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Stormlover74

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Everything posted by Stormlover74

  1. Stormlover74
  2. Stormlover74
    Actually feels somewhat tolerable outside
  3. Stormlover74
    Cell in Middlesex county will probably make it to SI
  4. Stormlover74
    Philly's about to get crushed
  5. Stormlover74
    The rain shield collapsed but still getting some good lightning
  6. Stormlover74
    Airmass must be too stable. Everything's weakening as it moves east closer to the coast
  7. Stormlover74
    The first batch moving in from somerset is more bark than bite. The heavy stuff over Hunterdon looks good
  8. Stormlover74
    @weatherpruf? Naturally it explodes 2 miles to my east lol
  9. Stormlover74
    Looks like you're going to get slammed pretty good
  10. Stormlover74
    Plus more from union county heading that direction
  11. Stormlover74
    Ewr reporting 41 mph sustained winds and 1 mile visibility at 3pm
  12. Stormlover74
    Ewr is probably getting blasted
  13. Stormlover74
    Much earlier than expected
  14. Stormlover74
    Watch issued for a large area
  15. Stormlover74
    Even if it doesn't cool off all that much lower dews next week will feel nice
  16. Stormlover74
    1 or 2 98 degree days can be much worse than 3 consecutive 91 degree days but would not qualify as a heatwave
  17. Stormlover74
    That's why I don't think of 90 for 3 days as a heatwave especially for places like ewr
  18. Stormlover74
    We don't have many Monmouth posters...
  19. Stormlover74
    Quite a few branches down and some street flooding
  20. Stormlover74
    Got pummeled up in summit And picked up .32 at home in Plainfield
  21. Stormlover74
    Decent storm rolling through northern union county
  22. Stormlover74
    Thursday
  23. Stormlover74
    Ewr adds another 90 to the list
  24. Stormlover74
    Mesoscale Discussion 1265 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 PM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021 Areas affected...Portions of the Northeast Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 121732Z - 121900Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...A few multicell clusters of storms should emerge by mid to late afternoon, posing a threat for damaging winds. Trends will continue to be monitored for a possible severe thunderstorm watch. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite shows morning clearing over the region has allowed surface temperatures to warm into the mid to upper 80s F amid dew point temperatures in the low 70s F. This has led to somewhat rapid destabilization, with moderate instability (MLCAPE 2000-2500 J/kg) being analyzed on surface mesoanalysis. Scattered convection is already developing across portions of southern Pennsylvania, western Maryland, and northern Virginia, as convective temperatures are being eclipsed amid a weak cap. Despite these thermodynamic indices, mid-level lapse rates and deep-layer shear remains rather weak (20-25 kt effective bulk shear). Thus, storms may struggle to organize in the short-term. Additional storms should develop across the region as isolation/destabilization continues. This should lead to the development of a few multicell clusters of storms this afternoon. Should this occur, strong low-level lapse rates should support a damaging wind potential. Thus, convective trends will continue to be monitored for possible watch issuance this afternoon.
  25. Stormlover74
    Pouring here
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