Maestrobjwa

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

Defense is playing hard, just chiefs seem to have an answer for everything 

Yeah and a lot of it is just the annoying little gains for conversions, smh

Gametime baby.

LET'S. FRICKIN'. GO!!!!!!

11 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

I believe @WxUSAFwas referring more specifically to the potential around Feb. 4-6, and not to the pattern for the remainder of the winter. 

Well, Bob seemed to speaking more of the remainder of the winter, so maybe I conflated the two, lol

57 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

A couple days ago I said it wasn’t a HECS pattern, and while I still think it’s not, a few smallish changes definitely open the door to a MECS.

Hard to see how we get above average without at LEAST a MECS. Finishing under 25-30" in the cities is gonna be a bust, imo. You're gonna need a 12-15 incher, and the a couple more events like we got week before last. I do hope the pattern can at least give us that!

Just now, Heisy said:

If we want a snowstorm the cmc offers a lot better chance. GFS we have no shot with the shredder sitting over us…


.

I find whenever we gotta look to the cmc...nah, ain't gonna work, lol

8 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

GFS is another fail.  Sorry to ruin the movie

Kinda feels like wherever that wall sets up...it ain't budging, lol Don't know how often we get snows when a block (am I calling it the right thing?) flexes that far south. Still time, of course...

13 minutes ago, cbmclean said:

That event introduced me to the term "confluence".

Haha Same! Man that dang PV lobe or whatever it was trending stringer and stronger just north of us is burned in my memory...At first I developed a great disdain for confluence, but then I learned (and someone on here quickly told me) that we actually need it in other setups, lol

3 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

I just realized P10  SC blizzard

December 2018 did something to me...I have to filter out a rather visceral reaction to an output like that, lol

3 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

Bla bla bla. LFG RAVENS. 

But heck yeah...GOOOOOO RAVENS!!!!

Happy Birthday to Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart!  While Beethoven will ALWAYS be my #1, I truly appreciate Mozart's unique genius. Not only could he do such remarkable musical feats like writing down an entire symphony he heard one time, writing an Ocerture the morning of an opera, or even playing blindfolded with his arms crossed when he was just a child...(like I said, a unique kind of genius, lol), but he created many beloved works of such effortless, almost innocent power and sublimity. Oh had he lived more years! And yet what he did in his brief 36 years left it's mark on classical music. Again, Happy Birthday Mozart!

Just now, Terpeast said:

Straight from the weenie handbook: “right where we want it at 10 days out”?

Really early, but I'm wondering if this is gonna be something we wanna will north but it just runs into a wall (the block?) because it has no room to climb.

8 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

I've spent the better part of the last 30 years regulating my emotions...don't get too high or too low that way things that disappoint don't bring me down much while still being able to enjoy the good times. This practice will serve me well with this potential upcoming pattern. You can definitely already tell the ones who will crash and burn if it fails to deliver. Epic is going to happen regardless of the patterns results lol 

So would you agree that this is something that took time to learn? If yes...why not have more patience for those of us younger, less experienced ones still in the learning process of doing this?

2 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

As long as it's not kick-canny!!   But seriously, yeah, the level of consistency with that look even as it is now almost approaching the edge of the ops range is unreal.  Let's hope it is real!!

Not gonna lie: For a little while I thought you were a poster I wasn't familiar with...did not realize you had changed your name until a few days ago, lol I was like "Oh, somebody else remembered my Beethoven antics!" Hahaha

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Seriously it’s time to end this nonsense. Everything’s lined up. We just need the finish. 

Hey, that applies to a certain local fanbase in more ways than one 

Just now, RickinBaltimore said:

 

The exact meme I was thinking about, lol Yes indeed

52 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Hmmm…can I get a mow in before dark??

Sure, but remember, it's not how fast you mow...it's how well you mow fast

Only a Ravens fan knows how meaningful this tweet is  

8 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I was emotionally unwell for several days after.

I am so glad I was only 10 years old and didn't know about why/how it happened...all I remember is the disappointment of waking up that morning to clear blue skies, and being upset about it (which proves snow weenieism is something you're born with, lol). But luckily I didn't know that folks just S (or was it north?) were getting hammered.

44 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Look, yall can be quiet all you want, but imma ride the NAM until it goes off a cliff.   2-4 inches for the area with some kind of dirty lollipop N and W.   How can it be wrong?  It's at 84 hours.  Game on

1 minute ago, baltosquid said:

If PD is the timeframe can we delay til like, just AFTER PD? Only a few days! I will be out of the country. I guess that might guarantee a KU…

NOOOOO sir! You know the rules: We urbanites don't get KUs after PD...so request denied 

3 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Here's a more detailed look at this H5 pattern...

Very clever, lolol

35 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

This is where we talk about the ravens game??

But of course  Actually when we delete this thread to start a new one so it'll trend better...we rename it the AFC championship thread!

19 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said:

temp anomalies are fairly below average for the same time period though. i wouldn't expect extended ensembles to have good thermals in regards to individual events - that is most definitely not what they're mad for and you can't disregard a pattern because of controls runs. i get the concern but really i don't see where this is stemming from

Then that makes even less sense. How are the anoms below normal, perfect looking pattern, yet no snow? And of the things that could make a storm rainy...would snow means pick up on discreet features like that? If this is an error I'm wondering why it's been repeated over 10 days of runs...Doesn't make sense.

6 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Shut up dude...please 

Alright grumpy. Ya didn't answer my question though... What exactly are you objecting to in psu's post?

11 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

I mean this with all due respect but you can be exhausting sometimes 

Why this time, though? He's just pointing out what could go wrong (as he usually does, lol). He doesn't bring up out of nowhere worries, but usually points out stuff with discussion of the models and such that may indicate something that has a chance (albeit small) of being a concern. Kinda feel like we need to be realistic, and if something COULD be a concern, we gotta temper expectations with that in mind.