The 4 Seasons

Just now, CoastalWx said:

You can deeply toss that output.

but i want my 4-6.

Just now, moneypitmike said:

 

How'd that do with the other snows this month?

From my subjective perspective...pretty bad from the little bit ive watched it so far

Looks like the RPM coming in colder yet again. Deep Thruster is awfully snowy for CT

RGEM HRGEM maps? On the phone

I'd be shocked if the euro doesnt bump north at least

GFS was ugly for CT almost no snow and a lot of mixed ka ka, rain at the shore.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

However, it had one of the worst performances I've ever seen in the last event.

One storm that comes to mind that it latched on to early and infact did not waffle back and forth as it usually does was Jan 23rd 2016 blizzard. It actually did pretty well, it was a hair too far north with the heaviest qpf but overall a good performance from what i remember.

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

When did the RPM become so useless? It used to be good a few years ago 

I don't remember that. I've had access to it since 2014 and the skill has appeard to be exactly the same

9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah I'm a little skeptical.

Prob be some minor glaze in spots...but this is frigid below 850-900mb so my guess is the non-snow ptype in the interior will be mostly sleet. There may be a thin band of solid icing just inland from the south coast of C/SW CT where the midlevels really intrude deeper but sfc stays below freezing? 

I'm a prime candidate for this statement right now, bad icing tends to occured in this area last year on multiple storms...

Anybody remember this? Terrible situation.

12Z RGEM coming out now just able to look at the CMC-Ptype page, looks like the initial thump cut way back. Precip shield is much lighter on the front end but thats only to hr48.

19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

06z

 

Are those MeteoCentre Snow liquid maps any more or less accurate than your typical snowmap from say wxbell or TT? Like, how wxbell and others will just use two layers (and im just throwing this out there) If 850 <0 & 925 <0 Then snow or how TT counts sleet as 10:1 snow. I always wondered about these.

18Z GFS looks pretty similar to 12Z to me, a hair south at the sfc and a tick colder at the sfc. Mid levels looks roughly the same

Latest OKX/BOX. Looks reasonable to me at this lead time. I'd probably go in the 1-3" for most of CT atm, though i haven't looked at it too closely.

Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

 

It actually resembles the UKMet/Euro right now more than the GFS/NAM do

It does, just speaking in general terms...meaning that it doesn't really give me much confidence if it adds weight, or lack thereof, to the other globals.

Icons mostly snow for CT. I don't know about it's skill score but i trust it the least over EC/UK/GEM global suite.

WTF is that, jesus.

Def not over yet, according to the NWS it's still 4-5 days out...

NAM does what the NAM does. Full send mode through ALY, tossed.

1 minute ago, Snow88 said:

Navgem is a big coastal storm 

The nogaps navgem whatever they’re calling it theses days is like the global brother of the RPM, deep thunder is the red headed step child 

I never really thought of that with sky scrapers the towers must had quite a bit more snow up there at 1400ft 

Had zr but it’s so close to freezing that All the roads were just wet

I’ve heard dirty water before but not the other one. 
I work at a retail shop on south Main Street

 32f the whole way here until I hit Waterbury it got up to 33 and 34 now here 270ft

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

There are more imminent dangers you should look out for in that city.

yeah and im going in the ghetto side of town too. trust me i know. i spend half my time there...

im headed up to waterbury right now a little nervous about the side streets as most towns around here ar hovering at 32F

light freezing rain

2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Wow. 45F here. 

It's in the low 30s up and down the CT river valley right now, for most.

31F here now. precip moving in uhhhoh