ariof
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Everything posted by ariof
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Here's to hoping! HIE 39, IZG 33. Given the reflectivity moving through there, Jackson et al are probably doing quite well. This is the Cranmore webcam called "snowing" and yes it appears to be doing so!
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You can see the easterly winds downslopiing off the mountains. The west side of the Whites often winds up with less and the valleys east of the mountains can do quite well.
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Near KMWN similar. 27-29 at stations in the valley. 41 up the hill. MW Obs reports 45 at 1600, 40 at 2300, 46 at 3000 and 4000, 41 at 5200 and 36 at the summit.
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get it out of the way in Nov.
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And … just like that their FB page shows them making snow. Not sure if that were last night or tonight, but if they blew last night, they're def blowing tonight.
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Unclear whether Wawa has been putting out snow last night / tonight. Should be cold enough, but they might be looking at next week and figuring it would just wind up back in the pond before they could get a weekend day out of it.
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Radiation? I know MVY can radiate quite well.
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Maybe the grinch will come early this year. (I know, I know, he'll be right on schedule.)
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Wishing a happy Model-Runs-Come-Out-An-Hour-Earlier Day to all who celebrate. [Which is probably just this forum, but still]
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I have a vested interest on the weather on Monday between Hopkinton and BOS, starting a thread here in case anyone else wants to discuss. BOX says: Sunday appears to be the transitioning point towards more unsettled weather as a robust cutoff low approaches from the southwest. At this time, it appears that this low will pass well to our northwest over the Great Lakes region , but an associated cold front may bring the first chance for appreciable rain to the region during the late Sunday-early Monday timeframe. That seems reasonable and has ensemble guidance, although models are now suggesting the fropa might get held back. The big question is the timing. If the fropa is on Sunday afternoon or evening, it could lead to a mild-but-not-hot, dry, and breezy (with a tailwind!) marathon. (April has the most easterly winds of any month in BOS, which of course the marathon often tries to run into). Slower evolution of the big ULL may allow a backdoor cold front to push in from the coast and keep it cool (the GFS and Canadian have this on Saturday afternoon). If it doesn't, though, a more SWerly flow could push warmer temperatures in, and then there could always be rain (although maybe not 2018-level biblical flood rain) as the 12Z Canadian shows (but rain and cooler temperatures than the GFS). The latest GFS has a slower fropa with warmer, muggier conditions on Monday overwhelming the NE surface flow during the race and the fropa not until Monday evening, while at another extreme 18Z last night it was a faster fropa with strong WSW tailwinds (cough 2011 cough). With Eliud Kipchoge running, that could lead to a course record and perhaps close to the two hour barrier, which has never been done without pacers (although it wouldn't count as a world record because the Boston course is downhill and too straight). Anyway, I'm hoping for 52, cloudy, with a W-WSWerly breeze (really WSW shifting WNW right around when I make the turn by the firehouse in Newton) but I'll have to follow the model evolution for the next few days.
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Checking the snowfall at Pinkham Notch on xmACIS which has data back to 1930 (thanks, Joe). Data isn't perfect but is pretty good. Their highest year was 1968-1969 with 323" which may never be touched including 160" from Feb 4 to March 5. This year was BN through January, on Jan 21 it was at 52" (9" BN). Since then, ~150" has brought it to 8th overall, and 4th highest for this day. If the models are to be believed, it will be third overall within the next couple of weeks, trailing only '69 an '58. You wouldn't know it 100 miles south, but they're having a snowy winter up there even if it's warm. Tucks might ski well into May this year!
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2020 and 2022 yes, but 2021 was wet (especially down in SNE but even up north).
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Yankee Publishing has a webcam which takes a static image every hour. They've been in the pivot firehose since the storm started at 1600', I assume they're north of 24" by now. Here's a GIF of the storm (missing the image from 0700).
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Meanwhile Mount Snow is reporting 34"
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Mixed RASN in Cambridge. "Chunky Rain" status.
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The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket
ariof replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
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The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket
ariof replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Not even close. Most recent months have cracked 200 (with no threats that happens. Mehbruary indeed.) but last January’s storm was 406! -
GFS out to 3/28 has a high in BOS of 55 … which would give March a lower high temp than Dec, Jan or Feb. Of course, the real outlier was 2020, when April had a high of 62, lower than any other month that year (or the preceding Nov or Dec).
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The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket
ariof replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
One less hour of morch -
The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket
ariof replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
congrats Mitch? -
The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket
ariof replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
15 mb in 12h over CHH … it's not quite bombogenesis, baby, but it's going in the right direction. -
The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket
ariof replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
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The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket
ariof replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
06Z on Tuesday has gone from 992mb at 41.72, 70.14 to 1000mb at 37.11, 70.14. Just a 4˚/276SM shift south. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ -
The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket
ariof replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
63˚ on 3/30!
