Orangeburgwx

Yep

6:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 13Location: 33.9°N 76.3°WMoving: WNW at 5 mphMin pressure: 955 mbMax sustained: 105 mph

Looks like that would be a direct hit on Emerald Isle

The center blob looks like it is moving almost due west right now, that plus slowing in forward speed might kick it further down south-southwest west. This is going to be a long day and night for everybody, so even nowcasting is wishcasting.

GFS, to me, ran the system in too high imo... I think it dives down further into SC than that last run showed because it is really slowing down now

IR and Dvorak continue to improve by the minute

I don't know man... Last 90 minutes or so the IR and Dvorak looks better

Eye seems to be drifting west the last 30 minutes or so

From my NWS office: Friday Tropical storm conditions possible. A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Friday Night Tropical storm conditions possible. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Saturday Hurricane conditions possible. A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Saturday Night Hurricane conditions possible. Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Sunday Night Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Yeah she is really coming in high and hot by a full degree longitude

Also more time over water (ie the Gulf Stream)

13" of rain for me... The Edisto river is going to flood

I'm looking forward to it too, stay safe during Florence!

Here is where I got it from https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1039895342609772544

Just... What... A 140mi wide eye?! https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1039895342609772544

70-80% power outage for Orangeburg... Not good since my brother is on a nebulizer

Forward motion is down from 17 to 15

I'm staying put here in Orangeburg, further inland so not as much winds but I'm interested in the rain totals

Here you go guys... https://mobile.twitter.com/crankywxguy/status/1039721340192935937

My aunt just texted me with a question that I hope one of you can answer... "How big is Florence across at the moment?"

The crazy SW drift on the GFS would be tossed if it was by itself... But the EURO showed it first with a near identical track with a Charleston landfall

So... Floyd, Fran, Hugo, and Harvey all tied into one?

What the actual hell caused the EURO to bury me like that... If the GFS follows suit that would cause trouble

Man that eye can't get itself together on the IR

Pressure down to 940.8 for the moment