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DocATL

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Everything posted by DocATL

  1. This ULL next week looks interesting. Maybe some reverse lake effect for Chicago.
  2. The CMC has been honking the horn. The GFS as usual is struggling with mesoscale events. I’m keenly awaiting the mesoscale models. Someone is gonna get NAM’d.
  3. I would think it is OK if we do not totally flush the pattern. It may become about timing the cold intrusions with a moist Pacific flow. .
  4. Canadian threw us a bone. I’ll take the fantasy snow for next week.
  5. No question I have seasonal affective disorder from the cloudy days and early nights. Luckily the craft beer is better up here!
  6. I think late January into February will be colder but probably not snowier. In a nino year, this is prime time for southern sliders. I would think March would be our opportunity to get a substantial snow.
  7. Makes sense…we can’t even get a fantasy threat on the models right now. .
  8. Helpful post and certainly picking up on the suppression piece. [emoji120] Thanks! .
  9. Ehh…El Nino Decembers are notoriously torchy. Also, historically, going back to the 1940’s December temperature departures are considerably above normal. December is the new November. Winter is January through March. This year we may have to wait till February. .
  10. Haven’t been here too long. Certainly seems like pattern persistence is the name of the game thus far. .
  11. That was always the fear. Going to be threading the needle. .
  12. Yeah SSWE is predicted but where does the cold go? Thats the question. .
  13. Well I guess we know it can snow somewhere in the Midwest in December albeit in lake effect areas.
  14. At the very least we’re going to see a parade of cold rain events. Kind of the recipe for an overnight slushy event. .
  15. Looks about right to me. The stars may align late January but it’s a gamble. .
  16. No guarantees that a SSWE will occur and furthermore lead to wide spread cold in NA. The MJO isn’t great early January and with our luck could be low amplitude. .
  17. Yes we’d be lucky to see 72 straight hours below 32° .
  18. Accuweather has Chicagoland below freezing for the entire month of January. Whole month.
  19. Judah firing warning shots in his latest blog. Winter cancel perhaps? .
  20. Let this sink in…on December 23rd the GFS has high temps in the mid 60’s in South Dakota. Mid 60’s!!
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