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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. Maestrobjwa
    Screw zone again, lol A severe version of winter! Sheesh...one of these days Baltimore have some fun again
  2. Maestrobjwa
    Well at least for this winter we know to treat it like a team you root for but know the season is gonna suck: Don't watch too closely and root from a distance, lol I mean I get some like to track just for the fun of it...nothing wrong with that! But me? Nah man...I can't do that again. I ain't trackin' unless something is actually gonna be a legit threat and what the models are spitting out actually matches with Nina tendencies (unless we miraculously get blocking, lol). We know exactly what to expect!
  3. Maestrobjwa
    Yeah it's unfortunate. What could be 5 ninas in 7 years could be to blame for the lackluster winters, imo. And then the two breaks we had were a weak sauce niño that never "coupled" and a neutral that was the dreaded AO+++++. I daresay this will be the least snowiest 7-year stretch we've had since the 70s! Now is it climate or just bad fortune with enso?... Now what would truly suck is of whatever is changing in the climate is gonna start bringing about more ninas than ninos...now THAT would be a kick in the stones. I do hope that's not the case!
  4. Maestrobjwa
    Wooooooowee!!! Heck yeah!! Now I'm guessing the camera makes the bolt look thicker? Or did it actually look like that? Cause' that's a full-on videogame Thunderbolt right there, lol
  5. Maestrobjwa
    Man I hope so. But PLEASE don't let it be like the early 70s when we started with back-to-back ninas followed by a completely overwhelming super niño that torched everything...followed by two more la ninas. Now THAT was a nightmare scenario. Let's hope we don't see that again!
  6. Maestrobjwa
    Well lookey here! A Winter thread, lol Alright my prediction is...IF the Nina stays, 10-14" for BWI, coastal scraper and southern slider action for CAPE, and March snow for PSU, lol (albeit that part didn't happen last yea!) Now if it weakens, I got no clue. A triple-dip la Nina is a kick in the stones...but what can ya do?...
  7. Maestrobjwa
    Nah canceling this winter would be my job, lol (if the Nina stays that is). I've already half-canceled it mentally!
  8. Maestrobjwa
    Ah dang it...looks like winter when la Nina pushes things south, lol
  9. Maestrobjwa
    Yeah that would sound about right, lol Am I imagining it or does south and west (and south east) of here see more severe activity than say...central MD?
  10. Maestrobjwa
    You rang? (even in summer that phrase teleports me in)
  11. Maestrobjwa
    C'mon man...I don't know much about severe, but I can't imagine you can predict that ahead of time, lol
  12. Maestrobjwa
    In Ninas we're always "almost" getting good things. But we're always too far north/wrong side of the bay. And the same people (the south and east part of the forum) get good events in ninas. And yes, has my yard had some bad fortune? Yes. A couple times a few ticks north and it's 6+...so maybe I am a bit sour. Even so...to go this long without one that Central MD can cash in on is kinda bad. I do agree that we've got unlucky with blocking and temperatures the last two years...2020-21 good blocking bad temps, last winter good temps no blocking, smh And to your point about base climo...When was the last time we went 7 years without a warning event? Last 30 years that has not happened. You'd have your poor years then a boom year (a year where you get something 6+ inches, or a foot) a couple more lean years, a boom, etc...But the last in the last 7 not one that produced more than a few inches at a time. My idea of our base climo is the last 30 years. You got a good one every 3-4 years...I'm used to that. These last 7 have broken the pattern big time--and included more ninas than any 7-year stretch we've had since the 70s (those who were around know how mediocre those years were)That's worse than our base climo!
  13. Maestrobjwa
    Trying not to be upset about our winters anymore...but I swear everytime I see a tweet about the frickin' long Nina still going strong...it's dang depressing, I'm telling ya. It kinda dampens whatever great mood I'm in, and I hate that it has that much power. Ya know I read something the other day about Ninas potentially becoming more prevalent? (Just a theory, but still). And thinking about last winter looking just like the last two is crap. But maybe just not tracking will make it a bit better. I know it's just June but my brain keeps going to next winter imagining what's gonna happen. Ya wish it were different, nut...I have control over it. Ya just wish it were different...but it ain't. It's not right, but And I don't travel great right now...but eventually when I'm in a better life position I may just have to take the advice and make a trip north (or heck, drive down to s/se Maryland in January) to see some good snow. Meanwhile, just gotta find a way to suck it up and not dwell on it (not easy to do, lol)
  14. Maestrobjwa
    Wooooooooweeee!!!! That ought go up for severe photo of the year so far!!
  15. Maestrobjwa
    The summer version of the winter shaft, lol So. MD has been the place to be for snow AND severe!
  16. Maestrobjwa
    Dang streetlights...guessing I won't see too much!
  17. Maestrobjwa
    Lol For the record I've never seen a tornado...kinda want to see one, but also kinda not for the damage! Fascinating phenomenon
  18. Maestrobjwa
    Yeah it's a tough pill to swallow after the frustrating winter some of us had...it just sucks!
  19. Maestrobjwa
    Sure that ain't wishful thinking? Lol Wondering if we oughta just resign ourselves to nina part 3
  20. Maestrobjwa
    Frickin' awesome!!!
  21. Maestrobjwa
    Not a drop...nice severe cloud day, lol Is southern MD/Nova a better spot for severe than north? Or do I just have a recency bias?
  22. Maestrobjwa
    Frickin' awesome! (Although I'm sorry if your roof has damage)
  23. Maestrobjwa
    Shoot...looks like Baltimore missed this one to the south. Dark skies though, lol
  24. Maestrobjwa
    BOOOOOOOOOO....dag nabbit son of a frickle! Man I might not sniff more than advisory snow for another two years, smh Well, at least YOU'LL have another great winter. Otherwise...coastal scrapers, no southern stream, GL lows yanking storms nothwest, being caught in between bands, and overall mentally exhausting tracking...It's like frickin' groundhog day and I'm so tired of it. (I'm sure my posts may feel the same...lol) And yes, I know we'll always struggle any any non- modoki enso, but to keep getting stuck with the enso state that gives us the most trouble out of all of them outright sucks. And while I agree with PSU about the totals for those season, the snowfall numbers don't really tell the whole story: HOW we got there. Ninas are good at ending up with median or even average...but they get there by mainly advisory events. 2 inches here, 2 inches there. There's little "punch" (live 6"+) for places other than the beaches and occasionally the higher elevations when we get to March. Ninas are the only enso state where we can't really get a good track for that kind of thing other than the beaches. At least the other enso states are more of a coin flip and we don't have so much working against us for a decent storm. Ninas remain the most difficult to get anything more than a few inches at a time--no big hits (12+) or even moderate hits (6+) have happened in my yard for well over a decade. I would like to see a chart of how many warning events happened at BWI during ninas vs other enso states. I'll bet the other states have more...lol If I'm wrong about this...why shouldn't I put a ton of weight on what I've seen since 2016? Too small of a sample size? I mean I've tracked 4 and not 5 Ninas and honestly I haven't seen any difference in how they've behaved! I also have a bias...my yard has largely missed the last 7 years, so maybe I'm a bit salty about that...
  25. Maestrobjwa
    Happy Mother's Day to all of the mothers--biological, adoptive, or even in this forum (that's you Mother @mappy ) You all are a blessing, and us men folk could never do what you do the way you do it--have a blessed day all!
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