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Supernovice

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Posts posted by Supernovice

  1. On a brighter note- tell me what you see in the below?

    If you guessed a StarLink satellite dish being rendered inoperable by stray cats (due to the heat generated on a comparatively cold day) you’re correct. Would have also accepted: a dream holiday snowpack.

    Anyways this cracks me up for a variety of reasons.

    03A48F23-8099-40F1-8566-154DB27EC75C.jpeg

    • Like 1
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  2. 4 minutes ago, Hoth said:

    My pre-COVID trade was shorting the airlines and Boeing, which worked out beautifully. Not sure we'll get a similar reaction this time, but this is a very sick market without any help from COVID. It may be a useful scapegoat in the event of a crash.

    I got theta murdered last time- market churned higher forever in the face of certain crisis in Europe until the rug pull. We’ll see this week, I expect post New Years people will wake up if not… oh well I tried. Was up 100% on Friday already but didn’t sell want a bigger move.

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  3. 45 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

    Tip of the cap to @Supernovice, calling the media hysteria. I’m hopeful it’s a false alarm. 

    To be clear- my posts were not calling out media hysteria. I actually think this is a potentially HUGE deal. And I didn’t even expect a market reaction until early next week tbh - so wrong there.

    two caveats—first- small sample sizes can lead to wildly distorted analysis- so it’s possible this isn’t as bad as it seems.

    secondly one thing my job taught me is if I’m looking at data in an area I have no expertise in- and it’s telling me a clear story- I should be very wary. The clearer the story it tells the more dangerous my analysis tends to be- like lose ur job dangerous. Just keep that in mind and listen to the experts.

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  4. 32 minutes ago, UMB WX said:

    I'd say this is some Wine, Beer, Whiskey shit from, novice.   But God hates ugly.  We have plenty of ugly mofo's in congress and senate who have run the slaves in to the ground over the last century.  Good Luck this winter:damage:

    Lol- while everyone’s sleeping:

    9DAAA6E1-8470-446C-BCFA-F1C88FE6E774.jpeg

  5. 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

    I just read it's like 10 cases and no alarm yet. They said these mutations tend to burn out

    It’s 59 confirmed cases- this is the only code red email I’ve gotten since  early January 2020. 

    Anyways- obvs hope the experts are wrong but given the UK just announced travel restrictions I don’t think the concern is unwarranted I digress- it’s dessert time.

    • Thanks 1
  6. 36 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

    What does this mean. Speak your mind.

    Look I’m not an epidemiologist- I’m a finance guy and this came to me through my IB this afternoon.

    The data is about as devastating as it could be. The genetic mapping indicates that this variant has the potential to evade immune responses- both generated through vaccine and naturally. It is possible(likely) that it is more transmissible than delta. It is quite frankly the worst possible news we could have.

     

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  7. I know this topic is banned and it should be tbh- but I just saw the data re: the WHO meeting tomm. It’s basically the worst case scenario. If I’m going to be depressed on thanksgiving so are all of you. Heavy whiskey incoming. Delete this if you want- whatever.

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  8. 22 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

    So you're saying both supply chain and inflation will improve soon? 

    I’m saying this is the peak of public awareness/concern about it, all downhill from here. 

    “Soon” is a relative term.

     

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  9. 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    Actually that was poorly written on my part - I didn't mean to question ORH's number and reset it to 5th.   I just meant averaging all those numbers, if to get a rough sense for a "regional departure" - sloppy integral heh

    I'm surprised we put modest positive nocturnal in the books overnight, this last night ... Considering synoptic layout, there's a front escaping across the NW Atlantic, and a sprawling high - albeit of modest mass - arming in behind it over our region of the continent.   When one has the time of year in mind, that might lend at a glance like its a 28er overnight with ease.

     

    39   ... which isn't warm exactly no.  But it really felt and even smelled like the 2nd frost - for this neck of the woods - was imminent last evening.  Yet, temps apparently rose overnight though; I'm trying to figure out why - because I clearly have a rich and rewarding life ... 

    @Typhoon Tip why can't I pm you?

  10. 37 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

    If it was winter this would be tracking up the Hudson 

    maybe not the time for this- but everyone is saying: it'd be a blizzy...and maybe...but wouldn't the prolonged easterly fetch toaster bath the majority of the region? I guess it all depends on airmass. food for thought i guess.

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