Maestrobjwa

5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Phase 8

Neg AO

Neg NAO

Positive PNA

You'd think! A fail would just be bad luck i.e. a random anomalous high at the wrong time. But hopefully not!

3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

I don't think i invented the phrase but i've said it alot over the past few years.....Nina's love the beaches and North Carolina

Always, smh Although it has been awhile since we've had this kind of moisture from the stj during a nina...so you'd hope that would help. But then ya got that dang high pressing (not sure if that's a random NS thing or not).

3 minutes ago, CAPE said:

What makes you think tomorrow would be definitive? Trust me, we won't know yet.

Well I was thinking that if the anomalous strong high was gonna verify and keep pressing we'd start seeing more and more suppressed solutions by then.

20 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

I'm telling you especially if you live north

If it fails I'm not sure how much of a "rug pull" it'll be seeing as we could very well know by 0z tomorrow whether suppression (the biggest fail risk) is gonna be an issue or not.

3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Hey at least we have AL's models on our side

Yeah I'm having a hard time believing those, tbh. Until we see less suppression from the regulars it'll be hard to buy it

4 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

I know, that's why I posted. It shifted south.

Oh my bad I was looking at the gifs in the wrong order, lol Darn it

29 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

I'd like to see the Eps shift north.

Stolen from the southern forum. Just out to 144, of course

6z Euro looking pretty nice at the end. Starting to feel like...as long as we don't have any guidance go the opposite way (more squashed) and have everything at least hold steady today that would be encouraging

Just now, stormtracker said:

We'd all take the Euro at this point.  Good to have the AIs still doing their thing.  Good place to be so far

And besides this was still better than 12z, no?

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Looks like 18z

Those graphics man. You still have a Commodore 64?

It's like yeah you get the panels quicker, but...the quality of product is another matter, hahaha

17 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

Yep, ditto here. That stuff lasted OTG FOREVER!

Well it is cement, right? Lolol

Just now, Terpeast said:

Think I’ll take the under on 1055 on that high

Why do you say?

3 minutes ago, bncho said:

ICON + CMC + GFS combo vs Euro + Euro AI + GFS AI combo

i think i know which side i'm taking for now.

Better not to take any side till we get closer!

1 minute ago, nj2va said:

Oh my, Caleb Williams

Sounds like DJ Moore may have screwed something up there too

22 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

The good news is both AI models actually went The other way and was more amped at 18z compared to 12.

Yeah but never underestimate the possibility a random GL low to ruin things...especially in a nina (that's actually what messed up 12z too). I swear those things just show up at the worst possible times, smh

27 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I know this is for Philly, but this just underscores the upside potential for this general area in the next 7 days.

 

 

And in this case what's good for Philly is probably good for us 

Just now, Steve25 said:

Was I wrong to read this as him in support of the more suppressed look? 

I read this the same way...and I believe that would be his bias anyway

3 minutes ago, 87storms said:

Increasing sun angle ftw

Will never forget when Bob called it the dumb angle (talking about this sub) hahahaha

3 minutes ago, 87storms said:

Even this week’s temps are looking a little higher than they did a few days ago. Was expecting a brutally cold week ahead, but looks like only Tuesday will be bitter. The rest of the days show 30s/40s for highs.

Yeah I was surprised to see a near 50⁰ day mixed in there.

7 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Definitely. SW and central VA jackpot. Lalalalockitup

Dang it, lolol

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

Euro AI laughs at the gfs lol

Alright Bob you gotta gut instinct for this kind of setup?

1 minute ago, bncho said:

18z GEFS trended colder with the heights a little bit lower. We will see what that does to the snowfall projections.

I'd imagine we'd wanna keep them higher...

26 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

That Baja Blast upper low is a BIG piece of this. Does it sit and eject waves? Does it come across as one big bowling ball? We already know almost assuredly that we are getting a cold arctic high coming South. 

Alright man you're not hijacking another nickname of mine--I'll sue! 

2 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said:

Looks dry again after today light mix. Maybe 10 days before the next precipitation arrives if it does.


.

I mean we don't really know that quite yet...gotta see where the weekend thing goes.

6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Op is cold asf, thats for sure. Too much of a good thing. No matter what, if this solution verifies, the cold is goong to relax at some point and that ull is going to lumber eastward. Delayed but not denied friends.

Eta: i dont buy this op run fwiw

If I had to pick a window to bet on between this one in yours...I may prefer yourself because stuff would be starting to relax a bit whereas this week the cold is building in. But I could be wrong though