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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    The 12z Euro Op has this look at day 10. Warm up delayed?
  2. Blizzard of 93
    No reason to punt anything. It might snow on Wednesday. Things then look very transient. We just will need timing to score an event. It might warm up for a bit after day 10, but phase 7 of the MJO says that we should return to a colder pattern thereafter.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    Here is this from CTP in their discussion today for Wednesday: Models continue to show moisture overrunning a retreating cold sector on Wednesday with rain or snow likely. There is the potential for accumulating snow especially over northern parts of CPA.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    Here is what CTP has currently for me for the Wednesday storm. Tuesday Night A chance of snow before 1am, then rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday Rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Wednesday Night A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    Happy Friday, hopefully 12z runs treat us well for Wednesday.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    The EPS, GEFS & Canadian ensembles all like the snow chance on Wednesday.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Euro & Canadian still like the winter weather chance on Wednesday.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    Good news, it’s no longer windy!
  9. Blizzard of 93
    Here are another few frames from the 18z EPS showing the cold air in place with the precip getting underway early Wednesday into Wednesday afternoon.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    I was just getting ready to post these. The 18z Euro Control run actually shows that suppression might be an issue!
  11. Blizzard of 93
    lol… thanks Grinch!
  12. Blizzard of 93
    The Euro, Canadian, EPS & Ukie all have a more wintry solution for us for Wednesday. The GFS is starting to come around as well, but the other models say we get at least some winter weather next Wednesday according to the 12z runs.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, hopefully we score an Advisory level front end event next Wednesday. We warm up the following week. Then the MJO progression into phase 7 and the EPO heading towards neutral should help to return us to a colder pattern the following week before Christmas. It think this is a case that we already see our way out of the warm up into a better colder pattern as the milder days are ongoing mid month.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z GFS took a good step in the right direction for the Wednesday storm chance. It now has frozen precip for the northern half of CTP this run.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    Great signal…hopefully it keeps trending in the right direction the next few days.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    Still a long way and many model runs to go until next Wednesday, but it’s something worth tracking.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Euro Op and 0z Canadian have a more flat solution this run. They both have snow for us this run with the storm chance next Wednesday.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    All joking aside, we could use some precip. November was below normal for both temps and precip. Hopefully we can time some above normal precip with below normal temps sometime this month.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    Exactly! The early week system on Monday is carving out a trough after it moves out. The next system is quickly moving in on Wednesday. I don’t think that the cold will have time to move out prior to the next storm moving in. I think we have a chance of some front end snow to mix at the least, just as the 12z Euro & Canadian showed today.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Beach weather…thunderstorms possible and stuff…?
  21. Blizzard of 93
    Hazy, hot & humid…?
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Hopefully 12z runs will still be looking good for a Winter storm next week.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    I like the fact that all of the models have a storm on 12/8 at this time. This might be our first chance at a widespread Advisory level event if the track and timing are right.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GFS & 0z Canadian both have a wintry look to them for 12/8, but now the Euro has a warmer rainy solution at 0z.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    I was very concerned about the drought…
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