winterwx21

I'll be surprised if the high temps stay in the 30s, considering how strong the sun is this time of year. Temps usually go a few degrees above what the models show anytime the sun is out. It'll probably make it to the low-mid 40s, but obviously that's still well below normal and an impressive early spring cold shot.

75 degrees here. Beautiful.

High temp of 72 here today, above forecast as usual. Temps almost always go several degrees above forecast here on sunny days.

I LOVE snow and winter, but would never want it all year long. Winter all year would take away a lot of the variety that life has to offer.

You can't seriously mean this. I thought you were a baseball fan? And winter all year would mean no growing season. I hope you are not serious.

No question about that. When I talk about early planting, of course I'm talking about cool season vegetables that can take frost/freeze. For sensitive stuff that can be damaged by frost like tomatoes, it's important to wait until early May in our area.

I usually wait until the last week of March to start the garden with the cool weather vegetables like peas, but there's no point in waiting with the weather looking so warm the next 2 weeks. Might as well take advantage and start early, so I'm going to plant pea and radish seeds early this week. I enjoyed the last blast of winter this weekend with the snow, but it's nice that we're going to get real spring weather in mid to late March this year.

1.5" storm total here. An inch from the snow earlier in the day and a half inch from the band of snow showers/squalls that just came through. Nice little event today. Really made sure I enjoyed it since it's most likely our last snowfall of the season.

It's interesting on radar you can see several little lines or streamers on the back edge of the band that move rapidly from northwest to southeast. One went right over me and it was just like a blizzard. Great finale for this event. We added a quick half inch here on top of the inch that we got earlier today.

Heavy wind-driven snow. Neat little squall developed along the back edge of the band of snow showers. Looks like a blizzard out there and even the road is covered.

Moderate snow here now that's coating the pavement. Temp is down to 25 now so it's sticking more easily than the snow that we had earlier.

Snow is picking up here right now. On radar it looks like we're gonna have 2 pretty good lines of snow showers with moderate snow. Maybe we can pick up a half inch with this.

Yep. There were a couple NAM runs yesterday that gave me 5 inches for today's storm. It's a crazy overhype model that waffles back and forth. Can't trust it at all these days. RGEM is much better.

For the blizzard there were some crazy NAM runs that gave over 3 feet of snow for Long Island. Way overdone. I remember the RGEM was showing closer to 20 inches out on Long Island which ended up being more accurate than what NAM showed.

LOL. Everyone here has talked about how great RGEM has been this winter. It has blown away the NAM. Not sure what you've been looking at if you think RGEM has been bad. The GGEM has also been excellent. Everyone has been talking about how good the Canadian models have been this winter.

As usual the RGEM did a good job. It showed much less at the coast and also the period of heavy snow west of the city after the changeover being very brief.

It looked promising for awhile with the early changeover and snow coming down heavily. But SnowGoose69 was right about the precip drying up quickly after the changeover due to the northwest flow. At least I got 1 inch here. Can't complain about accumulating snow in March. Looks nice out there.

I have 1 inch of snow here in Piscataway, but now it's down to very light snow and radar doesn't look very good. I know Snowgoose brought up the point of the snow drying up quickly after the changeover due to the northwest flow, and it looks as if that is the case. Just gonna be some light snow during the afternoon to add less than a half inch more. Obviously a few miles makes a difference with this too since you had more sleet while I was snow here. I drove to Edison to La Bon Bakery to get my saturday dessert, and there it was mostly sleet. Then driving home it was back to snow as I hit South Plainfield and Piscataway. I was just on the right side to get an inch of snow, so I can't complain. Beautiful here with the inch of wet snow.

Moderate snow here. Already a solid coating. Down to 33 and it's even starting to dust the pavement.

14z run of HRRR was significantly improved over the 13z run. Now gets a couple inches into NYC. Makes more sense given the early changeover.

Heavy snow here with a little sleet mixed in. I see the 14z run of the HRRR increased amounts a little. Back to showing 3 inches for my area, which makes sense given the earlier changeover.

0z RGEM was a little better though. The 0z run gives my area (just slightly west of NYC) close to 3 inches. Better than the 1 inch that the 18z run had. A little more snow for NYC too ... looks like 1 to 2 inches compared to barely an inch on the 18z run. At least it's slightly better.

NYC is a tough call since it's gonna be near the edge of the more significant snow. Euro and HRRR are saying NYC gets several inches, but the latest NAM and previous RGEM runs say only about an inch. The new RGEM comes out shortly, so we'll see if it increases amounts.

Don't know if I would say RGEM has nothing. It has less than other models, but it does get about 1 inch to NYC. I have a feeling it will increase the amounts on the next couple runs. I love the RGEM but there are too many other models showing that this has a good chance of giving NYC at least a couple inches. I'm less concerned about the midday issue this time too because true arctic air will be rushing in.

WWAs definitely need to be expanded way to the southeast. With arctic air pouring in, roads will become slippery. Much different from the last event where it was a struggle to accumulate even on colder surfaces. I think I'd go with a 1 to 3 inch forecast for my area, but we can hope models like Euro and HRRR are correct about getting a little more than that.