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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    This would be potentially be a wave riding up a front. Timing would need to be just right, but the ingredients are there.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Unfortunately the Euro took a step back at 12z for CTP. The Highs are still in a good position. It will come down to the push of cold air and the strength and timing of the wave. Lots of time to resolve.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    12z UKMET is still a hit as well for Friday… @losetoa6 do you have a PA centered map for the Ukie? I saw this map posted by our friends to the south. In Most of our CTP events, we score better snow when I-95 is mixing…
  4. Blizzard of 93
    12z Canadian improved wintry chances for Friday too… 12z top vs. 0z bottom
  5. Blizzard of 93
    The 12z GFS has a good looking High position sitting in southern Quebec. The 12z also shows moisture stretching all the way back into southern Missouri and northern Arkansas.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    The last 3 GFS runs have trended more wintry for Friday. It appears to heading in the general direction of the Euro for a change… Here is 12z, 6z and 0z for the same Friday time stamp,
  7. Blizzard of 93
    The GFS has had some great runs over the last 2 days for the first 2 weeks of February. I posted the model runs a couple of pages back in this thread showing a series of storms from recent GFS runs that could produce a very wintry first half of February.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, plenty of cold this month. This doesn’t even mention the number of frigid overnight lows. It’s a below normal month in the middle of Winter that some people thought is now impossible because of….
  9. Blizzard of 93
    Really hoping the Euro & Ukie are right. They are overdue for a medium range win…
  10. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z GFS keeps going with more chances towards the end of the run. Day 16 ends with a cold look with a developing low in the Central states that could take aim at us if the run went out a few more days.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z GFS is lining up the Winter storm chances over the next 16 days. We should have opportunities to score more snow. Rest up…many days of tracking are on the way….
  12. Blizzard of 93
    This would be a front pushing through with energy left behind that then causes a second wave to develop that brings the frozen precip. These are difficult to pull off, but we have scored in the past with this type of set up.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the trend on the Canadian from 12z yesterday to 12z today. Check out difference in the low position. The trend could be our friend this time for more wintry outcome.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, Thursday pm into Friday has been trending towards a better cold press with a solid wave running along the slowly moving front. The 12z Canadian & GFS are slowly trending southeast with the cold press and the 12z Euro showed how CTP can win in this set up. Let’s see how this trends over the next couple of days.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GEFS has temps below normal for the first half of February with a few Winter storm chances. Once we get past our quick few day warm up this week, we should be back in the Winter storm chance business. Here are GEFS temps for week 1 and 2 and then the 10 day snow from day 5 to 15.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    Where is @canderson with a Harrisburg wind report?
  17. Blizzard of 93
    Absolutely brutal wind… Temp 15 Wind chill is 6
  18. Blizzard of 93
    Steady light snow continues in Marysville continues at a moderate rate. Temp 28 Eye balling about .5 of an inch of new snow so far.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    Decent area of light snow seems to be filling in to the west of Harrisburg through the LSV.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Light snow is picking up intensity in Marysville.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    Light snow rate is picking up in Marysville with current temp of 25.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Unbelievable what a difference over just 100-150 miles!
  23. Blizzard of 93
    I’m going to post this again for some posters that don’t bother to go back a page….
  24. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, it is getting more interesting. Advisories & warnings might be needed for some LSV counties if the NAM is right.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Here are the 6z NAM snow maps in Kuchera for the 3k & 12k.
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