*Flash*

The amount of instantly recognizable bangers on that list makes me giddy. Smash.

Well, crap. I have a one-month-old. Not sure how that's going to work. Maybe a Red Bull-IV. That might do it.

Yeah, I remember crunching the #’s late February 2014. In terms of wasted cold, 2013-14 stands alone at the #1 spot for BNA since records started. Middle TN has seen redemption in the years since. But even that year…I got to experience 2’ over 4 chases.

Nice summary. Hoping most of us can score before Fab Feb. Signals are there but will the fun be too far east for west/middle? That's my main concern. Obviously, with the WAA and dry air issues, no plateau chase for me this morning (kids are pissed off but what I can I say/do?), so hopefully I can do some traveling next week as needed. Sunny 30s is the same level as cold rain to me. Plus, kids don't want to be out in the cold unless they can build a snowman. Hard to find words, especially for young people in describing why this winter has not cooperated. Bottom Line: In the past 15 years, only 2012-13 has been worse than what we've seen through 1/17, at least for middle. Yeah, I know the famous winter of 2014-15 got off to a slow start; however, I highly doubt we see a redux of that February 1 - March 15 time frame. I might be missing some other slow starts.

I mean...they could extend that purple line southwest by 50 miles. Wouldn't hurt at this range. Smh. Also, fun/random fact: Ferris Bueller's best friend...his name is Cameron Frye (played by Alan Ruck), which so happens to be my name, just without the 'e' on the end. While I was born the same year the movie came out, contrary to local conspiracies, I wasn't named after the character. 0:34 in the clip below gets me every time... https://youtu.be/LOMO_eSGcU4?si=38NB8nmLgHGa8XN6

If this subforum is Hogwarts, you, sir, are Gif-findor.

Donuts are gone but we have fresh hopium on the menu.

I was about to say: If we can’t have synced southern juice, more spiked southern juice might work.

I mentioned last night how Bobby Boyd had his eye on 1/25. The GFS/GEM looks above lines up with what could be a time frame to watch. A trap? Most likely but for now...we have something new to track, watch disappear and perhaps re-emerge again.

Seems to me this winter (and I know we're only half-way through) may go down as a textbook example of all the things that generally go wrong in a Nina/weakening Nina setup. The December Chinook, the historic cold in Alaska, misplaced Atlantic blocking, the stubborn Great Lakes lows, so many things have contributed to split flow and lack of phasing. You can sort of see the past 30/40 days how one issue has played into the next, even through the pattern resets. We have modest cold air supply rest of the month. Just have to hope the river and flop work in our favor regarding precip and timing. As for the weekend threat, I can't recall such a huge whiff on American models, notorious as they may be, within 24-48 hours. I try to not let recency bias get the best of me, but I lack relative remembrance. Truly, the absence of overhead blocking played a huge role in the weekend threat evaporating and will be a legacy to the archive. We've seen this storyline before many times, so it confuses me why so many neglected the writing on the wall. Kinda feel for our Piedmont brothers. They spew a lot of crazy stuff over on Southern but they're long overdue. Rooting for you, @GaWx! Not to sound to straight-forward but send pics if things out for you.

Indeed, we have pivoted from needing westward trends to cooler trends. Still have my eye on the plateau tonight. National guidance is modest, but those high-res short-term models are suggesting multiple inches in some parts.

Bobby Boyd has been previewing a freezing rain/ice signal for BNA the past 24 hours. Granted, it's 10 days out; however, it makes sense there could be mischief around this time.

Also, for the record, I'm really bummed seeing the amount of pro/TV/AMS mets plastering eye candy snow maps without beneficial context to the public. I'm not looking to purify my feeds per se, but if I see a local met or influencer page not communicating within due diligence, my tendency to unfollow/snooze. Weather is more enjoyable without the bias. Hype is fine once confidence is high enough to support it.

It's been a groan fest for most of the decade east of the apps. TN Valley has been way more fortunate the past 5 years.