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Posts posted by Maestrobjwa
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25 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:
I told you guys we have to wait until the back half of January
If that does turn out to be the case that would eat up prime nina climo--February and that SE ridge man (unless something were to change that this season)
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1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said:
It will be interesting to see how things evolve. Since 1980, December PNA- cases have been followed by January PNA+ cases. Prior to 1980, December PNA- cases were generally followed by January PNA- cases. It is possible that the less stable PNA state is, at least in part, a result of Arctic amplification.
I'm curious to see the resulting snow results for BWI & NYC after those PNA spike years...but off the top of my head it seems only two ninos and 13-14 produced down this way. -ENSO was all below average.
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1 hour ago, Ji said:
Seeing as one of those January days had a low of -2...yep, sounds like it, lol Ya had only 4 days the entire month get to 40 degrees! Snowfall, on the other hand...was 8.5"...and we only measured a trace for the rest of the season. Oof...and seeing as the next year was a Niño, I wonder if 1976-77 was indeed a dying nina like this one seems to be. Rather paltry results in the snowfall department...and February torched as you'd expect, lol
Anybody got what they indices (AO/NAO/PNA) were that winter?
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32 minutes ago, Benjamn3 said:
It kinda still is, looks like it warms as the evening goes on. At least in my area it’s gonna be 50 at midnight on the 25th into the 26th.
Why does it feel like the sub is trying to talk itself INTO Christmas being a torch? Lolol It's like we have so much scarring the prospect of Christmas not being 60 degrees is short circuiting the weenie brain!!
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Uh-oh...guess what day it is? Guess what day. It. IS? Man this oughta be a global holiday

On this day 255 years ago, the most consequential figure in the classical-romantic era was born in Bonn, Germany. The great Ludwing Van Beethoven...one of the greatest composers that ever lived. No composer singlehandedly brought about a new era of music quite the way he did.
Beethoven was always a fiercely independent and determined man, and burst forth onto the music scene first in Bonn, and then in Vienna. He was a brilliant virtuoso whose talent quickly reached wide accalim. The musical world increasingly at his feet.
But then...the malady that was so crushing hit him. BUT...after a near-death struggle coming to terms with his incurable deafness, Beethoven came out with a new determination: To express all the music that was within him. And he was determined to make music on his own terms.
Because of the crushing affliction of gradually increasing deafness, among other trials, struggle and triumph permeate his music. And perhaps it is for this reason that his music still resonates so much today. His music was the raw expression of the human soul; all of it! And could this expression be fit into a musical box? It could not! Someone had to come along and open the door; and Beethoven not only opened it, he broke the whole wall down. No longer confined within certain walls, classical music was expanded to fully express what's in the soul. But in order for this to happen, somebody had to
It is almost as if his struggle with deafness and a couple other physical afflictions. was the very thing that helped create the revolutionary music; that, combined with his sheer determination and fire, created music that forced the door open. As one documdrama ("The Genius of Beethoven") put it: With Beethoven, "music grew up". Everything Beethoven did tested the limits of instruments, musical form, and the very performers themselves. How things were done before could not contain Beethoven's music! His "new way", as he termed it coming out of his battle with accepting deafness, continued for the rest of his life...and gave birth to an entirely new era of music known as the Romantic Era.
I could say so much more, but...his music touches me in a way nobody else's does. My soul identifies with Beethoven, and his music gives me thrills so much that anyone that knows me knows how I move when I hear any Beethoven work! He is the composer I revere the most--and I thank God for him!
Happy Birthday, LVB!

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1 hour ago, stormy said:
As cloudiness has prevailed this afternoon, a non initialized warm front is evident.
What do you mean by "non-initialized warm front", exactly?
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1 hour ago, Ji said:
bam bam bam

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44 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:
That throw to Zay may be his best of the season?
Easily. And today Lamar looks more like LAMAR
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17 minutes ago, CAPE said:
But Faaleleleleleleeeeeee is GOOOD!
It's like the privileged son getting starts just because, smh
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3 minutes ago, CAPE said:
The Ravens are already yellowing my snow.
This offense is so fucking bad, mostly because of a terrible OL.
Stubborn coach, a good GM who royally screwed up, smh
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6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:
Yeah that looks legit. BWI on the other hand…multiple spotter reports over 2” nearby
That verifies my unoffical measurement of about 2" on the grass here. Yeah got a little unlucky with the banding, unfortunately...but it still looks gorgeous outside with the snow sticking to everything.
P.S. Glad I took a minute to enjoy it before coming on here and seeing we got kinda unlucky being between those bands. Man being fringed south the first time and north this time sucks man

BUT...still looks really nice though! Gorgeous scenery for the Christmas season

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Oof there's a heavy band JUST SW of me. Hope it can expand north some

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7 minutes ago, ravensrule said:
Ill be up all night. I’m not missing the best of it. I can sleep from 7:00 until noon and then get ready for the Ravens game. They’re going to freeze their nuts off.
Unfortunately I cannot because of my job--in this case a church service moved to Zoom, lol
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Sidewalks and roads starting to cave now. 33°
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Just now, ravensrule said:
You should do fine.
Oh yeah I'm not that worried--especially looking at stuff starting to cave (but I might be sleep for the best of it--I'm a night owl but not a 4 am night owl!)
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4 minutes ago, ravensrule said:
That makes more sense, by me even the streets are snow covered.
Yeah the rain hung on a little bit as you got further southwest. Only just got to 100% snow about 45 mins ago. And just SW of the city there's still a green bubble, lol
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Just now, ravensrule said:
That’s brutal. Moderate snow and everything covered here in Stevenson.
Yeah that is weird...I'm in the area near Good Sam and I believe it's all snow now. Grass, cars, and a bit of sidewalk all coated.
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3 minutes ago, jayyy said:
Incoming Columbia, Ellicott city, Catonsville and NW Baltimore. The band that was overheard here for a while is knocking on your doorstep. 12:15 I’d sayI have trust issues with banding...lol Been so long since I actually got under one without it weakening when it get here
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2 minutes ago, Got Haggis? said:
Nothing but rain in Baltimore City (just walked from Penn Station to JHU Homewood area)
Really? I'm not far from Morgan and it's mostly snow with maybe a little bit of rain hanging on. Can barely hear it now
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Temperature descent started after 10...down to 34 now. Looks to be mainly snow
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3 minutes ago, Ji said:
I’m pretty much out of patience with the stormI'm finding that when ya stare at it too long that tends to happen more. Maybe the secret is...don't stare too much?

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1 minute ago, Chris78 said:
If you were at 27 it would be congrats Bob chill lol
Yeah you right, lol
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2025-2026 ENSO
in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Posted
Having to punt the first half of January in a Nina isn't great for anybody on the EC, in my opinion. You always have the looming possibility of that SE ridge in February. Now when you say Feb strat disruption that reminds me of February 2018. By the time it took effect it was in time for those further north like you (I think you all got a March blizzard)...but not so much south. Oof