Maestrobjwa

Yeah this does not feel like your typical nina. I mean...the last 4 we had before this one...weren't they all colder on the front end? (Some cold/dry, others like last year cold with some snow around). This one seems a bit unusual...

I think eventually we'll get used to the state of things. We may need to just let go of how things used to be (difficult but possible since eventually expectations will be lowered, lol) And like you said, none of this suggests we can't still get bigger snows It's just that the totals in between may become more mediocre. That part is kinda sad at times, but in the New Year I'm tryin' not to get too sad/depressed about weather. Not sure it's worth the energy (I say that but it ain't gonna be easy to let go of some stuff...We've certainly had some fun times!) But again...I think we can still get big snows!

Gotta be careful on the PBP (especially for those of us with less experience, lol)

Yeah you right I do...I think it's just recency bias. During this brutal stretch all the Miller B attempts have flopped...so perhaps my perspective is indeed a bit skewed!

Whoa holllllldup...I'm reading an article that said the first of the 2010 twin blizzards was a Miller B? Huh...

*tries to bite tongue about Miller Bs being awful for yard* So I'm wondering...do Miller As really only exist in niños? (I'd like to see a chart of just how many of our coastal were As or a hybrid vs Bs) I mean they seem to only happen a few times a decade!

Thanks for the write-up! (I'll try to look past you saying Miller B since the rest was so good )

Ah dang it for the life of me I couldn't figure out the "k", haha Carry on

Afk?

Do positive analogs even exist anymore? Like frickin' bad news bears nina and nino...not one positive comparison! Incredible, lol Now...83 and 98 were super niños, right? So of course we don't have that...unless the pattern does indeed resemble a niño? Now of course 1992 ya had the Pinatubo effect (now ironically we're almost a year removed from the Hunga Tunga eruption--the effects of which are yet to be determined?) Overall yes it does make sense we want more modoki to not flood too much mild air East (thanks for the clarification there). So then...how does the niño-like look we got now mix with the nina? I'm not sure we have the final outcome on that...but is the torch for Jan really lookin' that bad, tho?

Foggy indeed...kinda cool actually Don't get fog into the noonday too often here! (although I think it did happen earlier this year)

Man is that it's bias after it's upgrade? Coastal action outta nowhere? Lol

Not sure if you've put me on ignore or not (I am getting better, btw), but I was gonna say...Is it wrong to suppose that it looks a little more split-flowy (i.e more nino-ish) past next weekend? Or something that doesn't look nina-like, lol

I'm using the 5 day rule from now on...if it's still there on Monday then let the reeling in begin, lol

You're a mean one, psu You're heart's a snowless hole You've got bad stats at every turn You want to watch the forum burn Psuuuuuuu-U! You're a super nina SE ridge and pac puke sandwich... With +AO saaaauuuuuce!

Lol That would be tbe biggest joke ever if we go from raging negative to raging positive in the same dang season

I'm telling ya there's a lot riding on that mod niño next year, lol

Now that too would be the second time in 3 years...have we ever seen 2 raging +AO seasons in such a short span?

And to think we just had a 1.8" winter 3 years ago...if that happens again do soon that would be so bad all you could do is laugh at it, lol

Well technically for OUR peak climo that's just at the start of it. I always view our peak window from mid-Jan through President's Day.

The more seasons I track the more that rings true, lol (What was the configuration of the jet last week?)

Ah...And I'm guessing with last week's cutter it wasn't extended enough? Lol

Is counting on a pac jet relaxing in a nina something to bet on? (or am I confusing that with the -PNA?)

That's kinda how 2017/18 went...MJO and ens staring while we nickle and dimed our way to 18", lol Honestly I've started tuning out the MJO and strat discussion...because that usually means the pattern ain't great! P.S. Ya really think something pops up in the mid range during a torch? Or were you just talking in general?

It's would be even more horrendous if this year were to follow the trend psu mentioned and end up in the single digits...because that would mean 5 of the last 10 seasons were single digits! Yeah we gotta break the trend this year somehow! But if not this year...the mod niño is our last snow hope, lol