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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the Euro Control precip & snow at 10-1.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Here is a frame from the height of the Euro showing the deform wrap around.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z Euro Control run is impressive. It’s not far from delivering a major storm to the LSV. As it is, it still delivers low end Warning level snow to the LSV at 10-1 ratios. It has the low pressure at 964 at our latitude off of the coast of NJ. With this much deepening, I would think the deform band would expand even further west than depicted on this run. So much potential, we just need a little bump west….
  4. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 18z EPS snow map, which is similar to the 12z EPS.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z EPS says the the LSV is still in the game. Several ensemble members are taking the inner track more towards the coast and to the west of the mean. If that western cluster of lows ends up winning out as the final track, then we are in business back here. Some of these ensemble members have 960’s lows south of our latitude! This is far from over…
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Here are a few panels of the 18z Euro, which was very similar to its 12z run.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, still more to go after this. The 18z Euro only goes out to 90 hours.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    I didn’t see the 12z Euro Control posted. It’s only available to me at 10-1 ratio. It won’t take much to get more of the Susquehanna Valley involved. We have 3 days to reel this back a little more west.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    Exactly, great post!
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 0z Euro snow map.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Euro was the best of the overnight runs to bring decent snow to the LSV while heavy snow gets to Philly, NYC & New England. We have a few days to move the track 50 to 100 miles west to get better snow to the Susquehanna Valley if we get better phasing of all of the pieces.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    @losetoa6 I’m not sure why some folks in the interior mid Atlantic thread crew are writing off the chance at a better outcome for the coastal? The 12z Canadian today showed how this can work for all of us to get a good snow hit. We still have a couple of days until this will be resolved. It won’t take much to get what we need to score a Warning level event back here.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Just look at the 12z Canadian for now! The 18z Euro looked better at the end of its 90 hour run. Still lots of time for a few adjustments.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    Good thing we still have some time. Hopefully everything trends to a 12z Canadian like solution. Everything is still on the table, from partly cloudy to side swiped by a few inches of snow to major coastal snow storm.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    My bad… Who will take the naming honors? @losetoa6 ?
  16. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 6z GFS Kuchera snow map, which looks a lot like the Canadian.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    Here are a couple more 6z GFS frames.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GFS looks a lot lot the 0z Canadian. We are very much alive & well for this weekend’s coastal chance.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    Here’s the Canadian Kuchera snow map.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Here are a few more surface frames from the 0z Canadian.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    Here is that 0z Canadian run that @MAG5035 mentioned. Very nice development at 500 and the surface low responded with a strengthening coastal low tracking from the Carolinas to NJ, where it slows for a bit south of Long Island. We are back in the game!
  22. Blizzard of 93
    The @Itstrainingtime coastal storm this weekend is alive & well on the 6z GFS!
  23. Blizzard of 93
    MDT recorded .1 of snow yesterday. MDT is at 10.1 for the season, which is now 1.6 below normal through yesterday’s date.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    Williamsport recorded 4.5 inches of snow yesterday. I’m surprised you hit we didn’t hear from our friend @Wmsptwx
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Wow! Great news…! I fell asleep early last night…sounds like I will not be getting that much sleep the rest of the week due to all of the tracking!
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