Jump to content

Blizzard of 93

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    11,781

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    Desperate times call for desperate measures!
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Here are the snow maps from the 12z & 18z EPS showing the improvement at 18z.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z EPS moved slightly back to the west and gets MDT to 2 inches of snow and Lancaster over 3. Still several ensemble members are west of the mean low position.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    It really would not take much to get the LSV back into a solid Advisory level storm. A few tweaks here & there with the phasing and timing of the pieces and this could have been a blockbuster storm even around here. But, as others have said, some form of blocking would have helped the overall chances for much more in our region. Plenty of time to fully throw in the towel tomorrow night or Friday am if needed.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    I’m just hoping at this point that we get back the 2 to 4 inches of snow from the northern stream low along the Arctic front on Friday that most models had for us earlier in the week.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Not sure why everyone is so down…lol… According to JB, we still have the JMA on our side… Maybe for the second time ever the JMA will be right?
  7. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 6z Euro snow
  8. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z Euro still gives hope to the LSV. On to 12z
  9. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z EPS still gives hope of a more westward track for the coastal with a decent cluster of lows to be he west of the mean low position.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    This is a fantastic discussion, but the part that I just quoted is what should keep us very much in the game.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, that is beautiful.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, very nice NAM run! More room to improve surface in time if that 500 look holds.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the Euro Control precip & snow at 10-1.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    Here is a frame from the height of the Euro showing the deform wrap around.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z Euro Control run is impressive. It’s not far from delivering a major storm to the LSV. As it is, it still delivers low end Warning level snow to the LSV at 10-1 ratios. It has the low pressure at 964 at our latitude off of the coast of NJ. With this much deepening, I would think the deform band would expand even further west than depicted on this run. So much potential, we just need a little bump west….
  16. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 18z EPS snow map, which is similar to the 12z EPS.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z EPS says the the LSV is still in the game. Several ensemble members are taking the inner track more towards the coast and to the west of the mean. If that western cluster of lows ends up winning out as the final track, then we are in business back here. Some of these ensemble members have 960’s lows south of our latitude! This is far from over…
  18. Blizzard of 93
    Here are a few panels of the 18z Euro, which was very similar to its 12z run.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, still more to go after this. The 18z Euro only goes out to 90 hours.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    I didn’t see the 12z Euro Control posted. It’s only available to me at 10-1 ratio. It won’t take much to get more of the Susquehanna Valley involved. We have 3 days to reel this back a little more west.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    Exactly, great post!
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 0z Euro snow map.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Euro was the best of the overnight runs to bring decent snow to the LSV while heavy snow gets to Philly, NYC & New England. We have a few days to move the track 50 to 100 miles west to get better snow to the Susquehanna Valley if we get better phasing of all of the pieces.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    @losetoa6 I’m not sure why some folks in the interior mid Atlantic thread crew are writing off the chance at a better outcome for the coastal? The 12z Canadian today showed how this can work for all of us to get a good snow hit. We still have a couple of days until this will be resolved. It won’t take much to get what we need to score a Warning level event back here.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Just look at the 12z Canadian for now! The 18z Euro looked better at the end of its 90 hour run. Still lots of time for a few adjustments.
×
×
  • Create New...