Blizzard of 93

Lol, You would be out of business quickly as a weather forecaster if you only used the NAM !

Before you know it, you will be in the same drought boat as our Franklin & Adams County friends!

Lol, I thought that your historic drought made your grass toast this year for good!

The models were all dreadful this past winter, even the almighty Euro had a bad year. So many times this past Winter a storm looked somewhat promising even 5 days out, but then fell apart a day or two later. Nothing broke favorably for us when we got to the critical 3 day juncture!

Whenever I post a snow map of the NAM or another model in the winter, it doesn’t necessarily mean that I believe what it is showing. The models that I post, which are NOT ALL snow maps, are merely a depiction of what a particular model run is showing. No model run should be taken as gospel truth. I like to show the model output to get all of the possibilities on the table. Then, we can evaluate based on storm track, telleconnections, trends, and several other factors. Also, so many posters comment on model runs, but do not post maps. They just say “it’s a good or bad run” or it went “north or south”, with ZERO context or quality content. A good run for my yard might not be good for yours, so I take the time to post maps so people can see how things stand for their location.

The NAM this past winter was worthless. We would have had a normal snow season if the NAM was consistently right inside of 24 hours.

The 18z NAM & 12z Euro have very little precip this weekend for CTP.

I agree, much better than a few days ago!

Remember the storm around Valentine’s Day 2014 that gave us around 10 inches of snow? The GFS had no clue until most of us already had a few inches of snow on the ground!

Here is my top 5 : 1. Blizzard of 1993 - (Surprised?) 2 feet of snow in the Harrisburg area, crazy wind, drifting, historic national impact. 2. January of 2016 - #1 snowstorm total of all time of 30 inches at Harrisburg. That might be a record amount that stands for decades. 3. February of 2003- Long duration of snow that began on Sunday morning with temperatures in the single digits and continued until Monday afternoon, delivering around 2 feet to Harrisburg. 4. January of 1996-Great historic region wide snowstorm. This storm began one of the greatest weeks of Winter weather ever in Harrisburg. 2 Feet of snow from the blizzard, 2 or 3 inches from a Clipper a couple of days later, then another coastal storm that dropped around 10 more inches of snow at the end of that week. 5. February 5th 2010- The first of the 2 back to back great snowstorms that hit that week. This first storm delivered 18 inches of snow to Harrisburg. The next best part was digging out from that storm while tracking another great snowstorm that was going to arrive just 5 days later!

Watching that radar loop of the January of 16 #1 snow of all time at MDT brought a tear to my eye!

You never want to be in the bullseye this far out!

For me, it can’t end soon enough. The heat really started to bother me this weekend. I had thought that I was more than used to it by now after the historic July that we just experienced. For some reason, I could not bear to be outside for more than a few minutes at a time this weekend.

Let’s hope the Euro is right. I am so done with the heat this Summer!

I wish that we could get even half of that precip in a week during Winter and convert it into snow. That would be a week to remember!

Last evening was very pleasant with cooler temperatures & a slight breeze. We took a family walk with our new puppy and there was a slight chill in the air. The sunset is happening noticeably earlier. Good signs that Fall is not too far away!

Yes, same here in Marysville. Things escalated quickly with those rain showers this evening. Happy Birthday!

I can’t wait! 25 days to go until Met. Fall begins!

The 0z Euro brings the storm center to just north of Philly later today. The heavy precip this run now extends back to Rt.15. The bullseye this run is near the home of @paweather !

Classic! It sounds like the Blizzard of January of 2016 all over again!

Your luck has changed this Summer! You are the new precip capital of PA! Hopefully it continues this Winter for you.

Very true, we had better enjoy this event because the rest of this season will probably be a disaster!

This is fun... should I keep going?

Hopefully this dry slot over Cumberland & Perry County fills in soon or else @sauss06 & @CarlislePaWx and I will need to chase this event down in historic Maytown!

Oh no, it just stopped here! This will probably be a bust! How would @canderson put this in January....”I bet MDT will not get 1 inch out of this!”