The 4 Seasons

Honestly I don't know how Pivotal even gets away with, they must pay substantially more for the ECMWF data than other sites with a pay wall do. It's hurting the ECMWFs bottom line when a site posts it for free for everyone, even if they themselves are paying for it. It means less people will pay for other sites for ECMWF data which then in turn in less sites with pay ECMWF to get their data. I don't know exactly how it works with free EC data but that's my logical assumption on it.

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I thought it is free (no fanny slap with a ruler from the Euro nun) to post now. 

Yeah, from free sites like Pivotal. WeatherModels, Weatherbell, etc expressly forbid this, it's literally on every single image

1 minute ago, Cold Miser said:

What is the time/ date stamp on that?

I heavily cropped it so it doesn't get taken down/i dont get in trouble for it

It's EPS 144 hrs 00Z 18DEC 24 Hour Total QPF 51 Member Mean

Pretty good signal this far out on the EPS. 1/2"+ liquid SSNE right now

Snowfall totals for major locations:

GYX: T

NYC: 0.2

PWM: 0.4

MHT: 0.5

PVD: 1.8

BDR: 2.4 RECORD

BOS: 2.8 RECORD

BDL: 3.0

ORH: 5.1

It's amazing how many all time records BDR is setting for such little snow, i think thats 3 so far for the month, ~70+ years of records.

Wow, looks like there is way more snowfall totals on the PNS statements, ill have to update the map.

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Sunsets already getting later. 

That's interesting, so sunrises are getting earlier.

According to google Sunset here is 4:22 for today, 13, 14 4:23 for 15,16,17 and 4:24 for 18,19,20. So it's increasing at about 20 seconds per day or 1/3min per day. According to Google our earliest sunset at this lat/long is 4:22PM

Do you know why that is exactly? (Why sunsets are later but the days are still getting shorter?)

Shortest day of the year this month coming soon...

12 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Here is why Dec snow crushes Morch snow. It’s festive, it doesn’t melt in the sun and it gives a special feeling. You don’t worry about losing it until the next rainer whereas Morch it’s already gone 

1000% agree. Everyone who loves snow loves Dec snow. I know some people, who actually hate snow, but love it anytime before Dec 25. Is there anyone who is actually prefers March snow over December? I mean ill take snow anytime i can get it but Id much rather have 30" in December than March, hell id rather have 20" in Dec than 30" in Mar. 

1 minute ago, DomNH said:

Yep, BUFKIT is definitely your best friend when it comes to looking at the DGZ and trying to find funky dry layers. That BDL cross-section is an excellent signature for a short period of heavy high ratio snow. Of course BUFKIT and coolwx is limited to the American models. You can get some coarse SKEW-Ts for the globals but I don't know if there is anywhere to get cross-sections. Checking the cross-sections is good practice for any snow forecast. Sometimes you can find some flags.

I'd kill to be able to get BUFKIT data for the EC/GEM/UKMET.

Sun is out and literally everything melted on all paved surfaces. No shoveling, it's all gone. Grass blades showing through,  i expect to be down to a trace by evening. Surprised schools were cancelled tbh.

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

can't get better than that 

except for my first call was 2-5 lol, thats why i gave it an A and not A+. But i did bump up numbers in the litchfield hills and glad i did.

First Call, about 32 hours lead time

Final totals across the state vs. final call forecast. If there are any new or updated reports ill add them or if anyone has anything they want to add. I'm using my final call as always for verification, if i didn't chop the range down from 2-5 it would have been perfect. Grade: A

looks like no snow on the backend for me, turned to crap, do do

1 minute ago, eduggs said:

Was that C - 1" forecast I saw for all of CT ever updated?  That rivaled the worst forecasts I've ever seen.    Ballsy speculation but stupid forecast.  Thank god that guy doesn't forecast for anything that matters.  Classic case of trying to beat science/math with emotion.  Guidance showed several tenths frozen behind the front for days.  Overall this was pretty well modeled from the mid-range.  Congrats to those who scored a bit this morning.  Here in SENY it was  generally 1 - 5" depending on elevation.  A nice little event in any month.

Jeez agressive much? Everyone makes bad calls or gets it wrong in this field. It happens, give him a break.

im also hearing sleet mixing in now

good returns overhead right now and i couldn't see any snow falling, turns out its rain. Freezing Rain with a temp of 29F

Nice little event, can't complain...3.4+2.5 puts me at 5.9 on the season at Dec 11th

Roads are now mostly wet around here, its melting fast on the roads

2.5" new.

Hopefully can squeeze out another .5

2 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

2.4 final, 22.4 month to date.....I thought only a few flurries to a coating at best, it's gorgeous out

final? you have some decent returns filling in over your area, is it not snowing?

Some totals so far.

2 minutes ago, It's Always Sunny said:

This is what I use assuming you know what the climo sites are: https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html

thanks, nothing showing for nyc/bos yet

12 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

12Z obs showing 0.5" for EWR and JFK, with 0.6" at LGA.

Still some banding from the higher-based forcing working in, but it's battling dry air in NJ; should snow on/off through late morning for most of us. LI will do well.

what did central park end up with..so far anyways

Just now, Hoth said:

Nice job on this one. You are hereby approved to start future storm threads. Now, who do I speak to for the additional 3-4" the GFS was promising me two days ago?

GFS gave you 6-8? I mean every model at one point had 4-8 or 6-8 over CT except for the ECMWF. GEM/RGEM was hammering warning snows run after run until just recently