Maestrobjwa

Oh yeah I figured that--just talking about that particular detail, lol Yeah anything we would get before mid month would be kind of a bonus!

Not terrible at all...The "fringe" gets 8. I think I could live with that and only be mildly snow jealous

When the thermals are warming...troll run in that regard, lol

11" 2-3 HOURS?? Goodness gracious...gotta see if anybody got video of that!

Like bro what the actual heck, hahahaha that had to be one the funniest fantasy solutions this year, lol

Nah holdup we need a rule: Only one of you can complain at one time

Yeah I don't get that...I suppose we oughta just ignore it unless other guidance starts to show it. And besides, how often do we get ice when it hasn't been cold leading up to it? (Real question, actually...not entirely sure)

What do you mean "last bit of hope"? You're acting like we're heading into some total crap shutout pattern and didn't just have the coldest January in 11 years, lol

Yep he gone. It's been a heck of a run though...I just hope this doesn't hurt his HOF chances.

Wonder if it's gonna go back and forth and one wave be more snowy, another more mixy...kinda like getting 5 rolls of the dice, lol P.S. Funny that you posted now because ya literally just came to mind a few minutes ago! I hope you got through the crappy month you had okay, and that things are getting better. Just prayed for ya, bro--God bless!

Just heard...goodness gracious. January just had to fit in one more disaster on the way out, didn't it? Smh Ya know, when 2025 started with the out of nowhere ISIS attack in Nola followed by somebody else blowing himself up...I started womder whether this year was gonna be on some bullcrap. So far....goodness gracious what a year this month has been! Praying for better days ahead. P.S. At least among all this we've the best deep winter month we've had in years

Yeah Day 15+ is can kick territory, imo

Nah we were cold a solid week before that storm. It did hit 70 on Christmas Day the previous month though, lol

What have you done, lol

As modeled this would be a better split than we've had in recent years...not all splits are created equal! It's like hitting a gel pack with a hammer...how the gel inside splits depends on where ya hit it! A couple years ago I think it split to the middle of the country. Other times it could split to the other side of the globe like 2022-23 (I think that was the year) @psuhoffman Let me know if I'm off base on any of that!

C'mon man you've been doing this for years...Feb is always tough in a nina with that ser wanting to pump. BUT...look what COULD happen right after...cold again

You truly live and die by each and every model run don't you? Lol

So it's sounding like...typical Nina February? I mean if that's the case, at least we had deep winter in January with snow cover that lasted almost the entire month! That hasn't happened since what...2014? Lol And the winter has already been better than any of us would've expected. Yes it was a very low bar to clear, but still, look So, for now we can kinda disengage until the pattern actually changes!

Well technically the highest total I heard down there (8.3" in NO) is where BWI is right now. But if you're saying the deep south got more than we got in ONE storm? Then yes, lol

He was actually talking about a Mafch storm. Of course I remember that January fringe (I think officially it was 4.8")

Not that sure if either one would reach down here, but do I spy a couple of clippers on tonight's runs?

Moderate would do just nicely

2016 I don't remember...wasn't that the one-hit wonder year? And I thought 2017 was the one that turned into a sleet bomb instead...Now 2018 I remember there being all those 1 and 2 inchers in March like 3 weeks in a row, so I guess that counts. Now 2019 I don't remember at all! 2022 must've been a Miller whatever that just missed. And I guess we're defining "snowstorm" differently. I count that as over 3 inches at least. All that to say...I guess you're right. I think I've blocked it out since nothing post 2015 has stood out in my memory because it's been so bad overall.

Bur after PD they get messier tho, lol Sun angle for one thing...we start needing crap like needing better rates and it having to start at night to accumulate (and even more unrealistic snowmaps on models, lol). I get that we have done it before, but again it's been an entire decade since it actually worked past PD.

Yeah I could be oversimplifying it (the details are above my pay grade!) but just based on history...our best winters down here have come during moderate-strong niños. I'm sure there are other details to consider (again, paygrade, lol)...but hey I'd happily roll with that