Maestrobjwa

2 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Latest HRRR at H18 (snow still falling) - actually seems in line with Euro.

So the slight drop off isn't so much temperatures as it is where the precip sets up?

8 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Initial call. A lot could change as this is really a nowcast event, so I feel like I’m really sticking my neck out on this one. I’d also add an inch over the delmarva east of the bay north of 50

 

Move that purple line an inch south would ya?  

8 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Ukmet makes no friends for dc area. 

It's still the only one showing temperature problems. I mean any random trend can happen...but with zero support of that less than 24 hours away, it's hard to give it any credence.

13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

??

this is better than 06z for almost everyone here 

Weenie run for Baltimore!

9 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

936-1212 lol. The ink was worn off the buttons on our kitchen phone hahaha. When snow was in the forecast I would burn it up late afternoon waiting for the update. Great memories that few can relate to outside of this forum. 

I'm pullin for you folks up north. It's a tricky setup but I really hope it comes through and swipes the metros with a satisfying snowfall. Nature's Xanax and things like that 

This is so interesting how the weenie insanity manifested itself before phones and internet. But no matter the era...driving force was still the same, haha Whhyyy are we like this?? Lol We need to be studied!

1 minute ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Paging Beethoven (and @stormtracker, @Maestrobjwa...fellow classical music afficionados!)...

Hahaha

First of all...LOVE this poster--hadn't seen this one before (only thing I'd fo is make it a little brighter)

Second of all: YES...we have PLENTY of symphony for you all 

8 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Euro looks good.  Don’t know how it compares to 18z. But 2-4 down this way. Similar precip axis like the others. SV graphics are made in Minecraft 

After all this time they ain't updated those graphics? Lol

45 minutes ago, bncho said:

so anybody staying up until 2am lol

I'm up at 2am 90% of the time anyway, so...yep!

Just now, nj2va said:

Ukie used to be a better model…it just seems to always be off the last few years.  I’d trust the higher resolution models at this point.  I do think DC will likely be just under 10:1 ratios.

It seems to be the warmest model overall too. Now we can watch and see if any of the other models get warmer tomorrow, but if not...it could be on it's own. We actually haven't talked much about any potential temp issues...

2 minutes ago, DMAC98 said:

Lol...?

What the heck did it just fart out? Lol

2 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

Leave it to Ji to snap us all back to reality lol

He only said some version of what is already in all our subconsciousness...lol But the good news is the low end of the goalposts are now closer to 1-3

Just now, baltosquid said:

It may not be a christmas miracle, or even a christmas eve miracle, but man would it be nice to reel in a christmas eve eve eve eve eve eve eve eve eve eve eve miracle!

Props for counting all those out exactly 

35 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Just constant fringe jobs the past 5 years out here. It sucks.. 

Now you did get in on a couple of the WAA part of storms during that time frame though, didn't you? (Hope I'm using the right term)

12 minutes ago, LP08 said:

 

Booyah!!!

8 minutes ago, CAPE said:

It's really not that important- but if you want to call it a clipper, that's fine.(not sure what a 'regular system' is exactly). It is a NS wave moving along an Arctic boundary, with some interesting mid/upper level dynamics at play. Not all 'clippers' behave the same way.

Well yeah I know it's technically "not important" but pardon me for merely being curious--I always wonder about the little things others don't think "matter"--just my nature. And in this case...clippers have been extinct for a decade so I was just wondering if this would count as the first since then 

9 minutes ago, bncho said:

18z GFS is a christmas miracle but south wins again lol (move this to digital snow thread if need be mods)

You know what? I wouldn't even care if they got more...it would be a frickin' White Christmas!!

1 minute ago, Chris78 said:

Plenty of time for a south trend

 

South trolling will hereby met with north trolling so watch it brother!!!

Now...does this qualify as a clipper, or is this just a regular "system" so to speak?

15 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

18z Ukie. Remains hope for N/NW crew with Rgem.

Really interesting how this has trended amount-wise....I'd just rather not have further NE ticks, lol Although I see this is more because of the Ukie being warmer.

4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Oh trust me I’m very concerned about it. I’d be less concerned if I was you just based on locations but we both could get mega screwed here. 
 

What’s funny is if things hold we’ll just be waiting for that band to form and praying for our nowcasting. Can’t really even watch it come in. 

Yeah I'm slightly concerned--in part because in ninas NS waves favor E/NE of here more, it seems...so if we saw a slow bleed that way I would not be shocked. But hopefully not

12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

GFS a teeny bit more NE but really just noise. Still fine around DC. Best stuff definitely NE MD plummeled

Still got 36 hours...NAM went more NE as did the Icon...gonna watch to see if that trend continues at 0z

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

Hasn't that area been constantly shafted the last several years even though we had good snows the last couple of winters? I'm rooting hard for you folks up there!

Yeah it has been a historical shaft to say the least! Would be so good to get this one

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

LOL I was extrapolating it at hour 39

You might wanna avoid that kind of pbp posting--because if you're not sure you can kinda fall on your face, lol

10 minutes ago, GaWx said:

WCS: Pretty steady for now but still within a longer term (6 month) rise:

Thanks! Where do you find that? Been interested in the PDO because of how much the negative state screwed with snow chances the last decade.

So...how's the PDO looking?