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The 4 Seasons

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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The 4 Seasons
    Huge changes. No closed low at Hr60, more positively tilted. sfc is fugly. Game over.
  2. The 4 Seasons
    Done predicting model outcomes right
  3. The 4 Seasons
    00Z had a closed low as well on the EC run, 6Z improved a bit
  4. The 4 Seasons
    Pivotal and Wxbell def shows more on the clown maps
  5. The 4 Seasons
    looks like pivotal just added a bunch of new parameters to the ECMWF for free. All that was there before was surface maps and snow maps. Now you can see lots of mid level data
  6. The 4 Seasons
    Euro better again at 00Z for SNE. Snows to coast. The surface low hangs back a little longer
  7. The 4 Seasons
    All that considered, ECMWF is still the king, and id hedge on that more than anything. The biggest mistake i ever made was tossing it out completely on 3/21/18. It was Euro on island vs. everything else.
  8. The 4 Seasons
    love me some good warming snow. makes me feel all fuzzy and warm inside.
  9. The 4 Seasons
    can you post the RGEM, i forgot how to do that 84hr trick. thanks
  10. The 4 Seasons
    Weenie maps are out 10:1 ratio
  11. The 4 Seasons
    18Z ECMWF looks quite a bit South of the 12Z runs, H85 is colder H5 looks more positively tilted as well.
  12. The 4 Seasons
    So the GFS is crap and no one should use it but Cranky is Pope and he's using the GFS? Not following the logic here, did you mean "poop"? Edit: Ah, you mean the user on here that goes by that moniker. I see. Is he though?
  13. The 4 Seasons
    I know how much everyone loves Cranky. This looks like a copy of the GFS solution
  14. The 4 Seasons
    42 members reading the topic currently. 8 pages in just a few hours. We are expecting one the biggest KUs in years if you didn't know already. Check the GFS, you'll see.
  15. The 4 Seasons
    The DGEX is dead right? I found some sites with the DGEX runs but all the links are dead or the graphics don't load
  16. The 4 Seasons
    It is much better. It's a trend in the right direction. Its also the NAM at 60-84hrs so it's almost meaningless.
  17. The 4 Seasons
    i smell a block coming. Someone get James an inhaler, he's having another one of those weenie hyperventalation attacks
  18. The 4 Seasons
    Thats great and all but what about the SREFs?! We need to know, it's killing me inside.
  19. The 4 Seasons
    It's doing it's own self-aware zombie runs on an Windows XP machine. Skynet is real.
  20. The 4 Seasons
    last run 10-31-19 haha. i really miss those old style panels that NCEP had in the early/mid 2000s. Their new interface is less user-friendly, the UI/UX was just better i thought.
  21. The 4 Seasons
    what happened to the CRAS model? I was recently looking at some old threads and there were lots of posts about it
  22. The 4 Seasons
    They're really holding onto a gem right there (no pun intended). Discontinue that pos and put more resources into the GFS. I look at it (with absolutely 0 weight for forecast influence) for every storm. It's a dart board, it seems to be well N just as much as it is South. I used to look it too with actually seriousness when i was still naive and thought all models were equal more or less in the 2003-2006 era. Didn't go so well for forecasting.
  23. The 4 Seasons
    Free: Tropical Tidbits Paid: WeatherModels I thought you were a regular user of TT? P.S. can you check your PMs please
  24. The 4 Seasons
    i always giver a looksie just for shits when theres nothing else more to look at it. It's def a good run on the worst model known to man.
  25. The 4 Seasons
    This storm is a big pile of dung for most of us in CT
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