It’s definitely one of those what a time to be alive kind of mornings. Upper 40s in the Chicago suburbs for overnight lows in early February. I moved here from Atlanta and I guess I brought the climate with me aside from those 10 days in January. This has been an easy transition. .
Going to need cross polar flow to get any real cold air here. Without that, there is no cold air source. Maybe that’s what the GFS is struggling with. .
Not sure I’ve seen convincing evidence that the 2nd half of February will be colder. Seems like a gambler’s fallacy to me. The end of the EPS and GFS are a problem because it’s always the end of the run that holds promise. .
An annoyingly chilly spring awaits. I’ve got to say that for all the talk of winters here, my move from the southeast has been pretty smooth. Aside for about 10 days in the deep freezer it’s been pretty tolerable in the Midwest. .
Aside from a 10 day period of BN temps these firmly AN stretches just dominate. Not sure where things go after mid February but until then things are uneventful and mild. .
It’s all about the track of the low and its speed. Aside from the immediate lakefront, prolonged north easterly fetch would have made things interesting. .
Was hoping we would get some lake effect if winds were to come out of the northeast for any prolonged period. Looks like it rapidly shifts to the west northwest. [emoji2375] .