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ariof

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Everything posted by ariof

  1. ariof
    Yeah I was driving SYR-BOS the day before that and had to leave early to make sure I didn't get caught in it. From various notes, logs and memories it stayed mostly snow NW of a LEB-IZG line. The wikipedia page for that is mostly about the severe wx down south, but has a nice shot of the satellite. Looks like it was over TN, so it must have bounced east.
  2. ariof
    It's (ic)on
  3. ariof
    At 72H, the NAM has a 1033 high over BGM, the 06Z GFS at 78H has the same high but centered north of BML. What's 300 miles between friends anyway?
  4. ariof
    AVP-DDH-[end of run] to ISP-BOS-PWM
  5. ariof
    ICON and NAM looked quite similar at 84H … and quite different from the GFS at 90H. Of course …
  6. ariof
    SLP: GFS: AOO-MDT-YUL ECMWF: DCA-ALB-YSC I'd rather have something else, but I guess the Euro > GFS
  7. ariof
    1-2' of snow on ski country on Monday evening after MLK weekend is … not the best timing for them.
  8. ariof
    Congrats to the Berkshires and anyone from Monadnock north on the Euro.
  9. ariof
    Does the CMC usually get stuck at 96H?
  10. ariof
    AT 36 HOURS THE 18Z GFS THE VORT MAX OVER THE FOUR CORNERS IS 50 MILES NORTHWEST OMG GUYS IT'S COMING!
  11. ariof
    Ski competitions also use salt to melt soft snow so it freezes more easily when temperatures drop. Sochi almost didn't have enough of the right kinds of salt.
  12. ariof
    In the past 100 years there was that, a 1 in '94, a 0 in '81, -2 in '68, 1 in '62 and 0 in '57. And that was only other time with consecutive winters above 0. The 2016 cold snap to -16 at ORH and -9 at BOS (in both cases, coldest since 1957) is still impressive since it was such an otherwise lackluster winter. Especially when it went to 53˚ two days later.
  13. ariof
    Probably looking at what happened about 500 miles down I-95. Put out a watch to make people pay some attention, especially for the first "storm" of the season. Of course, it happened somewhere with an average snowfall of about 10" and a bunch of people who have no idea what to do when a flurry hits (and no snow tires).
  14. ariof
    EC will be in the Bahamas tonight.
  15. ariof
    Toggling back and forth this NAM run at 84h looks most like the 00Z CMC run which was … hefty.
  16. ariof
    Hey be nice to the NAM. It's only about 700 miles. It's west of the 12Z Euro.
  17. ariof
    IIRC from skiing the streets downtown there was a nice coastal front and it was something like 32˚ in the Seaport and 27˚ in the Fens. MIT Green Building supports this. Not one of those 15˚ coastal fronts, but enough to change the consistency of the SN.
  18. ariof
    Climo says 55 and rain for xmas. <grinch emoji>
  19. ariof
    Looks like a CAD storm at 168h, which can get pushed south. Might be ugly especially in SNE, though. Shown on the op runs of GFS/CMC/EC (00Z for the other models, although the EC was warmer). And just like that the 12Z EC shows the cold winning out, snow->ice even in SNE, with a sleet line up to CON. I'd take that. Put a crust on the snowpack, don't melt it. Down a bunch of wires, maybe, too.
  20. ariof
    Kind of esoteric question but … is it normal for BOS to be colder than BED, OWD and BVY during a snowstorm? BOS has been sitting at 25 during the storm, the others are 26 to 28. Obviously not a big difference, but BOS is almost always warmer during a storm. KBOS also reports winds from the N, while the other stations are reporting NE. Maybe it's some very shallow low-level phenomenon; MQE is 24 up at the heights of 600 feet. Maybe it's noise.
  21. ariof
    Verbatim, the 12Z GFS is 2-3' for most of SNE/CNE, temps below 40, just winter as it's supposed to be.
  22. ariof
    Looks like the work of NWS Podunk. Are you Intern Roy?
  23. ariof
    It certainly was. The entire region's peach crop failed (including the tree IMBY, although it had a mast year in 2017). And it 54 and raining two days later … let's not do that.
  24. ariof
    Jackson as in NH? They usually do well when there's moisture from the SE slamming into the mountains.
  25. ariof
    Looks like snow but not much accumulating in the Charlestown Navy Yard. Nice to hear things are going well at 128.
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