Maestrobjwa

15 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

18z Ukie. Remains hope for N/NW crew with Rgem.

Really interesting how this has trended amount-wise....I'd just rather not have further NE ticks, lol Although I see this is more because of the Ukie being warmer.

4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Oh trust me I’m very concerned about it. I’d be less concerned if I was you just based on locations but we both could get mega screwed here. 
 

What’s funny is if things hold we’ll just be waiting for that band to form and praying for our nowcasting. Can’t really even watch it come in. 

Yeah I'm slightly concerned--in part because in ninas NS waves favor E/NE of here more, it seems...so if we saw a slow bleed that way I would not be shocked. But hopefully not

12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

GFS a teeny bit more NE but really just noise. Still fine around DC. Best stuff definitely NE MD plummeled

Still got 36 hours...NAM went more NE as did the Icon...gonna watch to see if that trend continues at 0z

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

Hasn't that area been constantly shafted the last several years even though we had good snows the last couple of winters? I'm rooting hard for you folks up there!

Yeah it has been a historical shaft to say the least! Would be so good to get this one

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

LOL I was extrapolating it at hour 39

You might wanna avoid that kind of pbp posting--because if you're not sure you can kinda fall on your face, lol

10 minutes ago, GaWx said:

WCS: Pretty steady for now but still within a longer term (6 month) rise:

Thanks! Where do you find that? Been interested in the PDO because of how much the negative state screwed with snow chances the last decade.

So...how's the PDO looking?

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

At last! Improvement across an entire suite 40 hours out...maybe this one has a better chance 

12 minutes ago, yoda said:

 

Like Baltimore being in a good spot rather consistently on these runs so far...only 40 hours to go, lol

12z GFS says what Christmas torch? 

12 minutes ago, caviman2201 said:

I need the JMA in my life... someone used to post that one all the time when we got desperate

And then that one random time it turned out to be right, haha (can't remember exactly when that was)

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

0z Euro shifted SE. Bottom line is that we have no idea what will happen, other than the fact that it will likely snow somewhere along the I-95 corridor

Seems like a step toward the GFS though...although precip distribution looks different.

Taken from another thread: AIGFS looks much better.

10 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

It’s all alone. So probably lean away from it 

Hrm...sometimes the stubborn GFS 48 hrs away ends up being annoyingly right and sometimes it looks dumb--a legit 50/50 in either direction, I'd wager!

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Please stop. Your almost 65

Wait he's seriously in his 60s? Lol

7 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB OZ ICON

Sold 

*secretly roots against this in hopes it helps the Sunday one juice up*

Just now, Chris78 said:

Oh it's a disaster for some

Looks like the stripe got more narrow

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

NAM much better

 

Well that would be cathartic! Sounds like we have our goalposts...now we wait, lol

7 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

It’s like 60hrs out and starts Saturday night it’s not that far it’s like two and a half days. 

From what I can gather from CAPE and Psu's posts...for this particular kind of setups 60 hours is far away. Best not to get any hopes up on anything given the balancing act going on. I'm counting it as partial fantasy until we get to at least Saturday.

16 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Pivotal not as generous to everyone.

This 

29 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Um, no? Most of us know, but watching areas well to the south cash in several times while T - .2" are what we have seen in the northern areas as the reality kinda blows.

 

I don't know why up here we would be "spoiled with this pattern". This pattern has been rather shite for many of us. Cold, dry, windy.  

We're a little outnumbered by the southies in this forum, lol

CMC Looks pretty nice 

Just now, CAPE said:

Based on recent runs it appears there will be a pretty narrow zone with strong lift as modeled. Not the best outcome for the mental health of our subforum lol.

Think we're getting close to some goalposts here or could this still improve some?

2 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Yes. For VA and Eastern shore

 

I thought it took a positive step over all--actually better than 12z...another step maybe more are happy?  My yard is on the edge but firmly so there.