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Yeoman

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Posts posted by Yeoman

  1. 2 minutes ago, nj2va said:

    LWX is on board!

    Saturday Night
    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
    Sunday
    Mostly sunny, with a high near 47.

    Why do people around here still go to that embarrassment of an NWS website and these random talking heads on the local news when you have access to the latest info here?

    • Like 3
    • Sad 1
  2. 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

    The key to the day 8-10 threat is what the tail of the TPV does.  

    WHatweneed.png.face38195e987ed07a9e46982a1a8e93.png

    We need the tail of the trough to break off a SW and dig into the east...which will in turn create some separation between the 50/50 and pump some ridging along the east coast.  If that trailing SW moves more east and misses the connection with the STJ everything will likely be suppressed.  If something digs into the MS/TN valley we likely get a storm up the east coast.  

    Hopefully the tail of the TPV allows for some tuck

  3. 13 minutes ago, Mrs.J said:

    Well total surprise just came in for the girls. FCPS has a snow day tomorrow. No virtual instruction as Central Office is closed. 

    So they can sleep with the computer closed instead of open? Nice...

    • Haha 1
  4. 2 minutes ago, ovechkin said:

    Lol. Just calling it like I see it on this one. Potential for double digits that turns into 2 pity inches over several hours in prime climo while everywhere around us cashes in doesn’t give me the warm and fuzzies. As a nearly retired MD now taking up meteorology more who has done the Covid front line thing for 10 months I just want a good snowstorm. But healthy and vaccinated so I really shouldn’t complain. 

    I'd be spending my winter days in a log cabin on the continental divide if I were you

    • Like 2
    • Haha 2
  5. 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

    It cant tell u enough how refreshing it is to see you post obs on the high end of the region. I'm slipping in my old age I guess but for some reason I dont understand yet, I genuinely want you to get more snow than me. ....wtf is that, right?

    I think he's out in Colorado.. dc is 33 and 1.5" with flurries

  6.             Ok, that was my snarky answer.      The better answer builds on that a little more.      It's still one of the best models for handling shallow cold air masses and things like terrain-induced wind storms in the west and fog.     Ultimately, the NAM nest is a way better model, but it's driven by the 12 km NAM, so that's another reason to keep running it.     Ultimately, the NAM nest and parent are frozen (no more development is being done on them) and will likely be retired in ~3 years.

    Thanks - appreciate the response
    • Like 1
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