The 4 Seasons

Just now, weatherwiz said:

I asked him once if he knew about it and if we could ever work with it and he said yeah I've used it.

the computers in the weather center didn't even have bufkit...I had to send an email for it to happen.

Crepon said that Boyle taught them in his class, they did some labs and stuff with it etc...

It's a good tool everyone forecasting should use it, trouble with it though you can only use American models, GFS, NAM 3k etc.

Just now, weatherwiz said:

ahhh growth...that makes sense. 

I think I remember that the structure of it ties into where temperatures fall between -10C and -20C. 

I only learned about bufkit from here...it was never once mentioned in any class. I agree...there should be a class devoted to bufkit...or at least included with Weather Analysis and Forecasting 

Eisenson doesn't know how to use it though

Freezing Drizzle reported at BDL right now

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

I always like to try to explain it when I do blog posts but I always feel like I'm explaining it incorrectly or confusing. 

What I sort of struggle with is the stricture of it I guess..and why the structure is the way it is...for example on the right side of the image the shape of the 10, 15, 20.

I hate when you look at something and you understand the significance of it (so like I understand when you see omega and lower omega values within this zone...that is great for snow) but you don't know how to explain it and properly. 

I thought we would do stuff in school with bufkit...but nobody even really heard of it or used it lol

Which is a damn shame, i had to learn about how to use bufkit through friends at school, asking questions online and trial and error and just becoming familiar with it over the years...

There should be an entire semester course on BUFKIT imo, you could easily fill up the whole time with everything you can do with that tool.

Coolwx on the other hand plots omega with actual temperature, 0C, -12C and -18C...between -12 and -18 is supposed to be the optimal region where you want high omega.

6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Here is something I always forget...forget in the sense that I don't know how to explain it to others. It's regarding the snow growth overlay on bufkit. I understand the significant of the purple and yellow contours (which compose of the snow growth zone) but I don't know how to explain them. Each of those contours is temp right?

Right, temp. It's not the actual temperature, but the optimal temperatue for snow growth. So you want those numbers (temperature) to line up with the best lift (omega) + RH. This is my understanding of it, someone can correct me if im wrong.

1 minute ago, Snow88 said:

This winter has sucked

Non sequitur

It's Dec 13th..

1 minute ago, Snow88 said:

These models suck.

The pac has to cooperate

FYI your sig is full of dead space at the end it, it makes your posts very long with white blank space.

Just now, Hoth said:

My kingdom for that QPF with temps in the teens.

Imagine if that was all snow!!!! This would be 40-50" easy! And with temps in the teens you can automatically add 30:1 ratios for the entire event. This would yield 120-150". Throw in some good banding and thundersnow and would we probably be at around 200" and that's being very conservative. 

1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I want that elusive 20 Burger which has escaped me for 8 years as much as the next weenie, badly, but I also enjoy the tracking and subsequent snowy times regardless of amounts. I really never used to be a pack guy until these damn kids showed up either. Now I prefer it so my little weenie can enjoy the feel of winter for as long as possible.

I want that 20 burger that’s been eluding me my entire life, you’re lucky

Updated my map to include new reports and some reports from here on AMWX.

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

CT has the biggest disparity in such a tight gradient between coast and hills. This is of course not taking into account NNE valleys vs ski resorts. I’d like to see Maine’s if someone has it.

Just now, MetHerb said:

That's not what you said - you said the state but glad you clarified what you meant.  You made it sound like no one in the state has snow cover for any amount of time and that's not true.

ok - i reread the post, i meant "down here in CT" like in ct down here, like southern part, not the state as a whole, but i see what it could be interpreted that way.

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

He lives on the ocean. Huge contrast vs any elevated areas of the state.

I wouldn't say i live on the ocean. North Haven is about 10-15 miles inland and specifically im in the NW part of the town. I'm in the 30-40 range on that map. Snowfall isn't that big of a difference but i radiate unbelievable compared to HVN, i usually look at MMK for temps/weather as they are usually closer to my sensible wx. But yeah a big majority live on the spine up 91 and A LOT of the population lives on the shore. I don't know the exact numbers but i'd be willing to be it's over 50%

Just now, MetHerb said:

Rarely in CT?  Maybe in your neck of the woods but in the hills of NE & NW CT it's typical to have snow cover for a chunk of the winter.  My longest stretch is 122 days.  Now, the past few winters have only been in the 40-50 day range but my 35 year average is 64 days here in CT so I wouldn't call it rare.

Yeah i meant rarely for like the majority of the population located along the center I-91 and on the shore I-95. The hills of litchfield are a whole different animal. Look at this average snowfall, it's dated but you get the idea. 80-90" for the hills of litchfield vs 20-30 on the shore.

3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I understand Tolland is outside of it, I nevee contested that. I said Union is on the edge of it.

I give you credit for sniffing out the area of snowfall max, though it could have been pushed a little west it was still good.

I probably would have called for a more uniform snowfall for most of MA with the except of barnstable, dukes and nantucket counties and the extreme s coast.

2 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

When does snowcover last consistently around here for more than a few weeks at a time?

Down here in CT rarely. Significant long stretches that come to mind are Jan 2011 and Jan 24th-Mar 21st 2015. During that crazy 2+ month timeframe i had 6" or more snowpack the entire time with no rainers at all, max depth was 20" on Feb 1st 2015.

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Why are you looking at the FV3 for anytime anywhere?

If you're going to insist on being the only one calling it the FV3 I'm gonna start calling it the AVN. 

So the AVN day10 op-run went from a weenie KU to a rainer in one run, should be gone next run anyways. waffle time.

18 minutes ago, dendrite said:

We can't, he's the new Kanye of the forums.

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We are in the time frame where models drop intensity of storms they had at day 8. If the 18th is gonna be big we will see it pop up this weekend. Meanwhile enjoy the flood it's the only flood you got

I see what you did there, J.B. 

10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Exactly.  I guess we just need to ignore him completely.  There’s no reasoning with him..he’s got all the answers I guess.   Mods should do something with him, but since they don’t want to, we/I gotta ignore him.  Done with him. 
 

He’s a True Troll.  

Then just hit ignore. I don't follow every post in here but from the ones ive seen @Dr. Dews been fine. Posting he wants an ice storm is fine, so what? Kevin wants them too. And if it comes down to rain or freezing rain then i want them too. If i was a mod i wanted do anything with him either. Now if he's attacking users and crossing the line then thats another story. It's free speech. Troll on.

I don't see that as being a trouble maker

Icon end of run.

+2.5" last storm, 5.9 on the season. Prob close to the bottom of the list but hey still doin good for my personal climo, can't complain.

12/11/19