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DocATL

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Everything posted by DocATL

  1. Going to be bad when those early buds get wiped out by cold mid and late March. .
  2. Been reading much much more than I post and thankful to many folks here like for sharing their knowledge. It seems the pacific does have a major bearing on our winter and the PDO has significant long term effects (albeit with debate). Please correct me if I’m wrong (but preferably with a little less snark [emoji6])
  3. Joe Bastardi is an energy sector guy who’s going to warn about sloshing bathtubs and impending cold even when there is no impending cold. Strat warming is a near non issue with a -PDO. The pacific runs the show. Nothing else matters (much). .
  4. Some intense warmth coming for Illinois next week! Mid 70’s in February per the GFS and pushing 80 per CMC. Thats quite a signal. What a time to be alive. You can thank me for bringing that Georgia warmth [emoji6] .
  5. Yeah from an ENSO perspective I have no clue what’s good anymore. At this point, we might as well reap the benefits of an early spring. It appears March will be continuing the warm trend.
  6. So last winter was a Nina and Chicago hardly had any snow. This year in a Nino we get two weeks of winter. Not sure what’s normal at this point. .
  7. Dud model run after dud model run for northern Illinois.
  8. LOL! Problem is it will be a rude awakening! .
  9. https://www.facebook.com/share/p/yVWKoWgvVpYCWcf1/?mibextid=WC7FNe I brought the Georgia warmth with me to Chicago to ease me in to the winters here! .
  10. https://x.com/bamwxcom/status/1757415044361380080?s=46&t=vaNz3X96rQKSXMNwtdXFsA .
  11. And south it goes. Well it was fun while it lasted. .
  12. The GFS is on an island. Fully anticipate a rug pull for northern Illinois today on subsequent runs. .
  13. What is going on with the models? First this botched pattern change and now this wildly changing Nor’easter forecast. How are we this bad at forecasting even with AI at our disposal and voluminous analog data? .
  14. Euro is hardly interested but the GFS is stringing us along… .
  15. Do we want to play Clipper Roulette in Chicagoland? So far only the GFS but I’m tempted. .
  16. I was thinking that and this morning’s GFS run seemed to suggest that although the 12z was a nothingburger. .
  17. Love how the big pattern change takes us from way above normal to above normal. .
  18. Ok May 1st maybe an exaggeration but definitely spring-like, no? .
  19. Tornadoes in Wisconsin. Can’t make this stuff up. .
  20. Well, it absolutely feels like April 1 here in Chicago. 54° and thunderstorms actually probably more like May 1. .
  21. Lol not trolling. The euro loops back to 7 and then low amp phase 8. Don’t love that. .
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