Yeoman

11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

This isn't bad I think.  Gun to head, I'd probably say 5-10" for MBY.  I'm pretty close to the boundary between his 6-12" and 3-6".  

 

I'm holding out for Sue Palka

Hopefully we can get a couple of more inches of mercury

12 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Here’s 84hr panel.. big time cad all the way down into NW SC 

That primary needs to be in northern Tennessee

50 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Can someone remind me...what’s the general ‘cut-off’ for relying on the OP vs referring to the ensembles for trends/outlier vs OP/etc?  Tomorrow...or 72 hours...?

When it starts showing rain

Let’s not jump to conclusions until it comes ashore and can hit those ROABs

I think a legit concern would be the high leaving too quickly.

2 minutes ago, yoda said:

That low needs to be 75 miles further SE

19 minutes ago, DTWXRISK said:

 Hard to believe you are still this   stupid after all these years 

He doesn't call himself wintry mix for nothing

10 minutes ago, Winter Wizard said:

At hour 90, looks like the ridge out west is stronger. 

amped?

11 minutes ago, Ji said:

ive seen worse but ive seen better @Yeoman

At least it's not a day 15 forecast

50 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Long way out, lots will change, just happy to be in the game.

That sounds reasonable if not practical

40 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I was thinking the same. Workable look.

looks feasible while still being achievable.. 

Just now, Ji said:

just aggravating that we cant even get fantasy snow

Since the opposite usually works out I think we're in good shape

13 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Wait ... so I’m not getting two inches?

if we do 25/25 it can be a low or a high

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

This winter looks as promising as the Cowboys season 

Good one! 

55 minutes ago, WeatherShak said:

About time to update your profile photo

He's still the clapper

Cohen said winter is over - best news of the year!

A couple inches of rain in a day is extreme these days?

On 10/16/2020 at 1:04 PM, MN Transplant said:

Kids are resilient.  

Really? The ones I know can't make it to the bus stop in anything over a half inch of snow

1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said:

2 more 80 degree days what say you?

Hopefully the first week of Nov when I flee DC for OBX

2 hours ago, LP08 said:

To the bolded above, why are teachers the only profession being forced back?  No other occupation is demanding someone to go back to work and the certainly don't get paid to be essential. There is increased risk as well to the nature of in person school with 15 ppl in one room for up to 7 hours a day.  Most of that is against all CDC guidelines.

They are essential and should be absolutely paid as such, and it should have been that way well before COVID hit. Unfortunately we will learn the hard way in 5-10 years when we see the real tragedy of this virus through how it impacted this generation of kids and ultimately the country..

Virus transmission is a high risk for teachers in general, whether it be COVID or anything else, any of which could be deadly given unique circumstances. 

12 minutes ago, cptcatz said:

The last two GFS-P runs are quite interesting.  Both runs take a strong hurricane into the Florida straits and does a zigzag/loop near Cuba/Florida keys with multiple impacts in the same areas.  Any chance this can actually happen?

Its the GFS.. rhetorical question?

8 hours ago, Moderately Unstable said:

It is. It's just not RIing, which seems to be a trend on this thread (either the storm must ri or weaken). The windspeeds on the last pass through the eyewall are up a touch again. What you're seeing there with the 2 mb differences does not actually play a major role in terms of estimating minimum pressure. 2mb can be because your dropsonde (or plane) didn't perfectly hit the exact center of the storm. The trend overall with the pressures is they're approximately holding steady with winds perhaps up 5 knots. We've seen storms increase wind speeds before without dropping pressure. It isn't currently strengthening but it isn't weakening either. Typical non RI hurricane intensification can go like that. You inch up, then steady, then up more, then steady. Less rocket, more stairs. 

Edit: 2mb is statistically bordering on non significant, but 10 mb would be. Hence, if you see a big swing, assuming it gets duplicated, that's real. 

MU

Where's CD?

Any hot towers?