The 4 Seasons

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Perhaps.  A coworker went out around noon and I-495 was crawling at 15mph.  Rt 16 is hit or miss as I look outside.  Side street is covered in slush.

Milford, MA right? i was thinking CT for a minute there.

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

In Milford, awful.

I would think main roads and highways are just wet with all the solution/salt down. Back roads, untreated roads, overpasses, side walks, driveways all a sheet of ice around here

Freezing Rain. 30F. 0.25" new ice.

Heres an updated map for visual, numbers will go up a bit.

Totals per Ryans twitter

Widespread 02.-0.4..HVN up to 1C now

KHVN 171853Z 02009KT 10SM OVC013 01/M01 A2968 RMK AO2 UPE10B26E46 SLP051 P0000 T00061006

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I just use this or the texas a&m weather interface site. 
http://uswx.com/uswx/text.php?q=03276&h=24&stn=KHvn

Thank you.

Here is a good link, it does about the same job as texas A&M site but its a gov site

https://www.aviationweather.gov/metar

Just now, dendrite said:

The I groups are 1,3,6 hr accretion. The regular P and 6 groups are 1,3,6 hour pcpn. 

yes, sorry, i just figured that out. Didn't notice it was an "i"

Can you provide a good link for metars so i can take a look at them around CT?

19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Good call. First ice storm here in a lot of years.

This was really bad last year, a lot worse than this. I didn't get any reports from you on ice so i guess you escaped this scott free.

Ryan has been posting on Twitter continual updates of ZR accumulation at KHVN. Does anyone know how to get updated ice accretion at the airport ASOS stations? The PNS statements are old, from 9:29AM

Obviously the Snow/Mix line is not accurate but here is the current radar from wxtap, dual pole for mix line

Freezing rain still on-going and snowfall totals will likely be updated, but here is a prelimary map of the snow accumulation and ice accumulation so far across the state. If anyone has any snow or ice numbers, final please tag me or PM me so i can include them. Thanks.

Going with 0.2" snow here based on surrounding reports and visual obs, this is an estimate

0.2" actual ice. Varying from 3/16" to 7/32" (half way between 3/16-1/4). Converting it to decimal is .19-.22. Avg is 0.20

Light freezing rain. 30F

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

76 at bdl is about right.

Torch. It's always spring there.

Just went outside, its downright nasty out. Roads are icy,slushy. Driveways and sidewalks are literally a sheet of ice. Grass is crunchy, looking at the ice around small tree branches it looks to be about .2 or 1/4" of ice or so. so far... we are hovering around 30F

Some southern CT stations finally just getting into the 33 and rain category, pretty much all of LI, NYC and SE coastal MA above 0C

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Snowing hard at home. Still decent snow in CON below the beam despite meh returns.

I think the 0.1 i got from this storm put me to the half a foot mark for the season! (5.9" before the storm)

2 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Chris, lots of peeps go to bed before 11 pm, and they went to bed with a 3-6 inch snow accumulation call for a lot interior SNE.  
 

Then at 11 pm, the forecast was changed and downgraded to 1-3 inches, and that’s gonna bust too.  This was a horrible performance by modeling...plain and simple. 
 

And That’s my point...sure you can keep changing with every model run of the HRRR etc etc in a situation like this...but that doesn’t help the 99% of the general public who’s definitely not watching every model run every hour.  

I had you in the C-2 range for most of CT that will work out well. I was one of the most conservative on the snowfall last night and i know no one liked it but that's the reality. Fact of the matter is im going to bust high in the 2-4 range for far northern CT. Ice map will be pretty good, glad i didn't go to crazy with that either. 

Here's some of the latest PNS statements which will fill in as we go on throughout the day from the LFOs.

2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Yeah. Not sure anyone would have gone C-1 statewide so late in the evening though after the earlier trends in the day toward a good front end. Whiplash.

My snow forecast will go down but I think the icing piece will save me a bit. I communicated more on that being the main show rather than the snow that never arrived. 

I did as well, people always focus on the snow amounts. And C-2 is a joke, i said dont worry about that its all about the ICE.

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

How’s the icing down there?

Great call on going for a coating for many. I got cooked on snowfall even as I hedged lower for northern CT because of how quickly the flip usually happens.  

Yea i think my snowfall and ice map will actually be pretty good. C-2 was right on, probably should have been C-1 though. 

I haven't gone outside and measured it but it looks pretty bad, id say probably a 1/4 so far. Going off ASOS MMK and HVN its probably around there.

6 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol..you mean SW to NE?   Just like two weeks ago to me...an hour or two of snow..then ice. Still snow here but radar looks like trash upstream, big hole coming and all shredded. 

No. i meant NW to SE, i see why you asked me though. I was referring to the orientation of the line, not the direction it was travelling.

what a joke this storm is. barely snowed for an hour. now were all sleet. hardly a coating down. glad i went C-2 for most. sleet line plowing through the state NW to SE

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I'm on call again and here's what I went with. Really think snow is not the story here in CT, as we go from thump to sleet/ZR. Had to go into more detail in the text forecast as I think the 5" spots are along the border and higher icing amounts are near the southern end of the 2-5" zone.

Still thinking this is a moderate (shoreline) to high (inland) impact event overall due to timing, early morning snow rates, and icing potential. Could have went with three zones, but decided against that. No time or personal map making experience to go with a separate icing map. 

 

go big or go home

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

26

31F OVC

Final call for CT. Did not change snowfall accumulation map, went up on the ice totals a notch. 

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s also torching the surface. 

Not really it's in the 20s for you and me through 12Z and below freezing the entire run through 16Z

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Just a great night to be a weenie. Nothing like prepping for a winter storm by munching on edibles and watching/reading anxiety pour onto keyboards amongst my fellow brethren’s as regardless of what transpires...it will feel and look like winter tomorrow. Fights will break out as to which model won, it always happens. Someone will get skunked, it always happens. It just better not be me or I’ll berate a mothufukkan nws office or strangle my neighbors cat, just enough to relieve some anger but not enough to kill...cuz I love animals. Just a great night to be a weenie. 

Just sayin..

Noticing a marked warming trend at 850 on the HRRR, it seems to have halted this current run though. QPF cut back a bit as well