Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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Lol But I am curious...is that actually a thing?
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It's a hold. But the bigger thing is it's still on it's own so this analysis may not matter tomorrow, lol
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I'm guessing it's too soon to have any clues as to where in the basin the Niño will set up in terms of weather, central, or east? (or Modoki)
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I guess 0z will be telling...if it gets drier then it could be backing off
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Given it's performance I'd lean more towards this being a step towards the other models. Low looks further east to me.
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More like Poor-by-Poor!
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Sounds like we offered him an identical deal too, smh Guess he had other reasons for choosing them!
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Is it though? I mean has the GFS been terrible or no? I'd argue that's a fact--we hoped it was onto something for tomorrow but it was wrong then too, lol
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Appreciating Each Other/Poster Compliments
Maestrobjwa replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
You contribute more than you know. I've been meaning to ask if you are thinking about studying meteorology--you seem to have a natural understanding of things! -
And that would be more in keeping with the seasonal trend thus far (unfortunately). But we shall see...
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Yeah if you post a weenie on someone not buying a threat working out and then the threat literally doesn't work out...there oughta be an emoji just for that, lol
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Yeah we gotta toss the GFS solution out...I mean aside from the fact the model has been absolutely terrible...it doesn't have a ton of support on modeling nor with how things have gone with this kind of a wave this month.
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Would either of you mind giving an explanation of the AAM and how it relates to what we see in winter?
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TT Icon does that all the time and I have no idea why, lol
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This is fantastic, lolol
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Yes...but around this time of winter in a nina when you get to the end of Jan and head into Feb, a SE ridge would be a typical occurrence in a nina (and the cold we've had so far on the front end is also typival) Now it doesn't have to mean anything, of course...but it is something to keep an eye on.
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You might be able to say the same for 23-24 too.
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This. 2018-19 nino was a wimp that never fully coupled and got interfered with a lot...
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How about a modoki? Now, I don't know much about developing ninos...but I wonder when we'll know where this one is gonna set up?
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Yeah I know...but I was talking more about how we had so many of them.
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Interesting how we haven't had to have the "too warm" discussion for awhile. The mediocre snow totals from last year to now can't be blamed on that! Unless the elephant is responsible for the SIX Ninas we've had over the last 10 years... IF we can't get things going late Jan on for whatever reason (not saying we won't so don't jump on me--I said IF), we reeaaalllly need next year's niño to deliver. We can't afford to have both niños of the decade not produce.
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Hrm...I get the feeling that we may actually have enough cold air north of us to work, and maybe that shows itself as we get closer. I mean I haven't seen a SE ridge in any of the maps shared. And if it's that cold nearby perhaps that could do it? (Oy why am I trying to do analysis today? Who do I think I am???)
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Yeah I don't think he's gonna be able do much against that Pats defense.
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Lol Steelers!!!! HA!! Now we see what they do with Tomlin. It's only fitting that the two rivals get a fresh start at the same time!
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I mean I understand the purpose (extra protection) and I totally support that but..mercy they make the players look like bobbleheads, haha
