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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. Chinook
    I am wondering if we should start a new medium-range tornado/severe weather thread, for general purposes. At the current time, there are no days with a slight risk or 15% risk on the extended SPC outlooks. This could change soon, but I'm not sure.
  2. Chinook
    Low-level rotation track for the tornadic supercell at Nashville
  3. Chinook
    This was the radar from the reported tornado at Crofton KY earlier (8:00PM CST/ 9:00PM EST). At the current time, some tornado warnings are ongoing around Waverly, Tennessee/ Tennessee City
  4. Chinook
    I am not sure if you saw my recent post about the recent Iceland low pressure. There have been several strong low pressures have been in the Iceland region this winter. Seemingly, no matter what happens, Europe continues to get warmer air masses. I have heard that January 2020 was tied for the warmest January on record. (Source: Brian Brettscheider/ Climatologist49 on twitter.) I have barely seen any TropicalTidbits maps where the surface temperature was below normal in eastern Europe.
  5. Chinook
    If you look closely, the precipitation type in the red region (freezing rain) includes snow, drizzle (temp of 28 degrees at Wichita), freezing rain, unknown (question mark symbol... usually sleet), and rain. I'm glad I'm not there.
  6. Chinook
    Freezing rain and possibly some sleet are starting to get going in OK, TX, with a small amount of snow in KS at this time.
  7. Chinook
    The NAM always seems to overforecast freezing rain. The 00z NAM has 0.75" to 1.18" of freezing rain accumulation near and north of Springfield MO, as well as some other various values of freezing rain from New Mexico to the Mid-Atlantic. Note: NWS gridded forecast has 0.03"- 0.08" freezing rain north of Springfield. I hope you guys don't have nasty tree damage or anything like that. Maybe the models like to keep the inversion layer there for a longer time period than is really possible.
  8. Chinook
    Euro/GFS/Canadian all have a closed 500mb low in AZ/NM on December 28th, so it's definitely something to watch for the southern Rockies and areas of the plains into Kansas.
  9. Chinook
    The Chiefs game should be in a lot of snow. There are heavy snow bands, with one location getting sleet, and, as you can see, 0.5-3.0" of snow measured recently. A couple places with rain and freezing rain just west of Joplin - rain at Pittsburg, KS.
  10. Chinook
    00z Euro keeps the snow closer to southwest Missouri, with 7" north of Joplin (3.7" at Joplin) (10:1 snow ratio.)
  11. Chinook
    This is maybe not what you want to see if you are from Minnesota or Wisconsin, but the 12z GFS has -23 degrees at the Twin Cities at hour 144 (December 11th), and the 00z Euro has -19 degrees.
  12. Chinook
    Lorain to Cleveland is 34-36 degrees right now, but you can already see the evidence of the LES north of Lorain on the radar, in the midst of the synoptic snow.
  13. Chinook
    Fayetteville, AR says thunderstorm in vicinity, heavy rain, 34 degrees, Bentonville AR has unknown precipitation, Rogers AR (next to Bentonville) has freezing rain. Apparently the Tulsa metro area has freezing drizzle, snow, and unknown precipitation.
  14. Chinook
    On Monday night (Tuesday 00z) the Euro and Canadian show a synoptic snow/ LES combo for Cleveland, and synoptic snow for other parts of Ohio. Yesterday's GFS run(s) had this also. It might be worth checking some model runs on this. Even if the synoptic snowfall doesn't materialize, the GFS says 850 temps will be down to -17C over Lake Erie. So this is massively cold considering October was some +3F above normal.
  15. Chinook
    To all the weather weenies out there: Pivotalweather has created Hi-res ECMWF maps to 240 hours (surface and precipitation parameters)
  16. Chinook
    The Canadian predicts a monster sleet-storm for Kansas. Just to let you know, the Canadian is not always that accurate.
  17. Chinook
    24-hr precip may have been as much as 9-16" near and southwest of Galveston
  18. Chinook
    Maybe Oklahoma City is getting a very wet August? By the way, 87mph wind report near Piedmont, OK. I have heard that there was a probable tornado near Edmond.
  19. Chinook
    Japan's radar web site shows that the eyewall has tracked over Tarama Island recently. This is close to Ishigaki. https://www.jma.go.jp/en/radnowc/
  20. Chinook
    GFS has two storms in the next few days in the Pacific. Typhoon Lekima, farther west, is expected to be 130 kt (Category 4) near Ishigakijima, Japan and also at 80 kt near the Chinese landfall point (JTWC)
  21. Chinook
    Here is a map of the storm reports, up to 647pm eastern. There is one report of 3 waterspouts. Obviously this is a notable severe weather day for this area.
  22. Chinook
    There is a confirmed tornado near Lubbock. The radar images have looked even more impressive after the tornado was reported
  23. Chinook
    Possible tornado at Toone, Tennessee, 60 mi east of Memphis
  24. Chinook
    Several tornado warnings today. As mentioned before, there have been 2 tornado reports near Rienzi and Burnsville MS. Now this may be a tornado in one of the larger towns, Columbus. One tornado report at Artesia.
  25. Chinook
    33dBz and 44mph peak wind gusts for essentially blizzard conditions at Cleveland lakefront area - otherwise, fairly windy (10 mph - 30mph) inland, some areas of 33 dBz on radar.
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