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BlueRidgeFolklore

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Everything posted by BlueRidgeFolklore

  1. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Better but still green. I think the colors will be fine just delayed.
  2. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Did anyone else notice this? I'll take our chances in the mountains for some of that cold in the NE to CAD it's way down the mountains and give us some overrunning events like we've had the last few winters. https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/accuweathers-2019-2020-us-winter-forecast/592125 While the Northeast braces for snow and cold, the Southeast is more likely to experience a wet couple of months. Water temperatures from the Gulf of Mexico to the Southeast and mid-Atlantic coasts are running higher than normal, Pastelok said. As storms move into the east early on in the season, the warm water could generate a significant amount of rain. However, it’s not out of the question that the region could experience a winter storm, similar to last season, which brings snow or ice to areas like Winston-Salem, Charlotte or Asheville.
  3. BlueRidgeFolklore
    I don’t think so. Have a little faith! https://wlos.com/news/local/photos-autumn-falls-into-color-at-grandfather-mountain
  4. BlueRidgeFolklore
    I don't think so. Typically in a brownout up here you don't get that vibrant orange on the tree and contrary to everywhere else, the mountains haven't been as dry as most. Yes we've been dry but not as bad as I saw driving through the Piedmont last week.
  5. BlueRidgeFolklore
    It's coming!
  6. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Looks like we have gotten some agreement from the overnight models on some incoming fall weather next week. The first true fall front.
  7. BlueRidgeFolklore
    My comment was a general response to the discussion not a counter to any specifics.
  8. BlueRidgeFolklore
    From Highlands to Hendersonville are going to get lambasted.
  9. BlueRidgeFolklore
    They're showing more for Salisbury than atop Mt. Mitchell. I'm sorry, but there is no on this earth that I am going to buy into that map right now.
  10. BlueRidgeFolklore
    The main point is that there is ZERO guidance that even suggests it at this point.
  11. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Heck, the NAM just showed a thump here. There is no way that can be right. No way!
  12. BlueRidgeFolklore
    I'm going with 2000', right along the escarpment.
  13. BlueRidgeFolklore
    They were bullish for WNC in January 2016 storm but even then the totals crept up as we got closer. I don't think it's wishcasting to say these totals will go up when the Euro is showing 12" probabilities for KAVL at 100%. My gut just tells me based off experience, that these (for the Mountains only) are their conservative numbers.
  14. BlueRidgeFolklore
    I have never seen GSP put out a map this bullish 3-4 days out. Heck, I'm not even sure the wave has been properly sampled yet. Rest assured this is a warning shot. These totals WILL go up for the mountains.
  15. BlueRidgeFolklore
    That's exactly my thought. I wouldn't put too much stock into the CMC at this point. It's on an island.
  16. BlueRidgeFolklore
    You should have learned from experience not to get your hopes up in first place, when you're sitting in those areas. Lol.
  17. BlueRidgeFolklore
    They both nailed the forecast in WNC when IIRC, Jason Boyer was very conservative. However, I think that storm is where Chris became really gun shy of the I-85 corridor and still is today.
  18. BlueRidgeFolklore
    That's a 24hr snow map, initializing Tuesday at 2p (so from Monday 2p to Tuesday 2p). By that time, the storm is leaving WNC/Upstate and heading Northeast. That's why it looks the way it does.
  19. BlueRidgeFolklore
    He's basing it off of climo telling him the 85 corridor is nearly always the freezing despite what the models say.
  20. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Did it just disappear? Lol.
  21. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Hot spot still continues to be along the escarpment, esepcially where the east/west escarpment meet north/south there in the Saluda, Hendersonville, Bat Cave, Gerton area. I can see that area getting rocked!
  22. BlueRidgeFolklore
    That's pretty typical with CAD storms. The higher mountains simply block the cold air from reaching that far SW corner of NC.
  23. BlueRidgeFolklore
    Mt. Mitchell.
  24. BlueRidgeFolklore
    LOL at that white dot over Mt. Mitchell. Close to 4 feet I'd assume!
  25. BlueRidgeFolklore
    What are you watching?
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