The 4 Seasons

wooooooosh.

Yes i remember that day vividly, jackpotted here while W CT got screwed. Euro was spot on in the days leading up to the event.

but how much snow, that is the question.

Very light snow. Roads wet. Some wind. Snooooze. Did Kev get his 2-4 he was expecting?

There's gonna be a lot of busts near that edge of snow and dry air, many warnings are up for areas that are only going to see backside snow for 2-3 hours and end up way under FX.

To a lot of the general public it actually doesn not count in their eyes. I've had many storms just over the past 5 years where i got 6" or more under a winter storm warning and all the roads were wet, especially the highways. Most people i've talked to think the forecast busted because they only had to plow a sloppy inch off their drive or sidewalks. To some extent i can agree with them. I really think winter storm warnings and advisories should be based on impact and not just an exact snowfall criteria measured on a white reflective surface cleared every six hours perfectly placed. Even with general forecast from the private sector or news stations, when there is a substanial difference i think there should be two maps, one for roads/sidewalks/highways and one for grass/decks/roofs/wood etc. The former is what has the real impact, not the latter. Or they can at least mention and emphasize the difference in accumulation on different surfaces. I don't know what the right answer is, just throwing this out there. I do know the vast majority of the public (from my social circle. family/friends/etc) has no idea what the difference between a Watch, Warning and Advisory is. All they want to know is how much and when.

Snowstorms in general that only stick to grassy surfaces and picknick tables make me angry. When i see all the wet roads and side walks in NYC but a park bench has 6" of paste, that infuriates me.

What's your elevation? Looking at the NWS map for northfield lists it at 469.

yeah thats what i use, just wondering if there was something better, thx

What's the best free site for the UKMET?

yeah, just putting in heated pads underneath the tile in a kitchen or bathroom costs a ton, i can't imagine what it costs to do all that.

Stratton

lol that would be pretty sad if it was true. I mistook your name for "weathafella"...Jerry, i believe right? Sorry, did not mean you dude. Jerry is the one who does not have a location on the avatar.

Where is Rays location, i honestly am still unsure after these past 5 years here...All i can gather is its somewhere remote, somewhere north and snowy, most likely N MA but not ruling out VT or NH either.

i know exactly where that is. 40" for the win here.

No you dont. I miss the RUC.

Yeah i remember 2/5/16 modeling, ECMWF was steady as she goes and the last to the party. IIRC the GFS picked up a major hit first with a susbstanial shift to the left. This was the wave on a front storm with an almost vertical qpf gradient.

So, I am angry because i typed a single sentence with no explitives, no name calling, no exclamations, no nothing? He needs to clear up with word "developed" and the word "moniker" apparently. Either way this is a fruitless endeavor and does not contribute to the topic of thread. With that being said the hills of NW and NE CT are still in the game for a few inches of accumulating snow. It's beginning to look pretty bleak for the valleys and coastal CT. We still have a shot though, just need an obvious trend SE in tonights 00Z runs

Absolutely. Plenty of cold to work with as well. We are entering a pattern akin to late December.

According to who? If you're just going to throw out facts then back it up like i did.

Um because it's called the GFS and not the FV3? NCEP, creators of the model, and pretty much every model site i use says GFS and not FV3.

The local forecast offices, at least in the northest, take that model somewhat seriously and do reference it often in winter forecasts i noticed. Which, is pretty sad. Because it really is the worst.

Wow you put the ARPEGE above the GFS and GEM. Does that mean you take it seriously and look at it regularly for forecasting? I was just referring to mid/long range global models so that would mean RGEM/NAM are cut and ARPEGE is #3 on your list? Damn...

yeah thats it, it says METEO-FRANCE, it's been on Meteocentre since it came out a few years ago.

So it's like... 1. Euro | | | | | | | | | 2. GFS 3. GEM 4. UKMET