WVclimo

Looping the h500 panels, hours 222-384 looked really familiar. Grabbed the Kocin book and looked again at January 21-27, 1987. Pretty close match to 18Z.

The rain showers moved through a few hours ago. Skies cleared, the temp spiked into the low 50's and then the winds ramped up quickly about 20 minutes ago.

The long-awaited pattern change just hit here with a 52 mph gust. Currently roaring outside. Nice to see winter returning.

The flooding here was epic but my favorite weather event had to be a 15" snow accumulation on March 21 (my snowiest birthday ever.)

2006-07, another weak Nino, was pretty wretched after a chilly start during the first week of December. Widespread warmth that had people in early January in Boston noting that trees were blossoming and folks in Ohio complaining about insects. The guy from NM was hitting the '06-'07 analog pretty hard throughout the fall in Chuck's ENSO thread on the main forum. That terrible month + from early-Dec through mid-Jan was warmer than this stretch has been, but the pattern flipped around 1/17 when an EPO ridge built north through Alaska. That ridge started showing up about 12-14 days prior to onset on the ensembles. I know that winter isn't remembered fondly by the metro area crew, but my yard hit snow climo with the latest of late saves: the VD storm that dropped 3" of snow here followed by 3" of sleet, a 6" dump on 2/25, another WSW event in early March (a rain to snow event) and another 6" on 3/17 after 3 days of temps in the mid- to upper 70's. The whole month of February was great for consistent cold and storm chances. No reason to think we couldn't do it again.

70.83"

Overcast and 58 degrees. Westerly winds gusting to 32 mph.

Thunder and a flash of lightning here now too.

Heavy downpours this evening here have pushed today's rainfall past an inch. 71"+ as the year winds down.

Good call. Over 70" now, which is incredible. I can only find one year over 60" (1996) in all of the local records dating back to the early 1900's.

0.83" overnight, bringing my total for the year to 69.95" Rain has ended for now.

Days 12-16 on the FV-3 look like a lot of fun. Thumb projection ridge nosing into the Yukon Territory, split flow, and a PV dropping across Hudson Bay.

Up to 69.05" for the year after yesterday.

In 1970 I was living in western Maryland. It started snowing late in the afternoon of December 31 and snowed heavily until midday on New Year's Day. Finished with 21". Still one of my favorite storms ever. I have been waiting for a repeat of that one with the same timing for a long time.

2.53" for the weekend. 68.06" for the year.

Big difference between the 00Z runs of the GFS and FV3 for this weekend's event. GFS has the 5h low over DC at 126 and over NYC at 138. FV3' has it exiting the coast at Myrtle Beach during the same time frame.

Last 31 days here have had a -4.9 degree mean temp departure. Nice early-season stretch.

High of 31 here today, the first sub freezing high of the season.

16 degrees for the low. Coldest of the season so far.

Been snowing for most of the past hour here. Now a moderate burst has whitened the ground. 32 degrees.

Stayed socked in all day here. Fog and 45 for the high so far.

November here had 8 days that stayed in the 30's for the high temperature. Very unusual.

Will be spending the weekend of Dec 14-16 in the mountains of WV. Our rental is right around 3000' asl. Hoping the long-range models are wrong about a thaw at that time, or a lot of planned activities might be in jeopardy.

MRB needs 0.10" of precip by Friday to crack the top 5 for wettest November (since 1926)

Had a fair amount of ice in the trees midday before the temp rose above freezing. Total for the day was 0.92". 5.90 for Nov.. 64.96" for 2018.