Maestrobjwa

Just now, jayyy said:

Looks legit based on the outcome. kidding… Yeah, it’s JV status if I’m not mistaken.

Bro how did you say you were are sneaking those emojis in here again? Lol

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

12z finally running.  Concurrent with the 18z GFS, lol

So will it be happy hour or happy no hour or...

Just now, LeesburgWx said:

Wait, so did the euro run and was SE off the coast or did it not run yet?

It hasn't run yet. They were having issues with it.

8 minutes ago, Ji said:

Pann went low?? In what universe?

That's what I want to know! I mean he's THE weeniest local TV met in the state...he seriously went that low on the easiest blizzard forecast ever?

5 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Just missed on Gfs on 2/25

That was just to keep PSU humble 

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

There ya go.  I was right for like 2 out of 100 times with the SV maps.   Told ya..15 in DC...was off on the Bmore part tho

You rabid anti-Bmorite getting all high and mighty because of your snow performance this year 

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

It's actually FOLKS worthy if the SV maps are right

Is it just me or have the waves we've been tracking this year just looked weird? (I am NOT complaining about that result, btw! Just curious)

Just now, psuhoffman said:

There was room for that storm to trend west on the Icon looking at the h5. It was more an issue of a weak POS wave than being blocked on this run. It also might have been about to bomb and turn up looking at the flow. There was more ridging. Just needed the upper low to turn negative quicker. 

What does POS stand for? At first, when folks were using it lowercase I thought it was just slang for piece of *expletive* because the wave was too weak, lol

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

I’d prefer it showed some amped up monster even if it was rain. Not because of any seasonal trend. Because of THIS setup. With this setup even if the storm was over amped we would get a good snow/ice event before any flip to rain. Those runs 2 days ago were about the worst it could get in terms of too amped. That’s the advantage of this kind of blocking. Even a cutter gets turned east and secondaries and you get a thump snow at the least. The total fail option is a weak wave that gets suppressed to our south. So while I’m not worried yet this is the opposite of what is prefer to see right now. 

And this is where you'd really prefer a nino-like stj wave instead, isn't it? This one on the current modeling has looked a bit wimpy. Diary of a wimpy wave?

15 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Just watching the ICON.  It's funny how we went from a super duper amp'd system to one getting almost squashed and then sent out to sea so far.   Good thing is, we got PLENTY of time for this to change and it will.  Which way tho...that's the question.

Wonder if the strength of the block and how much it relaxes is gonna be in play here...Man I'd love to have a juicy stj wave right now, lol

1 minute ago, ravensrule said:

I would be very surprised if that happens, but after the last 9 years you never know. 

I am learning to never underestimate the great snow wall of Baltimore. It's still standing until it's not! But all it takes is one storm 

Just now, ravensrule said:

If that comes to fruition, i may actually lose my shit for the first time and make Ji seem normal. 

And if you do then where are the rest of us Baltinorths gonna be? Lol Fantasy range or no...just the image is enough to annoy ya!

2 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

Just got my lazy butt out of bed and just measured 2.9”. Hopefully i can reach 3.5”. 

Measured about the same. I'd like to think 3.5 isn't out of reach...

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I should have waited one more frame.  But it looked like it was about to go ham on us

You should've taken into account the magical Baltimore wall that has given you southys so much snow the last 6 years...this storm is gonna have to PUNCH to break through that 

But yeah this run was a so frickin' close...just relax the block a LITTLE bit more?

12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The fringe is real 

Ah so since the event is starting to wind down we fringites can be road salty without judgement? Cool 

That being said...just measured 3" even. Just snuck under the miderate bands earlier in the evening. Nice consolation prize...

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

1.2" here 

I'm gonna take Chill's advice and just assume it's gonna even out eventually (I hope, lol)

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

no wonder you like this EPO patterns... 

Alright so that's two things he likes that don't help us Baltimore northwest folks: Beaches and -EPOs, lol

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Can feel you on this it seems like the really good banding down near Burke just never could make it up another 5-10 miles to my backyard. Can’t complain too much either way considering how areas further north are doing… 

Dang you're even closer to the imaginary line, lol

8 hours ago, Paleocene said:

Oh fun another week long tracking thread. I'm an addict

Seriously though--there is an addictive element to this that I have not yet gained the upper hand in. Goodness gracious...can't, stop, looking 

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

Ok but the result of that SER was an over amplified wave 

I feel like ya wanted to trip me up here...but I concede. An overamplified result would be the SER-NAO thing. I actually hadn't put the two together in my mind for some reason. Alrighty then, lol

27 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

I think 4” should be relatively easy. 5” is stretching it. 
 

Eta: Looking at the radar now things seem to be sinking South pretty fast. If that continues we won’t hit 4”

Dag nabbit...well, that was a nice little bonus we didn't even think we'd get. Actually looks pretty nice outside. Onto the next!

1 minute ago, ravensrule said:

1.7”, I’m shocked. Nice little storm. Hopefully i get to 4-5”. 

You think we can get to that if the rates stay where they are? I mean that would be a frickin' win after what I expected here in the city.

Lol Look at this... it looks like Baltimore City was able to sneak under the very edge of the deeper greens, haha Not sure what this will yield, but I'll take that as a win  

39 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

18z GEFS is north and more amplified than 12z.  Are we going to worry about over and under amplified at the same time now?  

Let me go on the record by saying I never worried about over amped. Just what you yourself laid out yesterday with the SER-NAO. Otherwise I liked how amped the wave was.

I'm sorry but I'm just not feeling the Orioles this year. That sorry display in the WC round gives me zero confidence in our bats. They were softer than bread pudding and had zero mental toughness. I feel better about our pitching (still need an ace though). They're gonna have to win me over this year...because right now I am not enthused.