Maestrobjwa

6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Op is cold asf, thats for sure. Too much of a good thing. No matter what, if this solution verifies, the cold is goong to relax at some point and that ull is going to lumber eastward. Delayed but not denied friends.

Eta: i dont buy this op run fwiw

If I had to pick a window to bet on between this one in yours...I may prefer yourself because stuff would be starting to relax a bit whereas this week the cold is building in. But I could be wrong though

2 minutes ago, Heisy said:

AiGFS still a huge hit, difference between it and the OP continues to be the STJ energy that crashes on shore around day 4.

One thing I’d say is the 18z AiGFS was a little slower with it and it almost left it behind.

There also looks to be some N stream energy diving S around 5-6. As usual it all comes down to luck and timing of these two waves. The opportunity is there. This event def favors S mid Atlantic more imo just because they can get a hit even if most of the STJ energy gets left behind

Over the next few suites I hope we see a gradual N idea.


.

I mean with high pressure pressing down in the middle of the country, wouldn't south be (unfortunately) more likely than north? Feels like that's a pretty strong press.

Oh dang the streets are actually starting to cave!

Well, well! A surprise coating on the grass! Maybe a half inch?

7 minutes ago, Amped said:

Ecmwf almost gets the entire country precip free on friday.

Precip "free"? I'm assuming that was a typo, lol

9 minutes ago, Ji said:

I am getting so incredibly frustrated. Heart of winter and seeing digital blue miss is for 360 hours of frames

Spending less time looking at the models can help. I find the more I focus on whatever the weather frustration is, the worse it gets. So maybe limiting your time until we are actually in 5 day range may help 

9 minutes ago, Ji said:

You’ve got to be kidding

Not helping yourself, bro. Just don't look at it, lol

If ya want a little dopamine, the ICON showing a pretty nice hit at the end fwiw

Just now, JenkinsJinkies said:

Yeah, but if we somehow go through the 25th-10th window without getting any measurable snow then you know the Feb long range thread will have 30 pages of wall to wall butthurt.

Kinda feel like there should be a little grace if that happens because it would be 100% understandable--but let's go with the positive for now that we will see something measurable  

Just now, JenkinsJinkies said:

If we do waste this window the weenies are going to be completely insufferable.

Do you love snow? If you do you too are a weenie 

23 minutes ago, Ji said:

I actually hate being negative but this is the only place I can be negative with weather and it’s justified. How much snow have we received since 2016? Just think if me as an ensemble member. I’d like to be positive. But every time
I try …it all falls apart

Just have some mercy on me. I’d love to change my tune

Hey...we all have some level of angst with the way things have been the last decade. Trust me I get that. But brother...you gotta handle it better than this. I'm learning how to do the same (not all the way there yet, lol). If you address the core of your angst from within you won't HAVE to vent as much. Because right now this is unhealthy even by this board's standards.

2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I’m hugging 0z Nam haha smokes us. 

Yeah you PSU and Mappy should love that one!

15 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Ugh. 5 Bills turnovers 

Were you rooting for them? I kinda wasn't, lol Allen almost got away with turning it over 4 times and I woulda been annoyed since Lamar makes 1 or 2 and doesn't get bailed out!

Just now, Terpeast said:

Wow, that’s bullish. I don’t know if I would have issued a WWA

Yeah I don't get that...and calling for 1-3" at that? Ehhhhh...

8 minutes ago, Ji said:

Nope thanks to you…I’m going to double up

Why is there always something always ready and available to shunt our storm south and east

You know how ninas are

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

Temp dropping nicely, but maybe doesn’t matter much??

Yeah I mean if the warm nose on the modeling is real then it may not...

Just now, Warm Nose said:

That doesn't look like a WxRisk map. There are no intersecting lines

Were you summoned by @WxUSAFsaying warm nose?  (BTW what went into choosing that name? Sarcastic irony?)

2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Would love to see the mesos come in wetter and colder this evening.

Yeah this morning was okay but a tad underwhelming

30 minutes ago, stormy said:

I don't mind sharing!   I'll send half of my 8 to D.C. for the 00 run.

4 and 4 seems like a good deal.

Hey hey what about the less fortunate in Baltimore and just west? We're people too 

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

LET ME CLARIFY...we DO get some snow...just not in the heaviest batch

It's pretty much the story of how things have gone so far...looks good approaching us and just does the ENE scoot with the good stuff

Kinda makes the NEXT weekend sound better if the pattern is relaxing...because perhaps that raises the chance things come further north?

Just now, stormtracker said:

204...this is the time when SV starts skipping fucking panels.  Watch 204 will go to 250.  Been happening lately

So you get to be far ahead but with ICON levels of service? Lolol

Just now, Solution Man said:

He’s here because of those storms

Haha But wait...if he's 14 that would've been the raging +AO 2011-12 winter, lol

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

Nah

I was about to say...it sounds like you've done your homework kid  And only a natural-born weenie would be well versed on a storm that happened before he existed

12 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I think this event is almost entirely dependent on the upper level jet streak- how strong it is and exactly where the right rear entrance region is located. 

That more of a nowcast/0z tonight thing?

14 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Canadian cold has won out this year. I think suppression is a bigger concern. 

Hm...perhaps the stj waking up could help with that?