WinterWolf

Minimal Cane…the hype on this thing far exceeded its actual performance. Sad part is that this seems to happen more and more.

Hype sells…especially to the ignorant.

Yes, within reason is always fine. He’s been escalating though, and the clowning is just down right annoying now.

He had the signs of being an annoyance early on….he’s young and inexperienced. Hopefully he learns some things, or everybody will be ignoring him. Ya hate to see it.

That’s why it’s so stupid for folks to say it’s gone and what not at 7 days out…it’s as bad as wishcasting all the time. We know the models are really horrible at 5-7 days out…and especially so with tropical systems. In 12 hrs(one run) the Euro shifted about 500 miles west. This thing is still weak and disorganized, and its track is still not certain.

Ernesto looks like total sh*t right now.

I think it’s Time for you to go back to India Barrett.

Yup..I don’t know what Wiz is looking at, but I agree with you. It looks like dung.

This thing is a disorganized piece of junk currently. The longer it stays like that, the more west it may come. It’s not very impressive at all so far.

Oh…didn’t realize it went further than the few lines there. Sorry.

IMO That will probably change over the next few days anyway.

It wont be a hurricane way up there. So just a storm. They get plenty of storms there.

Like the 1950’s/early 60’s in SNE…that was quite the heater too. Cycles.

E.E. -The “Ernesto Express.”

What is the/your obsession with Mumbai?

What this becomes and where it goes is still a big unknown…development is slow, which changes many variables down the line. Watch and wait is all anybody can do if they’re interested in where this thing goes ultimately.

Thanks for posting something of substance from an experienced, and talented MET.

By Monday they’ll all be coming back west…

Lol, “HE” doesn’t even exist yet. Just a swirl of clouds.

All possibilities are on the table this far out…but it’s low chance as always. So we watch.

I get it Kev…that’s why I said saying “he gone” is as irresponsible as wishcasting. It’s silly. It’s always low chance in SNE, but that low chance will be realized at some point too Someday. That we know.

Lol..ya I get it. If we say it’s/he gone as the thing is in its very early formative stages, and it’s 9-10 days away from anything even happening up here, then that’s as bad as wishcasting imo. I know guys like to stir the pot for Kev and Anthony, and it’s all in fun, but gotta be careful sometimes with blanket statements of certainty. Big hits are very rare up here as we all understand, but they aren’t non-existent either. So at some point, it’s “gonna happen.” That we can all bet on. But “When” is the big question.

At this early point, Gotta be careful with talk like that Luke… I agree, Always bet against a hit in SNE for the most part, but modeling is certainly not handling these features correctly at this stage.

Chances of the models having the trough correct at this lead is very low…but fun to speculate.

Zero threat as of now for SNE…And if it ain’t zero it’s a couple percent. 3-4 days from now, if there’s a signal, we reevaluate. See how simple that is. No need to be worried, or act like you are to deflect from wishcasting, it’s almost always a nothing burger for SNE; until it isn’t. But as of now it’s nothing. Wait and watch!