Stormlover74
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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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Hrrr change from 18z. Arrives at 6 am ends by 4 outside south nj
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The wettest model is around .15" so we'd need 20:1 to get to 3 so its doable but with the confluence/dry air there's high bust potential. So many schools are canceling or doing early dismissals, would be weird if kids left school early for a dusting
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It's now wetter than the nam
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Advisory for 2 to 4..30:1 ratios?
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Not for us up here unfortunately
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He lives south so great news for him
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Early tomorrow morning
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I thought we might lose some today but stuck in the 20s with no sun
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Yeah I think i did fairly well in that one. 2015 I believe
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Hrrr brings snow in between 3 and 4 am
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Yeah this isn't going to plan for a strong el nino winter for sure. No big KUs but not getting shut out either. Granted the warm rainy December and first half of Jan was on par
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lotta scammers out there
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when it shows a warm nose and sleet
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All the models have a relative skunk zone over the metro with more to the south and more to the northwest but who knows at this point. Probably won't be uniform amounts
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Why is it a bust? It was 1 to 3 all along. Now if we only get a dusting or flurries tomorrow I'd say its a bust. Upton is being conservative and that's wise at the moment.
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It's incorrect when it's alone unless it shows the same thing for 3 or 4 runs which it did not or another model trends toward it
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It lines up with the gfs and euro and rgem
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Shocking. So all the models are now around .15-.2" liquid. 2 to 3 with ratios more south. Nam was off its rocker yesterday
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It stays below freezing til Monday so at least it'll stick around and look wintry for a few days but yeah we need an area wide 4 to 8 to save us later on
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It came north from 6z but jts long range so who knows
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Only like cape may coast
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Yeah but it sucks with qpf. Need to slash it by 1/3
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I mean the nam is kind of all alone if you figure the hrrr and href are out of range
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Isn't it mostly based on the nam and hrrr?
