Maestrobjwa

Just now, 87storms said:

That was a flush hit of 6 hrs of snow followed by 10 hrs of sleet. If that ends up being out flagship storm in a winter that was generally cold from start to finish, then I want my money back lol. I don’t think we’re done, though…not as long as we keep getting these outrageous cold shots.

Yeah but don't forget what we usually get in Ninas. How often does it snow 6-7" at ALL in a nina?

9 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Hmmm

There would be so many people 5 posted it would just be 7 people in there, lol

1 minute ago, Ji said:

Euro is sleet

Concrete...or perhaps consleet 

You know what...I'm kinda glad the Euro showed what it did. Keeps us from getting too high on this too soon, lol

Just now, 87storms said:

I’ll be the guy that says I’m perfectly ok with a temporary warmup and rainer to clear up this snowcrete. Clean the slate for our March nor’easter. That said, this has probably been the least productive cold winter I’ve ever experienced. How we’ve been unable to cash in on a single, flush hit snowstorm is worthy of scientific research.

The snowcrete is about as flush of a hit as we usually see during a Nina. I wouldn't kick the last 2-3 weeks of sustained snow pack with frigid temps out of bed

13 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

No shock in light of the Ukie as they seem to think alike.

And the AI seems to predict what the Euro will do too. Darn...

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Dang!

20 minutes ago, RickinBaltimore said:

If you haven't seen the Lindsey Vonn crash yet, don't. She shouldn't been on the slopes with a torn ACL and that crash...

You know I certainly had my doubts about her doing this...BUT at the same time I can understand why she did it. The poor lady has had her career derailed by injuries (I mean what is this, ACL #5???). She's gone out that way so many times...but knowing this was likely her last chance, she probably just wanted to go for broke and see if something magical happened.

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

I don’t think that’s the intent. CAPE can correct me if I’m wrong but genuine comments and questions are ok. But this thread is a place to actually analyze without 500 clown snow maps and bickering. This way those that want that kind of more “fun” relaxed but storm related banter have that thread and here we can do deeper analysis without wading through the BS. It’s a way to have both. 

I appreciate this thread--helps to cut through some of the noise. I've purposely stayed off of this site the last few days for the very reason of not wanting said noise leading up to a possible threat. But I did start to miss the great analysis here, so I caved and came back, lol This page is easier to read...and I hope I can ask some novice technical questions in here on things I don't always understand!

19 minutes ago, CAPE said:

And other rational, smart people who choose to join in. But I'm good talking to myself lol.

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Who cares when there's this too.

https://x.com/JustinWeather/status/2018864755256250868?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^2018864755256250868|twgr^afdbcb3bf1f7882daea6c56237bcb5b4801b0525|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.americanwx.com%2Fbb%2Findex.php%3Fapp%3Dcoremodule%3Dsystemcontroller%3Dembedurl%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fi%2Fstatus%2F2018864755256250868

 

Just posted this in the MA sub...that is absolutely crazy

A crazy tidbit about just how impressive this cold has been: Even down to dang CUBA, lol

5 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Gimme the EUROAI 

Thought that just showed a cutter this time? Lol

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

The problem is h5 looks quite a bit different on current ens guidance for that period compared to a 3-4 days ago. The developing NE Pac Nina ridge is stronger and we end up with a largely mild Pacific air mass for the mid month period. Not much cold around as currently advertised. Still subject to change ofc given we are 10 days out. As usual, we just cant know yet.

Still feel like that window will be our last chance for snow until March (unless guidance shows something different for late Feb?). Saw in another thread the timing of the SSW is similar to 2018...

Thought this was an interesting tidbit (pretty sure it would count for BWI too, lol): @H2O This further proves your point!

55 minutes ago, bncho said:

Alright kid if you're gonna share Beethoven then you HAVE to listen to Beethoven too--it is a requirement 

18 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

 

Yes, it will moderate around mid-month, I think that's been advertised for a bit now so no real surprise.  Also, keep in mind that mid-February max temperatures (looking at DCA) are pushing the upper 40s around that time period.  So getting into the 50s for a few or several days isn't exactly unusual or "winter cancel" territory.  Keep in mind, by the end of this upcoming weekend we will have had one of the most extreme and consistent cold spells in a long time, which will have lasted around 2 full weeks straight.  I think some perspective is lost with a bit of freaking out over a relaxing pattern simply because we've had such a prolonged period of very cold and well below freezing.  And if/when it turns colder and more favorable again, don't expect that we'll have the same level of cold at that point as what we've just experienced.  But we don't have it be that cold to score well the latter part of February and early March.  And despite what some on here feel, I personally don't mind a good snow event or two even in late February or March; who cares if it doesn't linger for a long time by that point, climatologically speaking.

The problem is when does it reload...and if we can manage an event VD/PD weekend with said relaxing pattern. If we don't ya start wondering about the rest of the month. I mean I don't read ensembles that well so maybe somebody can tell me if thet show cold coming back after next week. And a February SSW doesn't give me confidence because that was too little too late last time. But man I'd love a good snow event in late February--that would be almost historic given how rare it is  (I won't believe it till I see the calendar say February 21st-28th and it's snowing a few inches outside, lol)

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

can we really call it a jackpot?

It's more pot than it is jack

The endless parade of "kickers" coming out of Canada and using up all the space is frickin' annoying for us hu great for SOVA and NC, smh Not counting on jack diddly this week because of that!

2 minutes ago, Amped said:

Well, so much for winter.

Man that's just one panel it doesn't look to stay that way--hush, lol Now as far as getting something that weekend I don't know...

Just now, Terpeast said:

Since I moved back to the area, we've gotten zilch in March... so the WDI is off the charts. 

With a fading nina I feel like this would be a better chance than we've had in awhile...but still, snow in March and all it's messyness, lol

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 0Z 12K NAM

Just enough to make the commute messy? Haha

9 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I have no idea, found it on the intewebz.  What's the name of the docu drama again?

The Genius of Beethoven - 3 Part Series (One for each creative phase )

31 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Almost time to change my avatar to reflect the mood 

What's the full picture of that? I don't believe I've seen that portrait!

P.S. I'm gonna keep bugging you about watching the Beethoven docu-drama until you do 

4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

3 of Baltimores 17 biggest snowstorms came in March. Baltimore has had snows of 22”, 16” and 13” in March.  And 2 years ago I ran the numbers and showed that Baltimores odds of getting a 4”, 8” and 12” Storm peak the first week of February but then only decrease slightly until you get to the 3rd week of March when they drop off a cliff.  

You say this every year. Every single year. And one proven it’s false like 3 times and you still say it. Why?  
 

 

Notice I just said February this time. I'm talking from PD-end of February we have never gotten a big snow. We've gotten a couple smaller ones though as you have pointed out. I did not say it was impossible to get a big snow in March...I just don't like relying on March for that because it's so rare and hard to do.