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BlueRidgeFolklore

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Everything posted by BlueRidgeFolklore

  1. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Good stuff. It's interesting to see so many sequential years for AVL. Especially 1925, '26' 27.
  2. BlueRidgeFolklore
    We're running nearly neck and neck with 1980 in terms of averages through September 17th, here at AVL. I get what you're saying but I've been around long enough to know this isn't out of the ordinary. I'm not saying that one is the rule or the exception, I am simply saying that I've been through it before.
  3. BlueRidgeFolklore
    I hear this every year and every year we blow it out of proportion (at least in my eyes). The SER was killer this time last year and yet for KAVL we're only averaging 1 degree above our mean for all of September last year. By the end of this week, I'll guarantee that it will be at or below our mean for September 2018. I get that each backyard is different but I also know every September in the South continues the dog days of summer to the point that we become weather weary. I agree with FallsLake above, eventually (sooner than later) it will give and this will all be an afterthought.
  4. BlueRidgeFolklore
  5. BlueRidgeFolklore
    He'll be doing in the French Broad because that's where the Davidson will take him.
  6. BlueRidgeFolklore
    No you won't. LOL! I can guarantee you it will be a washout.
  7. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Hunnerd year flud? We're heading straight for the Old Testament, gather the goats and load the boat if this keeps up.
  8. BlueRidgeFolklore
  9. BlueRidgeFolklore
    My comment was a general response to the discussion not a counter to any specifics.
  10. BlueRidgeFolklore
    From Highlands to Hendersonville are going to get lambasted.
  11. BlueRidgeFolklore
    They're showing more for Salisbury than atop Mt. Mitchell. I'm sorry, but there is no on this earth that I am going to buy into that map right now.
  12. BlueRidgeFolklore
    The main point is that there is ZERO guidance that even suggests it at this point.
  13. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Heck, the NAM just showed a thump here. There is no way that can be right. No way!
  14. BlueRidgeFolklore
    I'm going with 2000', right along the escarpment.
  15. BlueRidgeFolklore
    They were bullish for WNC in January 2016 storm but even then the totals crept up as we got closer. I don't think it's wishcasting to say these totals will go up when the Euro is showing 12" probabilities for KAVL at 100%. My gut just tells me based off experience, that these (for the Mountains only) are their conservative numbers.
  16. BlueRidgeFolklore
    I have never seen GSP put out a map this bullish 3-4 days out. Heck, I'm not even sure the wave has been properly sampled yet. Rest assured this is a warning shot. These totals WILL go up for the mountains.
  17. BlueRidgeFolklore
    That's exactly my thought. I wouldn't put too much stock into the CMC at this point. It's on an island.
  18. BlueRidgeFolklore
    You should have learned from experience not to get your hopes up in first place, when you're sitting in those areas. Lol.
  19. BlueRidgeFolklore
    They both nailed the forecast in WNC when IIRC, Jason Boyer was very conservative. However, I think that storm is where Chris became really gun shy of the I-85 corridor and still is today.
  20. BlueRidgeFolklore
    That's a 24hr snow map, initializing Tuesday at 2p (so from Monday 2p to Tuesday 2p). By that time, the storm is leaving WNC/Upstate and heading Northeast. That's why it looks the way it does.
  21. BlueRidgeFolklore
    He's basing it off of climo telling him the 85 corridor is nearly always the freezing despite what the models say.
  22. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Did it just disappear? Lol.
  23. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Hot spot still continues to be along the escarpment, esepcially where the east/west escarpment meet north/south there in the Saluda, Hendersonville, Bat Cave, Gerton area. I can see that area getting rocked!
  24. BlueRidgeFolklore
    That's pretty typical with CAD storms. The higher mountains simply block the cold air from reaching that far SW corner of NC.
  25. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Mt. Mitchell.
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