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The 4 Seasons

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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The 4 Seasons
    You guys do a map forecast?
  2. The 4 Seasons
    NAM is such a trash model. That thing needs to be taken out back and put down. Literally every model on the planet is better than that thing except maybe the Navgem. Total schizo
  3. The 4 Seasons
    Music to my ears, sing to me daddy
  4. The 4 Seasons
    literally burst out laughing at this
  5. The 4 Seasons
    its getting better each run though, finally coming into reality a bit
  6. The 4 Seasons
    HRRR scaled back a bit, think 1-3 is good for many. some locally up to 4. But i think the overall area will probably be around 2-3"
  7. The 4 Seasons
    cancellations are warranted imo. its not all about snow amounts. its just one factor. its way more nuanced than that. you can a wet snow 3-6" overnight that doesnt accumulate much on roads and melts by morning and the roads are fine by 7AM
  8. The 4 Seasons
    i can't decipher this
  9. The 4 Seasons
    probably more in the way of cancellations then delays you think?
  10. The 4 Seasons
    Small update to bring the 1-3" line down into CNJ
  11. The 4 Seasons
    it was to me, ive seen it the whole time...very odd. I think conservative is the way to go with this one, frankly 1-3 might be too high. We'll see how tomorrows runs shake out.
  12. The 4 Seasons
    Very good trends for the 9th event on the GFS/GEM/ICON and lots of potential for the 12-14th period. Ensembles still very bullish on that period.
  13. The 4 Seasons
    First thing i thought of was "5D Chess"
  14. The 4 Seasons
    Our first call for the event. With things trending colder (and drier) may have to move that 1-3 line down a bit. GFS and other model trends with qpf are not so great.
  15. The 4 Seasons
    I'm noticing a trend here
  16. The 4 Seasons
    5D?
  17. The 4 Seasons
    1-3 for all of CT? Kevin not gonna like that. Pretty much what were going
  18. The 4 Seasons
    NAM and 3K is like virtually nothing for CT
  19. The 4 Seasons
    they also both include 2 and 3". you're focusing on the higher end of one and lower end of another. The impacts are what matter, its a a pretty light event but high impact due to the sleet/ice and timing.
  20. The 4 Seasons
    I saw. @Sey-Mour Snow and I think it will be more uniform...and not the not so great look with pcp shield, snow growth etc, things we've mentioned earlier posts. We'll see tomorrow, im not digging my heels in and refusing to change anything...just where were at right now
  21. The 4 Seasons
    First call, if nothing major changes will keep for the final. Going relatively bearish with this one. Edit: Added SNE
  22. The 4 Seasons
    defintely ticked south overall a hair...getting closer to what the GEM/GFS/NAM are showing
  23. The 4 Seasons
    Def came south too and the follow up came NW good run
  24. The 4 Seasons
    GFS took a haircut on qpf but the overall evolution and track remains consistent
  25. The 4 Seasons
    Everything seems to be coming south. EC is on its own with that look. Still dont expect a whole lot of snow out of this though.
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