Maestrobjwa

(The rare time this emoji is useful, lol) Thanks for the ninja @cbmclean

Yeah over the last 10 years we have seen ACTUAL shutout patterns where you roll models foward and see red for days and days...this warmup one is mild but weak with cold air not far away. I'll take this kind of a short-lived "thaw" any day!

When Brooklyn posts it's good tidings

I thought so--that comment sounded like it was written on a graded paper with a C- in red "You can do better" ink! All y'all sound alike I have schoolteachers in my family (mom, both grandparents) but that gene skipped me...I'd be open to teaching like...not kids though! What subjects/grade level do you teach?

Lol...You're a teacher, right?

At the end of the run?

And it ended up being not horrible but still below median (at least here anyway)

C'mon man...For the life of me I cannot understand why you don't just take a frickin' break from here when you're frustrated with how things are going. Just take...a break.

Well, the notorious part has been more notorious the last 10 years--I think that's the problem. Personally my base expectations were formed by being raised from 1990. A good foot or two every 3-4 years with suckage in between just so happens to be what occurred from then to 2016. But this period of time is the least snow for the longest period of time anybody in my generation has experienced. I have adjusted expectations now--but just wanted to give some perspective.

I'd be on board with that. Shoot these days I 5-post myself if when I'm feeling a certain kind of way, lol But yeah if I had a vote I'd say do that...it would help everybody. If you're frustrated it does not good to vent continuously--because it only perpetuates a bad mood and ya don't feel better!

Yeah I reeeaaallly don't think anybody should be cliff-jumping over hr360. Not after what we saw all last month, and even over the last couple of days. Fact is we just don't know...I'd suggest some spend less time here and less time model to model until we have an actual threat to track.

I do! I realize that my innate tendency to jump way ahead to the next season and speculate doesn't mesh well here, but ah c'mon man it doesn't hurt. It's just speculation. And El Niño is currently starting to show signs of it's presence, so that part isn't about models not getting it right--as it does appear to be happening now, and it could influence THIS winter. Besides...who wouldn't wwant to have another swing at El Niño lined up for next year while we see what this one is gonna do? (I like a good back-up plan myself )

Let's go. Now my question is...how is the PDO looking? If it stays hostile I'm a tad skeptical of even an El Niño delivering next year. I mean 23-24 was one of the most mediocre ninos we've had--I'm not sure whether the raging -PDO was the main cause or whether the Hunga Tonga eruption 2 years prior had something to do with it too.

I'm gonna guess he meant that if such a scenario were to materialize, it would be a simpler way to score?

What does that stand for again? And yep...gonna start calling these kind of runs dopamine hits, lol