Chinook

For our snowstorm, model QPF values are 0.4" to 0.8" for the plains, 1.0"-1.30" for mountains. I am pretty sure that winter storm warnings will be issued for areas of Wyoming, Nebraska, and the Colorado mountains above 9000ft. Northeast Colorado could get a winter weather advisory or possibly even a winter storm warning. Powering up this system, a shortwave trough in a strong northwesterly flow out of northern Canada. You could say that this is an arctic air mass in central Canada. Canada is usually some 25 degrees F warmer at this time of year.

Models are generally showing a deeper warm sector developing near a low pressure/warm front on Easter Sunday, 12z. I wouldn't be surprised to see some sort of outlook for central/east Texas on Saturday. As for Sunday, I would expect possibly an enhanced outlook for Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.

The ECMWF/GFS/Canadian are starting to agree on snow for Sunday and Monday, possible lows in the mid-20's Tuesday morning. It's unseasonable, but I guess there are no leaves on the trees just yet.

I believe we should start a new general severe weather thread, since it's a new decade.

I think I got 1.0" to 1.5".

Will storm chasers even be able to stay in hotels? I guess campgrounds could be open.

There have been 24-hr temperature change values of -41 to -51 degrees F between Denver, western Nebraska, and Cheyenne.

I think my place got 1.63" of precipitation in March, and 5.3" of snow. This is a slightly above average value of precipitation, even though Fort Collins-CSU got a little below average. Temperatures were just a bit above normal. This time of year generally the day of the maximum snowpack depth in Colorado, so I thought I might post some maps.

The GFS and the UKMET are still holding on to the forecast of several inches of snow at Larimer/Boulder Counties. The NWS expects > 3" above ~8000ft in Larimer County and areas closer to Casper, WY. It'll be a shocker, for sure. At my area, we had 70 degrees today.

Lenticular cloud. I have not gotten a picture of a lenticular cloud in the evening for a long time

A confirmed tornado was at Troy Alabama earlier, at 15:36z (Troy Airport)

With this severe weather threat moving east, Valdosta/Moody AFB radar is not working at this time.

It looks like a tornado tracked from Baker Hill, AL (south of Eufaula,) to Springvale GA.

The latest GFS says it will be 28 degrees and snowy for me at 6:00PM Thursday. That's just too cold for 6:00PM, seriously.

Models show some snow for us on Thursday- Friday, particularly Fort Collins to Cheyenne. Once again, the GFS is showing higher values for SE Wyoming (although that didn't work out very well last time.)

So, what happened then? I'm seeing reports of 1.5" to 2.5" on the southern side of Denver.

Temperatures on the Colorado plains range from lower 40s to 80 degrees. Stratus clouds filled in northeast Colorado earlier today.

With a 986mb low over Iowa, and 60-65F dew points from Louisiana up to Springfield IL/Davenport IA, I believe the SPC will have to give a slight risk outlook for the entire cold front and adjacent areas. Especially with 75 kt winds at 500mb over this region.

Anybody know if there has been any confirmed damage at Triana to Owens Cross Roads AL?

As for now, this is a radar-confirmed tornado warning at Sewanee.

There is likely going to be some mixed rain/snow for our area on Friday/Saturday morning, with the potential for heavy snow at Estes Park.

It looks like this storm north of Huntsville is trying to develop a stronger rotation

The southern supercell near Vina, AL is ramping up with stronger rotation and a tornado warning.

Thunderstorms near Tupelo MS seem to be increasing in intensity quickly.

It seems quite likely that scattered severe storms will move across Tennessee and Kentucky, as well as adjacent areas of Mississippi and Alabama. According to most CAMs, the storms may be quite late in the day, with some stronger storms at 00z (8:00PM eastern/7:00PM central). With strong wind fields aloft, these storms will have fast movement, and I would expect a wind/tornado threat