Maestrobjwa

Based on what we've seen so far...cold has not been the issue. So all we need is some gulf juice and I'm sure we can all get something. (What that is is tbd, of course)

Over-running *clap clap clap-clap-clap* Over-running *clap clap clap-clap-clap*

Now I will say...for the laymen here...upper-level maps aren't the easiest to read. I mean with practice I think one can get better, but...that may be part of the reason, lol

Speaking of that -PDO (which is getting on my dang nerves, lol), man I just flipped through the PDO cycles...and never has any other time in recent history have there been so many -2s and 3s (and an all-time record -4!) in any other -PDO cycles than we have in this one. I mean goodness gracious is the elephant driving this too? And I'm wondering when we'll know it's finally easing up instead of just the natural fluctuations within the cycle.

I was just trying to remember what made that winter fail, smh Ah that was the "cold air trapped on the other side of the globe" winter...

Oh yeah I know--just reiterating support And hey...no such thing as "should". While I can't speak to what you've gone through, I do know that deep wounds can still hurt from time to time even a few years later--and that's okay! I think over time we just become better equipped to handle it.

So sorry about that, man...

Sounds like we offered him an identical deal too, smh Guess he had other reasons for choosing them!

Yeah I mean again...unlike many of the years in this awful stretch WE'VE HAD COLD (I feel like we had it last year too). I mean C'MON...all we need is some moisture (which is why model runs for next week are encouraging)

And cod...don't forget the smelly cod

Did you mean January 2016?

At the risk of semantics...SO perhaps not "simple" but rather simplER? That is if you were to compare overruning to a phase event which is easiER? @CAPE or anybody else have thoughts on that?

Is it just or does the stj seem to be waking up next week on the models?

Overrunning is the simplest way outside of a classic Miller A. You aren't worrying about any messy wave interactions--just moisture into cold air. And I believe we had that happen a time or two in 2014.

What was it at 18z?