for his forecast abilities. He must know a thing or two about forecasting the weather...

He is fantastic with pattern recognition & understands past weather patterns like few people in the business. He actually tries to analyze patterns & takes an in depth look at the past, instead of just relying on models. Yes, he can be wrong & has a heavy cold & snow bias, but his analysis is always very detailed, informative & entertaining. I have learned a ton from him over the years. His posts & videos make each Winter day interesting for me, even when the season is not going well. He loves snow, just like many of us on here, & he always provides hope that the pattern can change. I know that he had his detractors, but those like me who follow him each day know that his knowledge & passion for the weather is unmatched in the business.

Thanks. I think it’s going to be a very active over the next few weeks. With the -EPO starting later this week, we should have plenty of chances. We will probably be on the wrong side for some of the chances, but I believe that we can win some as well. Joe Bastardi today compared the upcoming pattern to February of 93-94. MDT had a top ten winter winter that year with over 70 inches of snow. I was in High School that year. I remember that February & March that there was a storm every week that would give several inches of snow topped with a little ice. Just to our south, these same storms in the I-95 area had mixing & rain. I am just looking forward to getting back in the game. Hopefully we get back on the snow board by this weekend. Then we will have 6 or 7 more weeks to make a run at climo average snow.