Blizzard of 93

Hazy, hot & humid…?

Hopefully 12z runs will still be looking good for a Winter storm next week.

I like the fact that all of the models have a storm on 12/8 at this time. This might be our first chance at a widespread Advisory level event if the track and timing are right.

The 6z GFS & 0z Canadian both have a wintry look to them for 12/8, but now the Euro has a warmer rainy solution at 0z.

I was very concerned about the drought…

I think that we will have some periods of cold and some warm ups. The MJO is going through phase 6 this week and should go into phase 7 by the end of next week. Phase 6 is warm, but phase 7 is cold. The EPO will also be a factor. When it goes negative, the cold air in Western Canada will have a chance to be delivered to the east. We should have some Winter Storm chances once the current northern stream dominated pattern gets reshuffled.

Lol…Again just having a little fun with @Bubbler86

I know…. Just having a little fun!

Let’s go Euro…hopefully it holds at 0z.

Disappearing trash cans?

Now that the Winter thread has arrived, This is a friendly reminder that the Harrisburg are only averages around 6 inches of snow in December. Last year we had 1 event mid month that delivered near 1 foot of snow to MDT. Most Decembers, we scrape together a few light to moderate events. Most years, we need to wait until January or February to get the chance at a major snowstorm.

Lol…But I thought it was balmy today?

MDT only had a high of 40 today which is 8 below normal. MDT also had another T of snow today.

It was great to see snow in the air for the 4th straight day to end November!

Tell that to the Winter of 2014-15. We had a snow storm in November right before Thanksgiving. Then there was basically no more snow until around January 20th. We then had weekly snow events through mid March. We ended up with an above normal snow total of around 40 inches for the season at MDT.

Great to see this thread underway! Lets go!

Lol! What the heck happened on here today?!?! What an emotional roller coaster and it’s not even December 1st for a few hours!

Lol…Rouzerville must be on track for a +5 month while the rest of us end up -2 !

Here is CTP’s take on the Clipper tomorrow. Arriving quick on its heels from the NW will be a thickening layer of clouds and a period of light snow late tonight and Tuesday morning, thanks to an area of of weak to mdt low-mid level warm advection, beneath the left exit region of a 110-120kt 300 mb jetlet. Expect between 1-1.5 inches of snow to fall across the northern and western mtns per consensus high res model qpf output and a 10-12:1 SLR, with a coating to 0.75 of an inch across the Ridge and Valley Region of the state. Although the snow accums will be light, the period of nuisance winter weather will target the morning rush hour across much of the CWA. This will likely slicken-up many untreated roads with overnight min temps in the low to mid 20s over the higher terrain, and upper 20s throughout the Central Valleys.

The upcoming pattern is a lot of back and forth. The northern steam is dominating at this time, which is typical for a La Niña. We just need one of these to dig a bit more with the right timing to provide a decent event. It’s very early, but I like seeing some of these weak storms bringing us a little light snow for now.

Lol…no wrath, just enjoying the early season appetizer snow events over the last few days.

Team snow in the LSV will have seen snow at least in the air for 4 straight days after the tomorrow morning Clipper. Not a bad way to end a cold below normal November.

The Canadian has this gem (see what I did there…) for us only 10 days away. Where do I sign?

The GFS is back to the wintry look that it had a few days ago for December 5 & 6.

The GFS & Euro both have another coating of snow by tomorrow morning for many of us from another weak Clipper.