Maestrobjwa

Hey any step is a good one with how stubborn it's been

Big step in the right direction!

EE?

I feel like uncle is gonna go ape again at 0z, lol

Now I am somewhat nervous about suppression too--like if the models were to tick even further south the next two cycles. I'm not sure what the "floor" of the south trend is here. Can't imagine it's to the point of a complete whiff (I hope)--but just hoping to stay in solid warning criteria. But a lot of moving parts still, I know.

Like I said...to this day I can't take the term paulbearer seriously because of that dude--all I knew as a tyke was that it was him, lolol

This is your breakout season my friend--you are ascending

Yeah you just worry about more ticks south as we go along

Other thread, lol

Yeah I just edited it to say that. Yeah that's what made 2016 so fun to track

Whereas if we had this same Baja energy in a nino with cold air in place...we'd already be popping champagne wouldn't we?

I was about to say man that rectangle was straight-up disrespectful! Hahaha And yeah that is pretty solid overall.

I think it's because it was coupled with it's AI counterpart also going way south, lol Edit: And now the gefs too

Right there with you. It ain't right, I'm telling ya...a whole generation is going through their childhood without knowing what it's like! I was blessed to have a childhood with 1996, 2000, 2003, and 2006. But this time? I mean dang over a decade you'd think ONE time we could get something more than an inch or two to work out. And our yards in particular! There's some imaginary snow shield or something, smh I just don't get it, smh Yeah this one is far from resolved but you can't but feel like "Here we go again" when you see a model showing an unfavorable solution. Even the dang Ninos we've had in 18-19 and 23-24 didn't do jack diddly SQUAT. I mean we likely have another one coming next year so maybe we can try that again but man...rough!

Yeah because unlike then this one has had more agreement overall. But again this is a nina so these things are more likely to happen. I just hope we get a couple more swings at it in case this doesn't work out

Always possible since ninas gonna nina. What looks straightforward on the outside still has complications on the inside...oof. The AIGFS going south was discouraging...

Yeah but that news is being tempered a bit at the moment... ai runs are more south this afternoon, smh

Is that the earliest piece of this we gotta watch to make sure it goes right? Lol

Wasn't even depicted that high on today's guidance, lol

@Ralph Wiggum mentioned in the other sub that across all guidance the high weakened slightly from thr 1050s to 1044 at the most

I think that'll be good for both our subs...because a weakee high would lessen suppression risk, right?

Feb 20th?

Yeah ya don't have much choice especially if there are other things to track too, lol

Hey, as long as I don't see suppression I'm good. Because if it's amped like whst is being modeled now...it's possible that everybody will have a chance to have their biggest snowfall in a decade. Let the jack zones roll

So what sounds like a pretty decent bump north, no? And hey...if 8-10" is the fringe job? I'll take it (while still being only slightly jealous )