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Blizzard of 93

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  1. Mostly rain here so far in Marysville e we ith a few flakes mixed in at the onset around 1 pm. Temp has crashed from 44 down to 38 currently.
  2. The longer that the precip is delayed, it means more precip will come this evening & tonight….let’s slow this storm down!
  3. 6z GFS Still looks good for snow from along I-81 to the north & west.
  4. Here are some of WGAL 8’s thoughts on the storm “A storm developing along the coastline of North Carolina arrives midday Monday. Temperatures should be cool enough at cloud level that some snow may mix in with the rain at times. It's looking more likely that areas along and northwest of I-81 could see some prolonged periods of wet snow with the rain. Minor grassy accumulations are possible, roughly a coating to 1 to 2 inches are forecast, mostly along the ridgetops and higher elevation areas.”
  5. @mahantango#1 here we’re my thoughts this afternoon. If the 0z runs look anything like the 18z GFS, we might be looking at the possibility of more, especially north & west of Harrisburg.
  6. Here is another look at the 18z GFS snow maps 10-1 & Kuchera. Wow!
  7. This 18z GFS would be impressive in the heart of Winter. If it comes anywhere close to verifying, this would be historic in the Harrisburg area and many parts of CTP.
  8. My goodness, which model is this? I just finished up our Easter entertaining with family and I am just catching up on our snow now…
  9. I think those of us near I-81 have a decent chance to see wet snow tomorrow afternoon & evening. Depending on rates, we could see a slushy coating to an inch or 2 on the grass, mulch & car tops if we are lucky. Hopefully the heavier precip is still around in the evening into overnight. Most models are showing that we have a chance. I would be happy just to see snow in the air for a few hours tomorrow evening.
  10. The 12z Euro tracks the low right along the coast until it gets to NJ. Great track for CTP snow. The LSV from I -81 north & west still gets mostly 2 inches of snow or more this run. I-99 corridor gets the jackpot.
  11. Here is more from CTP: Transitioned to a freeze Warning with all numerical guidance for our zones that are in the growing season showing mainly sub-freezing temps for several hours early Monday. A frost is guaranteed with a freeze likely. High clouds approach before daybreak Monday as the stage is set for a raw wintry system to affect the Commonwealth Monday into Tuesday. With cold air firmly in place, an approaching low pressure system will provide plenty of moisture and lift to produce widespread precipitation by Monday afternoon. Rain and wet snow are expected to overspread the area from southwest to northeast beginning around daybreak Monday and continuing through Monday evening. Temperature profiles in the Laurel Highlands and northwest mountains will support snow as the primary precipitation type, though afternoon temperatures into the upper 30s to mid 40s indicate the potential for rain to mix in. This will truly be an elevation storm with potential for a few inches on the highest ridges and only a coating to an inch in the valleys. Snowfall accumulation could be as high as 3" on some of the ridges in the Laurels. Farther south and east, precipitation will fall as a mix of rain and wet snow with little to no snow accumulation expected in the valley floors. Temperatures in the 40s and a brisk southeasterly wind gusting 20 to 25 mph will make for a raw April day. By Monday evening into Monday night, a coastal low will intensify and take over as the primary low. Model trends are toward the west with a potential swath of highly elevation dependent heavy snow impacting the eastern half of the state, with the greatest threat for over 4 inches of snow occurring across the Mountains NE of KIPT, where elevation, latitude and a later/more nocturnal winter-like event will occur.
  12. Here are some comments from CTP: A chilly Easter Sunday will kick off a cooler-than-normal first half of the upcoming work week. Accumulating snow for thehigher elevations of Pennsylvania and a mix of rain and wet snow for the Lower Susquehanna Valley and points east will spell a raw stretch Monday into Tuesday morning.
  13. Actually, please let us know your thoughts on Susquehanna Valley’s snow chances if you get the chance.
  14. Never mind, I just noticed your post above. Thanks!
  15. @MAG5035 You look to be in a great spot for this event! what are your thoughts on the snow chances for CTP & the LSV tomorrow?
  16. The 12z GFS has a better off shore track of the coastal low, but the sharp cutoff for snow amounts still exists. Again, where do I sign for my yard?
  17. The 12z NAM was a little too tucked for the eastern LSV, but western LSV & the rest of CTP do well. I would sign up for this in my yard!
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