Blizzard of 93

The 18z Euro improved our Sunday light snow chance.

Nice! We should play tennis sometime. I played in high school and a decent amount when I was in my 20’s. I haven’t played much in the last 10 or 15 years, but I would love to get back into playing again.

MDT had another below normal day today thanks to the overnight low. The high was 53 which was 3 above the normal of 50. The low was 29 which was 4 below the normal of 33. So today should go in the books as -1 for today! So much for the “torch” Thanksgiving day calls! MDT now has 18 days of below normal this month.

Lock it in?!? Heavy snow over my house & MDT is winning!

Yesterday was the 17th below normal day of the month so far at MDT. They are currently at -1.4 below normal temperature for the month to date. After today, the rest of the days this month should all be well below normal. I think a below normal November is just about a lock at this point.

Here is what CTP had to say about the Sunday Clipper in their morning discussion. Next feature of note is a fast-moving, digging, wave moving down the western side of the upper trough. It is plenty cold for snow as the moisture associated with it arrives on Sunday. It will likely start to produce some snow over the west early in the day if not late Sat night. Since much of the area will be well below 0C at 8H, much of the precip would be snow. Maybe the SE few counties may have mixed precip or rain, since it is coming thru mainly during the daylight hours. But, QPF is decent - roughly 0.1-0.25" by Sunday evening across a good portion of the CWA. If a low can develop along or just off the coast, it could throw some back into the east Sun night or Monday. However, blended guidance keeps the PoPs kind of low, most likely because of the uncertainty of the speed of the system and if it can develop anything significant before moving off-shore.

The end of the 0z Euro run has this storm as well around the 5th…

The 6z Euro & GFS still like at least a few hours of light snow on Sunday from the Clipper.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

I’ll be happy to see a few hours of light snow. Hopefully the ground & car tops get covered. It would be a nice way to start the holiday season.

Here is the 0z Euro.

We are back! Snow tracking season is here!

This is the first time this season that I am looking forward to the NAM this evening!

The 18z GFS brings a light snow event to the LSV on Sunday, and brings a Warning level event to New England.

I would be thrilled with several hours of light snow and getting the first measurable snow on the board for the season in the LSV.

Here is the 6z GFS.

The GFS & Euro are both on board with bringing the first widespread light snow event to most of CTP on Sunday from a Clipper system. Here is the 0z Euro

CTP included this in their discussion this morning. It looks like most La Niñas produced at least near median snow in State College. And then there is the legendary 95-96 .CLIMATE... La Nina looks like it will continue for the winter. Just ran some numbers and found that... Out of the last 41 winter seasons `80-81 thru `20-`21: - 16 have been La Nina during the DJF period (meteorological winter). In these 16 seasons, the State College Co-Op location (PSU`s Walker Building) snowfall has been: - Above normal (GT +1 standard deviation) for only 2 seasons (`83-`84 and `95-`96). 1995-1996 had nearly 100" of snow, - 9 seasons were near normal (median of 38.8" over the 41 seasons), and - 5 were below normal (LT -1 standard deviation).

The 12z Canadian also has the Sunday Clipper.

Here is something that is all good… The 18z Euro Control run has the Sunday Clipper. We are 5 days away. This is something to track.

Great! I got to see a few rounds of flurries today between Hazleton & Wilkes-Barre.

The 0z Euro & Canadian both have a little light snow for us Sunday & Monday.

How about we run the table just like 93-94 or 95-96 or 02-03 ?

I would certainly take a light event to get on the board or just see first snow flakes of the season here in the LSV.

Well done! I was just recently thinking that it is almost time for one of your “Day in the Life” of the Central PA forum with the setting being on the day before a Winter storm hitting us.