Jump to content

ariof

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    530

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by ariof

  1. ariof
    Between hours 60 and 72 the NAM SLP moves west by 0.75˚ of latitude. Which would be fine if it weren't starting over ORF.
  2. ariof
    I'd take that snowfall map. But, yeah, there's a long way to go with this one.
  3. ariof
    I think that was more of a "no one believes this" but yes it was forecast several days out. The numbers kept going up, I too remember 6-12" the night before (afternoon high of 63) and 10-14" the morning of. I think it took some time to change over on the coast, KBOS only reported 3" on the 31st but MQE had 15". Yeah climo would not suggest 2'+ that time of year. If it happened today this site would mostly be posts about sun angle.
  4. ariof
    IIRC we walked out of middle school wondering where the snow had come from. No one as prepared. And this was only a few months after April when the mets had called for a changeover between 1600 and 1800 and it changed at 1030.
  5. ariof
    Yeah I was driving SYR-BOS the day before that and had to leave early to make sure I didn't get caught in it. From various notes, logs and memories it stayed mostly snow NW of a LEB-IZG line. The wikipedia page for that is mostly about the severe wx down south, but has a nice shot of the satellite. Looks like it was over TN, so it must have bounced east.
  6. ariof
    It's (ic)on
  7. ariof
    At 72H, the NAM has a 1033 high over BGM, the 06Z GFS at 78H has the same high but centered north of BML. What's 300 miles between friends anyway?
  8. ariof
    AVP-DDH-[end of run] to ISP-BOS-PWM
  9. ariof
    ICON and NAM looked quite similar at 84H … and quite different from the GFS at 90H. Of course …
  10. ariof
    SLP: GFS: AOO-MDT-YUL ECMWF: DCA-ALB-YSC I'd rather have something else, but I guess the Euro > GFS
  11. ariof
    1-2' of snow on ski country on Monday evening after MLK weekend is … not the best timing for them.
  12. ariof
    Congrats to the Berkshires and anyone from Monadnock north on the Euro.
  13. ariof
    Does the CMC usually get stuck at 96H?
  14. ariof
    AT 36 HOURS THE 18Z GFS THE VORT MAX OVER THE FOUR CORNERS IS 50 MILES NORTHWEST OMG GUYS IT'S COMING!
  15. ariof
    Ski competitions also use salt to melt soft snow so it freezes more easily when temperatures drop. Sochi almost didn't have enough of the right kinds of salt.
  16. ariof
    In the past 100 years there was that, a 1 in '94, a 0 in '81, -2 in '68, 1 in '62 and 0 in '57. And that was only other time with consecutive winters above 0. The 2016 cold snap to -16 at ORH and -9 at BOS (in both cases, coldest since 1957) is still impressive since it was such an otherwise lackluster winter. Especially when it went to 53˚ two days later.
  17. ariof
    Probably looking at what happened about 500 miles down I-95. Put out a watch to make people pay some attention, especially for the first "storm" of the season. Of course, it happened somewhere with an average snowfall of about 10" and a bunch of people who have no idea what to do when a flurry hits (and no snow tires).
  18. ariof
    EC will be in the Bahamas tonight.
  19. ariof
    Toggling back and forth this NAM run at 84h looks most like the 00Z CMC run which was … hefty.
  20. ariof
    Hey be nice to the NAM. It's only about 700 miles. It's west of the 12Z Euro.
  21. ariof
    IIRC from skiing the streets downtown there was a nice coastal front and it was something like 32˚ in the Seaport and 27˚ in the Fens. MIT Green Building supports this. Not one of those 15˚ coastal fronts, but enough to change the consistency of the SN.
  22. ariof
    Climo says 55 and rain for xmas. <grinch emoji>
  23. ariof
    Looks like a CAD storm at 168h, which can get pushed south. Might be ugly especially in SNE, though. Shown on the op runs of GFS/CMC/EC (00Z for the other models, although the EC was warmer). And just like that the 12Z EC shows the cold winning out, snow->ice even in SNE, with a sleet line up to CON. I'd take that. Put a crust on the snowpack, don't melt it. Down a bunch of wires, maybe, too.
  24. ariof
    Kind of esoteric question but … is it normal for BOS to be colder than BED, OWD and BVY during a snowstorm? BOS has been sitting at 25 during the storm, the others are 26 to 28. Obviously not a big difference, but BOS is almost always warmer during a storm. KBOS also reports winds from the N, while the other stations are reporting NE. Maybe it's some very shallow low-level phenomenon; MQE is 24 up at the heights of 600 feet. Maybe it's noise.
  25. ariof
    Verbatim, the 12Z GFS is 2-3' for most of SNE/CNE, temps below 40, just winter as it's supposed to be.
×
×
  • Create New...