Maestrobjwa

1 minute ago, Kmlwx said:

Large hail is a rare event in ANY given location. You're biased because it's your backyard. 

Think about why the SPC probabilities are "within 25 miles of a point" 

The probs are never "damaging wind at your exact location" 

Even factoring in the city boundaries, it is not a lot of geographical space. 

I'll little that down to just any hail. Seems to be hard to come by in the city. But others have said something about the bay.

16 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Large hail simply doesn’t happen much in this region at all

Is there a reason for that? I mean in general...even with small hail, it seems to happen in the county more than the city.

Why doesn't large hail happen in the city much?

40 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

This will most likely be a 6pm start for the event.

NWS site said afternoon

27 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Ever heard of the NWS? They make weather forecasts lol.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-76.644&lat=39.283

 

It's weird that I never go on there and just look at model runs...lol Guess I was looking for an hour-by-hour. 

Welp...wondering if it'll be a gametime decision.

4 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

For DC Google says 40% chance of thunderstorms between 5-6.

Wondering about Baltimore early afternoon

44 minutes ago, RickinBaltimore said:

Gibson's pitching. Yup.

Lol But seriously can somebody answer that? Trying to see so I can know what to expect.

Headed to the game Sunday. Think the afternoon is a washout?

39 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Thanks, just fixed it.

Niiiice! FINALLY no 95 s/e gradient

3 hours ago, Weather Will said:

WB 18Z GFS rain totals through day 7.

Isn't that the 12z Euro?

18 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 The image below of daily WCS PDO shows it has recently fallen and is at -0.86 as of yesterday. The corresponding NOAA PDO is likely ~~-1.75.

Ah darn it...okay thanks.

19 minutes ago, CAPE said:

The usual area of lighter precip NW of I95 is present on the 12z GFS. Eastern VA jackpot.

I'm done, lol Ain't no way this is random luck repeating all these times. Something in the atmosphere changed or some quirk this year has made some weird uh...block? I'm not satisfied with no explanation for this 

Speaking of which...where is the PDO right now?

4 hours ago, CAPE said:

A lot of uncertainty associated with the closed low idea and how it plays out. Potentially some significant rain somewhere in the region.

The latest ens means-

 

 

Maaaan I hope it ain't gonna be just on the same ol' area s/e...other regions need it a little more!

Wow. Is it just me or have the winds this month been quite cool? Like all the breezy/windy days it's been a very cool wind (can we have this in July? Lol)

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

Great draft as usual by the Ravens. They know what they are doing.

Yes indeed. I think we addressed our needs pretty well overall! Ya know even with our playoff struggles, we are still a Top 3 or 4 organization in the NFL--we Ravens fans are very blessed! And of course no one can hit on every pick, but each year we have a solid, calm BPA strategy and stick with it!

Ha...I Can't believe everybody and their grandmama knew we wanted Malaki Starks at 27 and he still fell to us anyway, lol I think he is gonna be a STUD. And it was a bold move to take a chance on Mike Green--a player we would ordinarily stay away from because of the off-the-field issue. But the need was great enough that it's worth the risk, imo.

1 hour ago, toolsheds said:

2 calls stick out in my head from the game last night.  1. The called strike on Gunnar when he checked his swing.  There was no way he saw where the check swing stopped....and wouldn't ask third for help.   2. Soto was pitching to Woods in the bottom of the 8th and had a pitch that was a little higher than  exact center of the zone, which led to a walk. walked. 

I know that the O's problems are much deeper than the umps, but these are calls that can't be missed and were game-changing calls. MLB needs to get to a spot where video review can be used to help correct these issues. 

I think that's on the way. ABS challenge system was experimented with during ST in some parks...pretty sure it's just a matter of making sure it's ready.

And yeah I mean...the O's are already struggling--but between the injuries and umpires we need some dang luck man, lol

Sweet mercy...hockey is just different, lol

8 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

I really fail to see what digital martyrdom on a weather forum does to advance the cause 

I'm lost on that too. I don't know how that's  gonna accomplish what he thinks it is...unless he's got something else going on.

24 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

What are you talking about? 

I love this team. It’s a great core. My point is, and has been, back these guys up with the pitching they (and the fans) deserve.

Well I mean ya just gave a rather fatalistic "The future is now and they blew it" as if it were no coming back for this group, so I didn't know what you meant, lol

And I totally agree on the pitching--these dumpster moves ain't it, man. And even bringing in a veteran hitter that's actually good would help too. These young guys need leadership--and that's what's been lacking the last year or so. The best teams have found that balance of young and veteran and we haven't yet.

19 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

After seeing Elias's deadline deals last year and this past off-season what gives any confidence things will be better next year? Or the year after? 

He obviously knows how to scout and draft talented position players but what has he done with it? I thought he was going to follow Houstons blue print, but that stopped when it came time to pony up real money lol.

New ownership could choose to fire him, ya know...(perhaps he has a leash for this year, but next year may be the hotseat). People are forgetting about that part--Rubenstein & Co. have been here barely a year, and they deserve to be given a chance, imo

2 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

What pisses me off the most is you've got all these Youngs guys making basically league minimum and Elias isn't willing to pay an ace. There was some options out there this past winter. Including the guy in Arizona.

You are right. Elias totally blew it. This is not a good team as currently constructed.

Maybe not this year...but ya'll are acting like it's all over for the next 5 years, smh

3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Keep trying to be positive. The future was now and they blew it.

Oh so I guess the whole team is beyond repair and needs to be blown up, right? Sell everybody and start over? I mean according to you they already blew so there's no hope whatsoever for the future of this group, right?

3 hours ago, Chris78 said:

This era of Os baseball will be over before we know it. Adley through 27 and Gunner through 28. And that's if they don't trade them prior to there FA to start another rebuild. 

They peaked 2 years ago.

It's unfortunate , but with Elias unwilling to spend big or trade the talent that's stuck at triple A for the pitching this team depserately needs this is what we're stuck with.

I've already moved on from this season for having any post season expectations of this team.

Except...they didn’t. This team was incredibly young and inexperienced--that's why they didn't do anything in the playoffs. I do not believe that's the best they can be--they are too talented to not be able to do much more than that. It could just be an issue of leadership--and there's still time to correct that. I mean with this core, you actually make the right moves to add to the team, and possibly get a new manager, this could turn around in one season.

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

Never a good thing when you want a 2nd opinion.  Got to be more than even money that he needs some sort of surgery at this point.  

Yeah he's done...it's a crying shame with as much potential as he has. I was looking for him to grow into an ace, but alas...