Maestrobjwa

Just now, stormtracker said:

Lol. I just saw it.  It’s such a radical change.  I don’t trust it tbh

I get ya there, lol

To quote one of the first posts I ever saw on here 10 years ago next month: "Wam, bam, thank you nam!" Lol

GFS looks a little wetter (possibly close to the 12k NAM?) to my amateur eyes.

1 minute ago, Ji said:

id take that and call it a winter

Lying isn't good ya know

5 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Might want to just ease up.  We're not in storm mode yet for this thing and I'm usually respectful of that when it occurs.  I'm just trying to add some humor to alleviate the tension or aggravation...at least I'm not sitting here posting 100 complaints that things suck.

Sorry I was gonna delete that. You're probably right

2 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

(After further review...lead wave offsides...repeat 4th and 20!)

Might wanna ease on the banter a tad during model runs when we have a threat to track

18 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

In fairness it’s been unimpressive with snow almost everyday despite a great pattern. I’ve noticed it. It’s slightly concerning. Slightly yes but with taking note. 
 

We are about to end a 25 day period with a mean pattern that matches the mid Atlantic’s best snow patterns. But the heavy snow axis was actually from Milwaukee WI to Vermont!  And guess what the long range guidance kinda nailed that. Remember Ji complaining the snow means looked low?  They were right. The majority of the snow didn’t hit where we expected given the pattern. It was displaced north. 
 

Now the snow means are kind of saying the same for the next go around. We will see. But if we get two periods with a perfect mid Atlantic snow pattern but the snow hits 200 miles north of us that’s kinda troubling, and enlightening. We would have the answer though. Just not the one we want. 

Yeah we're gonna need to see this second period...given the backloaded nature of Niños. Us getting our first snowfall on Monday was right on schedule, wasn't it? Are we sure this isn't just the typical Niño? We could end up with 7-8 inches for this week....

But at the same time, what you said about the location of the tpv...basically you said that if the "boundary" were further south those NS waves could dig more to the SS, right? So it's not just bad luck?

P.S..........I don't like Hadley cells. Whenever they're mentioned it's always bad news, lol

11 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Were they the ones saying 1-2 or 1-3 for the other day? 

My thoughts exactly, lol

WBAL going 2-4 for central MD...Thoughts?

9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I'm in Baltimore 

Haha Shoulda added "when you get home"

P.S. We now work like four blocks from each other (recently started playing at a church in the neighborhood)

10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

You do it, don't be lazy.  

Yeah but you're higher up in the atmosphere, so you'd have more leverage...so get up on that mountain, and PUSH!

9 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

It would be more challenging but it would certainly feel like winter.  Amped systems cut and we hope for timing something...sort of what we just went through.  Others more knowledgeable could probably parse potential ground truth outcomes better than I can.

And any other stretch, I'd take that. But there's more at stake for this winter coming of the last 7 years. We don't get to above average through nickels and dimes. Yes, I'm thankful for those don't get me wrong...but man we need the big dog. And a setup like this month with cutters followed by messy wave interactions we need to get a bit lucky with may not get it done, imo But I'll defer as well to those more knowledgeable. 

17 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

12z GEFS with the first signs of Blocking showing up.  TPV dropping further south as a result.  Would prefer not to have to deal with a TPV center over Hudson Bay again....hopefully we can get this to slide east over time.  

 

Please no. With the difficulty that badly positioned tpv gave us this month, geels like that would make a big dog more difficult...Sure we could get events like Monday, but not sure you wanna live like that with the SS waves not being able to amplify as much, NS flying around...ack. A better position would be nice!

1 minute ago, Ji said:

freaking marcus man

Who? Lol

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

I seriously don't get the negativity in here this morning.  It's wild.  For those of you who want to bellyache, how about heading over the panic room and staying there?  

And in addition to that...look out the window at what just got and be grateful. We're likely to get at least a little snow on snow...and this is the first snow that wasn't immediately washed away, and as a bonus, not melted away in a couple days--that we've had in sometime.

I don't know where this is, but...Heck. Yes

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Long range GFS is a mess

I mean...weren't expecting anything next week anyway, were we? Lol

Well the good news is, even if this one doesn't work out...yesterday did, and it was a uniform win across the board. So at least we would've gotten 1 put of 2 with a reload coming  (not giving up on this one yet though)

7 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

But snow is a IMBY thing, and I CAN be greedy....

By all means...we're all snow greedy deep down 

7 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Fucking Jersey.   The win with this setup.  Vort moved north and over us vs 18z

Now to be fair...they didn't do as well with what we got yesterday...so maybe it's their turn, lol

We've been spoiled by 5 straight days of positive trends, lol

13 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

It's a damn shame that frontrunner energy zips on thru essentially detached from the ULL vort. This one had alot more potential than many think. But I also think many here will be quite happy with another light event....a snow-on-snow. Save Feb for the big dogs. It is sort of funny tho that for 5 weeks we get deluge after deluge, cold air comes in and they vanish. Again, we take what we got, no complaints. Just funny.

I think it was just getting under that tpv. Suppressed the SS a bit...got slightly unlucky there--which is why we should be very grateful to get what we have so far! Thankfully we're getting a bit of a reset...that stj is still very much alive, lol

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

Good

Because that would allow the southern piece to amplify a bit more?

5 minutes ago, primetime said:

No. That's definitely Attitude Era, you can see the signs. So that was probably when he was with Kane. Around 1998. Before he was Paul Bearer, he was Percy Pringle in various promotions in the southeast. Interestingly enough, the real life Paul Bearer is William Moody and he was in fact, a mortician.

Yeah I put I'm the Banter thread that I saw that he was Paul Bearer, the Kringle, the Paul Bearer again, lol

7 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Yes

Ah now I'm reading he went from the gastly gimmick to looking more normal, to looking gastly again...I'm guessing the gif was when he was in between!

Now see, as a kid, before I knew what an actual Paul nearer was, this was my only association; so now every funeral I'm at when I see the title Paul bearers I start snickering inside imagining that voice! Dang it WWE, lol