WinterWolf

Never could break into that warm sector. In fact it got cooler as the day went on. 52 degrees now with mist. Sucks.

Cool and overcast, very grey and sitting at 55 degrees.

So it’s an ’easter instead of a nor’easter I guess on the CMC. lol. Unless you live along the immediate coast of SE CT, RI and Mass, this is probably a yawner for most everyone else, unless this gets really tugged back to the west, and those 5-7” rains pan out for a large area. Which is still possible, but we have guidance still disagreeing on how this evolves with regard to track and capture. Captures are always precarious for SNE, most times they don’t work out so well for most it seems. But at least there’s some interesting weather to track regardless of how it shakes out.

Ya that’s interesting.

Do tell.

Any gut feelings on how this all evolves Chris?

Holy smokes…that’s a f’n beat down right there. 8”+ of rain here on that depiction. Hard to believe, that would be worse than Ida if that happens.

That’s a substantial jump west.

Hmmm, that’s interesting for sure.

Compared to 12z?

Can you post it Ant?

My girlfriend hates it too. For some reason that never bothers me..I always kind of liked it getting darker earlier as we progress through late summer and autumn. But I can completely understand why it bothers some folks.

Can you post pal?

I thought this was just a few showers next week…now I’m seeing on hear that folks are talking about 5-6” of rain. Guess I haven’t been paying much attention. That’s a lot of rain.

I mean amateurs in the respect that they don’t get paid to put out an outlook…nothing else. NOAA pays their METS, American weather does not lol.

100% Agree. Those outlooks are so Very vague imo, I don’t even bother looking at them anymore. The amateurs here do a completely better job in my opinion.

To a point yes..so I understand your position.

Jerry he did that on purpose. I didn’t see him acknowledge that…maybe I missed it. In the post Kevin posted I didn’t see that. And “If it’s right?” We know and he knows it’s dead wrong. Permanent ridge in the east from now till April..give me a break. He’s trying to drum up interest.

NOAA’s forecast forever say the same crap each year. We see the same graphic year in and year out. 50% chance or greater of milder than normal temps each year from them, and some brown or orange colors. 50% chance or greater of spaghetti and meatballs too…I mean come on already. I guess we can say that there's a 50% chance it’s cooler and snowier than normal too? It can Work both ways.

That he knows that is a crap model, and it doesn’t do well, especially from a ways out in time. Yet he tweets it and acts like it is a skilled model. He’s stirring the pot, and creating controversy. He knows that model sucks sh*t….he should have said so in the tweet.

I suppose it could be.

That guy has turned into a complete clown! For him to even tweet something so dam dumb and infantile, is proof he’s a farce. What a jamoke.

Ya he’s in somewhat of a fantasy land. Everything is extreme and/or a blizzard. Lmao.

Just as NOAA says greater chance of above normal temps for Nov and Dec. And also for Jan and Feb to. But when was the last time they haven’t said that heading into winter? I can’t remember them ever not saying that? Everybody has their own ideas and takes on it as usual. As others have said, looking forward to Rays thoughts as well.

By the end of the month it’ll say something else as well. Don’t buy into anything hook, line and sinker….good or bad, especially at this juncture. As Jerry said yesterday, a month from now will reveal much more insight as to where we “may be headed.”