WinterWolf
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Everything posted by WinterWolf
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Yes very true. However, when modeling shows zero precip at 24 hrs out…that’s a pretty bad performance for sure.
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You did say that. It looks like that was/is the case. Nice call. Be nice to sneak into whatever comes along later today/tonight?
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Yesterday at 12z the GFS had pretty much zero snow here. Euro kept bumping up slightly each run..then doubled from .1 to .2 at 0z 5 hrs ago. NAM and Hrrr had solid snow forecast for here though yesterday.
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Looking at radar looks like SWFE. I mean GFS couldn’t see this yesterday? Or the Euro?
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What is wrong with modeling this year? Honestly? Why can’t they get a handle on anything At all? This is gonna be another bust by modeling and we’re in the precip And they still can’t get a handle on it? I’ve got close to two inches out there.
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Here’s the point…and this is the only thing you need to know. If you are snowing tomorrow, and it’s snowing hard/heavy, it will accumulate no matter if you’re 48 or 58 right now. If you are snowing tomorrow, and it’s crap snow growth, and light rates, then it won’t accumulate. That’s it. That’s really all there is to it when it comes to that.
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Ahh Hippy…who knows what this does? Models can’t seem to agree again. Been tough go in a lot of places outside of eastern areas of late, but you’re area has been hit especially hard.
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I’d take that..4” here works fine with me too.
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Ya it’s 37 here…he thinks he lives in Miami.
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No it’s not. Pay attention and learn something. Temps are gonna go down significantly overnight. If you get the rates…it doesn’t matter what the temp is now.
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All about the rates…if it’s light snow then that thinking will prevail. If it snows hard..it’ll stick/accumulate everywhere no matter what. So they better hope it’s light snow rates.
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Wow, most modeling coming northwest as we close in.
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It’ll change.
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Yup was just gonna say that was less than a day ago. Might still be flurries?
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GFS Has zero here, NAM has 4 plus inches lol. I mean that’s a huge discrepancy at 24 hrs out.
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Do any of the models ever agree anymore when we’re a day out from a potential? Always some sort of battle/disagreement happening… even at 24 hrs out.
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Lol…nope you and I need to experience a good storm before we close the book on winter this year. You can go down there in April when it really sucks here.
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Yes sir…I’d agree with you wholeheartedly.
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Agree. Kev knows the deal, it’s just the reverse defense mechanism, and also the prog to get folks and METS to talk about what might happen going forward. I don’t think we’re done yet…she wants to torture us some more as I said yesterday. And very very rarely is the winter weather ever done on/by 2/13. That’d be the equivalent of saying it won’t be hot/summer like anymore on August 13th.
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On average, March is snowier than December. So there’s that for you.
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Really?
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Yup…I get that. I felt that way about 2/06, both of the biggies in 1/11, and then the granddaddy 2/13. Those were all monsters here…with 2/13 eclipsing everything at 33+ inches!
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Lol..that’s what the storm two weeks ago(1/29) did here…light to moderate sand. Sucked.
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Yup. The unforeseen is always lurking…and this year it has reared it ugly head. As bad as it’s been for some of us…2/11 is always very dangerous to declare the winter done. She gonna torture some more I’m afraid.
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I do agree on this…or at least she’ll tease us cuz this season is an evil beotch.
