roardog
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Everything posted by roardog
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How about we just build snowcover in Canada this year and see how that works out.
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That composite looks like it has a low west of Alaska while the current look has a huge Nina like ridge.
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In that case, I guess we shouldn’t even consider your opinion and just stick to the numerous meteorologists that post in this thread.
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But there were higher heights in the west with no SE ridge so there’s still only certain aspects that are Nina like. Still seems to be a forcing battle going on.
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When it comes down to it, the only metric showing a strong Nino is the ONI. Every other metric would have you believe this is a weak to moderate Nino. Even the long streak of negative SOI only has the 90 day average at -11 so while the streak is impressive, the average is not in “strong Nino” territory. The underlying ocean warming has to be playing a role in distorting( if that’s the right word I’m looking for) the look of this event.
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It seems silly to have U.P. counties that have a 6 inch criteria bordering counties with an 8 inch criteria. That is unnecessarily confusing in my opinion.
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It’s updated on Cyclonicwx. It’s at 1.69 today.
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It’s the tweet you posted. lol
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My point is that if it advances rapidly at the end of the month like Judah hints at, you would want it to start low.
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I always thought it was the advancement during the month of October that mattered not the overall snow cover for the month.
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I guess that’s the point I was making too. It always strengthens in the Fall so are we supposed to be surprised or alarmed by this?
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Doesn’t the polar vortex always strengthen this time of year?
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Nino 4 up to +1.5 today.
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Has Paul Roundy said anything recently about believing it will go super?
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He goes from making snow to painting grass.
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Aren’t you the person that used to make snow to cover your yard?
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They haven’t been above freezing in at least the last 3 days and the highest forecasted temp there this week is 33. Their normal high is 28, so it only has to be 5 degrees above normal to be above freezing.
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Yeah but the point is that December, January and February could all be record warm months overall in Milwaukee and it could and probably would snow some in all 3 of those months. So, it’s impossible for Brian to answer your original question.
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The month could be +15 and there could still be a blizzard. All it takes is a cold day or two in a “warm” month of December to get snow.
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There seems to be pretty good agreement right now among the euro, Canadian and GFS ensembles of quite a cold shot between day 10 and day 15. Meanwhile the next 10 days aren’t exactly going to be warm either.
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The way I look at it is unless you’re really struggling with money, there’s no reason to be uncomfortable in your home.
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There are some posters in this sub forum that seem to be delusional about their climo and you win top prize for that. Actually I’m sure your act is more about trying to get people riled up than not understanding climo. The hard work it would take to grow palm trees in Wisconsin does make me wonder though. lol
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I'm starting to think the cold eastern US October that you're hoping for is a possibility.
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Your house must get full sun exposure along with you cooking in it to have it that warm because regardless of how well it’s insulated, a house will not stay that warm for that long from last week’s warm weather. If you subtracted the cooking and sun, your house wouldn’t be 70-74 degrees so you really can’t compare your situation to Michsnowfreak.
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There’s no way a house will stay above 68 when the air temp outside is as cool as it’s been with wind for this many days unless you’re doing something inside the house that warms it up.
