The 4 Seasons

under the better part of the swizzy, +SN

white rain. epic.

61 pages of epicness

Probably the first and only call ill make on this one. If this look better (or worse) at 12Z i may update it. Pretty much a non-event the way i see it. Can't rule out a few isolated 2 or 3" amounts in interior southern connecticut. Right now, areas near the NY boarder look the most favorable on modeling.

OKX and BOX hold on the advisories but definitely cut back in the wording and amounts. From 2-4 locally higher in the BOX area to 2-3 and "up to 3" in the OKX zones except fairfield and new haven where they continue 2-4". Definitely boarderline to keep the advisories going. From the OKX AFD: Much of the frontogenetic and thermal forcing with the coastal low will remain offshore, while the precipitation shield expands to the NW of the low as the upper low approaches from the west. In some ways, this is taking on the appearance of a trowal, but in a much broader scope. Guidance continues to trend downward with liquid equivalent amounts generally less than a half an inch. Furthermore, the WPC Superensemble snowfall amounts have also dropped with the best chance for advisory level snows remaining across western Passaic county in NJ and Orange county in NY. Elsewhere across the advisory area, snowfall will generally be in the 1 to 3 inch range. While dropping the advisory was contemplated across eastern areas, ensemble mean guidance was just below advisory level snows in these areas. Should this trend continue with the 12Z cycle, this will have to be revisited.

Certainly wouldnt write it off completely yet. The RGEM is being a bit stubborn, for the CT/RI/SE MA area it did cut back a bit from 00Z but is still the most bullish with the system.

NAM isn't a piece of guidance, it's a piece of shit. (but i do agree with the sentiment)

Seymour - 1, Tolland - 0

A marginally improved 3K/12K NAM. Time to flush this turd down the toilet and move on. C-2 for most of CT seems reasonable at this point.

a couple runs ago you were in that 16-20 range. RPM is good for a chuckle. 00Z was a complete dud, then 3Z drops 20+ LOL

From BOX and OKX

now that the GFS16 has been running on time and 4X/day on pivotal, ive been paying more attention that

Feb 5th 2001 FYI

read my mind. thats my number 1 all timer, such a great positive bust.

get Nammed

I'm still shoveling potential from last season

20th anniversary of this beaut.

do you have a link so i can get these images and more or did you just save these at the time? im currently archiving all the snow storms from 2000-present in SNE.

u got 20" on both dec 03 and feb 03? Dec 03 was one of the worst busts of all time here, prob close to Jan 15. That slot was atrocious.

i feel you on that one my man, thats for sure.Not as bad as Dec 2003, Jan 2015 or Mar 2018 but CLOSE!

Happy 10 year anniversary

Going to try something new this season. Will be doing a running season totals periodically as the winter progresses. Reports are from AMWX, CLI (BDR,BDL), and a couple fellow mets. Accumulating storms include: 10/30 12/05 12/16-17 12/20 If anyone has any additional reports (I pulled from New England Snow website that had all 4 events) please let me know.

Going to try something new this season. Will be doing a running season totals periodically as the winter progresses. Reports are from AMWX, CLI (BDR,BDL), and a couple fellow mets. Accumulating storms include: 10/30 12/05 12/16-17 12/20 If anyone has any additional reports (I pulled from New England Snow website that had all 4 events) please let me know.

Updated final snow totals map for the Dec 16-17th 2020 snowstorm in CT. Most of CT fell within the 10-15" range. Some higher reports in Litchfield and Hartford county of 16" and 16.5". The shoreline generally fell within the 6-10" range with some pockets over the Waterbury area and NE CT. Lowest report 6" (multiple) Highest report 16.5" (multiple) Final Grade: C+

@ORH_wxman Do you know why ORH CLI is messed up? Based on all the snowfall reports they should be at 27.9, but the CLI says 28.8. I found the inconsistency, it occured on Dec 6th the Season Total says 15.8 then on Dec 7th it jumps to 16.7 but there was no snow recorded since Dec 5th.