Orangeburgwx

Oh boy here we go... https://mobile.twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1049082033421635585

Who you think will cave first? EURO or is the GFS the only outlier with that rediculus fast paced Apps rubber track?

Anyone else notice the dream scenario for the 17th on the latest FV3-GFS? If only the temps were about 15 degrees colder... Patterns tend to repeat, so that is something to watch come January/February

Bit early compared to the last few years ...

Or Clemson

No lie

All it takes is .1 to make or break an event... Just saying

Holy ****....

What flavor or shine then?

That's a good point, because I read somewhere that during El Nino years, our cold base is in Alaska/Canada... The more cover they get the better off we are in this case

Winter will be brutal for us if this pattern repeats... Hot (for winter standards) and dry

Hope that varifies

Yep

Long way out... But the last two runs of the GFS have a reverse basin crosser (Pacific to the GoM)

Thank you

End result of listening to Charlie Daniels while riding out the storm (and before anyone quotes me, I know the report of the moron shooting into the storm and dying was proven false) -Florence came to the Carolinas looking for waves to sail But she got in a mood and decided instead that she was going to raise some hell Weathermen watched in horror as she came in high and hot She smirked and smiled before saying “fellas I’ll tell ya what” “I bet you didn't know it, but I'm a Category 2 Ain't no comparin’ cause I'm going to do something weird and new All your records mean nothing as long as I'm in town Now prepare and hunker down because I'm the baddest girl around” Florence compact your core and take a chosen path So we can warn everyone who's gonna face your wrath Quit making us guess with each and every flight Or people are going to lose their lives tonight! “Nice try,” Florence said, slowing as she neared the shore. “But I'm going to make forecasting me quite the aggravating chore. Now sit back and watch as I wind myself up nice and tight, Cause you're about to lose this fight!” Florence please listen as we all pray and plead, Go easy on us so no more bodies have to bleed. Forgive the moron who tried to shoot you down, For his body is now underground! “I love it here!” Florence squealed, relaxing as she spread herself out. “I'm going to stay awhile even with your angry shouts. Spread the good news since I am nice and large, For you're about to learn that the weather is in charge!” Go away, no Florence no! We don't want to go with the flo Turn around and go back out to sea! So we’ll be safe and free!-

Freeze it now so they can have it for later

17 sustained, highest gust I've had so far is 31 about 3 hours ago. Heavy, thick dark grey clouds and had a fizzle drizzle about 15 minutes ago while I was making a milk and bread run for a neighbor.

Still heading due SW, this keeps going it might be a direct landfall in Myrtle Beach instead of sliding in to the north. Areas to the south end of the envelope just got put back on notice (I'm still under a TS Warning until further notice).

Cranky is a EURO hater this time of year

man that eye took a dead SW hook by looking at the Weather Channel coverage radar

I just got put under a Tropical Storm Warning

Wtf 9pm was 34.0N, 76.6W

Pressure: 951.7mb

18z GFS ticked back south